AccuScore considers our game nearly a toss up.

VegasDawg13

Freshman
Jun 11, 2007
2,191
80
48
Washington - 51%
MState - 48%
Tsunami(?) - 1%

Link

Edited to add: It gives Purdue a 65-34 advantage over us. And we get a 52-47 edge over Northern Iowa.

Edited again to add: It says we'd have a 14% chance against both UConn and Memphis.

If my math is correct, that would give us a .32% chance of going to the Final Four if we have to play UW, Purdue, UConn, and Memphis.