One of two things will happen. They'll either lose today or in the title game, in which case they would be relegated to a lower bowl than the Liberty in CUSA....or they will win today and in the conference title game, and in that case they will be the non-BCS team that gets an invite to a BCS game.
They pretty much are guaranteed not to make the Liberty. It's BCS or Mobile or some other crap bowl.
If Tulsa beats them today, Tulsa goes to the conference title game.
We just saw what a competent QB cando to our "stand back 10 yards, let them catch it, then hit them, but don't give up the bomb" defense. Houston would score every time they got the ball against us. Of course, so would we most likely.