An awesome scenario

[615dawg]

Could this happen?

Utah beats TCU
Notre Dame beats Utah
Boise State loses to Hawaii or Nevada

Alabama beats LSU, MSU and Georgia State
Auburn beats Chattanooga and Georgia

Auburn is #1 in the BCS when they go to Alabama, who would move up to #2 with those teams losing above. Alabama beats Auburn in a very tight game.
Nebraska wins out to the Big XII championship game, Oklahoma State or Baylor beats Oklahoma to win the Big XII South and then beats Nebraska.
Oregon loses to Oregon State

Alabama would go to the national championship game and face Auburn.

 

[VegasDawg13]

Because it would involve Notre Dame beating a decent team.

But seriously, I would imagine it would be Bama -Ohio State/Wisconsinin that scenario.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

When it involves MSU losing to Alabama?<div>
</div><div>I don't give a 17 who plays for the national title if it's not us. I want to beat Alabama. If that means Boise State vs. Utah for the title, BFD.</div>

 

[AlCoDog]

Is there a scenario that if we win out we could go to a BCS game?

</p>

 

[Temple of the Dawg]

For it to happen at all:

- We would have to win out to finish 10-2 (6-2)
- AU would need to win out in the regular season & win the SEC Champ game to finish undefeated & go to the NC game
- LSU would need to lose 2 of 3 between Bama, OM, & Ark to finish 9-3 (5-3)
- Bama would of course lose to us & AU to finish at best 9-3 (5-3)
- Whoever wins the East will have at least 3 losses, most likely 4 counting the champ game, so the East isn't really a huge threat.

If this snowball's chance in hell scenario comes to pass, we will have the second best overall record and second best conference record behind AU. We will have beaten Bama & Ark in the last 3 weeks which should get our BCS ranking up to the 10 to 12 range and we should be the highest ranked BCS team in the conference after AU. So, if the Sugar does take the second best SEC team, that would be us.

This is all extremely far fetched obviously, but it is not out of the realm of slight possibility.

 

[McDawg]

[No message]

 

[Sutterkane]

There are of course 10 BCS bowl slots. The following are taken up:

big east champ
big 10 champ (at this point one team only imo)
big 12 champ (at this point one team only imo)
pac 10 champ
sec champ
acc champ

That leaves 4 at large slots.

Nobody else other than the champ in the big east is going to get in there.

I don't think anybody in the ACC is going besides their champ either.

In the SEC we need bama to beat LSU, lose to us, and lose to Auburn. This would put Auburn in the NC game and put us at a tie with an LSU team that's lost games much farther along than we have, and we will have not lost since September. If LSU could lose one more (say, Arkansas?) that would be very helpful. Auburn would defeat whoever the east sent in the SECCG so that would give the east champ 3 losses at least. Honestly this scenario is not that far fetched outside of us winning out.

In the big 10 we really need the following to lose at least 1 more:

Ohio State
Michigan State (still has to go to happy valley)
Wisconsin
(one of them wins the conference)
Iowa and Ohio State play and that could help. Wisconsin has a fairly easy schedule left.

In the big 12 we really need these to lose 1 more:

OSU
Mizzou/Nebraska
..and we need OU to win the big 12 since the media loves them too. That will give Mizzou or Nebraska their 2nd loss and send only 1 to their bcs bid (hopefully). OU also plays OSU at the end of the season. Go Sooners!

In the Pac 10:

We want Oregon to win it all. Arizona has a tougher schedule moving forward so we want them to beat Stanford this weekend. Oregon in turn beats Arizona to give them their second loss.

Either TCU or Utah is going to get an at large bid.

Barring a monumental meltdown to Nevada or Hawaii, Boise is going to get an at large bid.

Let's say the cards all fall the way we want. That leaves two bids for multiple 2 loss teams:
Arizona
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Stanford
Mizzou
Nebraska
Mississippi State

Obviously more losses to some of these teams or Boise and the TCU/Utah winner losing a game helps immensely.

 

[FISHDAWG]

I feel like I just read War and Peace

 

[jmbeck]

You assume the SEC gets an at-large, which it probably wouldn't with a 10-2 MSU.

Assume the team with the best BCS ranking wins each conference tie-in. If not ranked, take a wild *** guess, cause it won't matter (Looking at you, Big East)

Big East - Pitt
ACC - Virginia Tech (22)
Pac 10 - Oregon (1)
Big 10 - Wisconsin (9)
SEC - Auburn (2)
Big 12 - Nebraska (7)

You've got a 9-0TCU (or Utah if they somehow win) and 7-0 Boise State that will take two of the spots. Then you've got7-1 Oklahoma, 7-1 Ohio State, 7-1 Missouri, 7-1 Stanford, 8-1 Michigan State, 7-1 Arizona, and 7-1 OklahomaState likely ahead of us.

Obviously,some of these will lose. But, I don't seeus breaking into theBCS games with all the one loss teams out there.

 

[Temple of the Dawg]

from my earlier post.

So, if the Sugar does take the second best SEC team, that would be us.

I realize that even if we win out, we would still be "only" 10-2 with a potential myriad of 1 loss AQ teams out there. My initial post was kind of long & I didn't want to play out the plenty of 1 loss teams out there, so I threw the "if the Sugar takes the 2nd best SEC team" caveat in there.

 

[ibontherun]

The Sugar Bowl has selected an SEC team even as an at large every year since 2000-2001, so its not a stretch (well...the scenario itself is...lol, but not MSU going to the Sugah!!!)

 

[rem101]

[No message]

 

[saltybulldog]

There is abso-freakin-lutely nothing...not a thing..awesome or remotely positive about that scenario. The only positive scenario I can create that involves both Auburn and Alabama also involves the earth opening up and swallowing them.

 

[Mjoelner]

game, the winner of that game is the only team from your conference qualified to play for the national championship.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

It is not. Remember all the controversy over whether the BCSNCG should take Oklahoma or Texas back in 2008. There was no rule preventing Texas from making it, other than the human and computer polls not putting them as high.

 

[Barkman Turner Overdrive]

yet the Squatters lost the Big 12 Championship game. I know 2003 is eons ago, but I don't think they've changed the rule.

 

[miss daisy]

That and VaTech, after loosing to an FCS school, getting in to these BCS games makes this system just stupid. I don't blame Boise and TCU for bitching when they see that crap.

 

[615dawg]

and should happen. TCU is the only one of the three amigos that has even an inkling of a case to make the national title game. Even then, a one loss Auburn, Alabama, Oregon Nebraska or LSU or Oklahoma is more deserving. If all of those teams but one ended up with two losses, TCU could stake a claim.

The nightmare scenario is for TCU and Boise to be 3-4 and Nebraska be 5 headed into December 4. Oregon loses to Oregon State. Auburn is upset in the SEC championship game and Nebraska loses to Oklahoma State or Baylor in the Big 12 championship game.

It would take a miracle not to have a TCU/Boise national championship game if that happened. There wouldnt be enough time and you'd have to have a 2 loss team jump an unbeaten. Its basically what happened in '07 when LSU snuck into the title game with two losses.

 

[615dawg]

crazy year. Like someone said earlier this week, if we would have found a way to beat Auburn and LSU, there is no reason we could not be in the NC picture. The ACC and Big East are terrible, and deserve to have their BCS spot relinquished. The Pac 10 is essentially a one team show. The Big Ten doesn't have a great team and the SEC East is worse than ever. That is not the case every year.

If you would have said in 2000 that 10 years from now, Georgia, Florida and Tennessee would all be unranked and be a combined 6-13 in SEC play headed into November, 2010, you'd been called crazy.

 

[patdog]

The ACC sucks too, but at least it has the potential to be good with schools like FSU, Miami, Clemson, UNC, VA Tech, GA Tech, and Boston College. The Big East sucks and I don't see any potential for it to get any better. At some point, the rest of the BCS schools will throw them under the bus to save the system. It's just too bad Utah and BYU left the MWC. With Boise coming in, if they'd stayed that would have been a BCS worthy conference.</p>

 

[dogfan96]

NC State will lose again.. FSU probably won't (unless it's to Florida).. FSU vs VT in the ACC title game