Another blind resume thread

615dawg · Apr 24, 2013

In the other post, everyone picked Mississippi State (Team #1) as the clear leader in the race for one of the last two national seeds. NC State (Team #5) and Florida State (Team #3)got nods, but Oregon (#4), Oregon State (#2) and South Carolina (#6) were not selected when looking at a resume that doesn't include their names. Interesting.

In this thread, same deal, except that we are picking four teams to host. Four of these teams are currently projected as hosts.

	Team 1	Team 2	Team 3	Team 4	Team 5	Team 6	Team 7	Team 8	Team9
Overall	27-13	30-8	30-11	30-12	30-12	25-12	24-12	31-11	30-10
vs. Top 50	8-10	7-5	3-4	5-8	2-6	7-8	5-4	2-5	7-4
vs. 101+	13-2	21-4	20-4	15-2	18-1	10-1	11-5	19-4	15-3
SOS	10	98	142	29	25	12	15	70	97

Blindly, I say 6, 5, 1 and 4. Team 7 has a lot of bad losses.

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

9, 6, 1, and I'll go with 2.

Meant to put 2- I can't read today or something.

RocketDawg · Apr 24, 2013

I don't see any real standouts in that list. There's no way to tell if 7 has bad losses or not. I suppose #1 would be a candidate based on SOS and a decent record, but they have a losing record against the top 50. And maybe 6.

Conference record might be something to add to the list.

JackShephard · Apr 24, 2013

1, 2, 4, 9

BiscuitEater · Apr 24, 2013

Using the same simple analysis as the last one,

I come up with Team 1, 6, 7 and 4 in that order (followed by 5, 9, 2, 8, & 3). This formula just compares the 9 teams in the same way to end up with a 1 -9 ranking.

The formula probably puts too much emphasis on the SOS # because it divides the product (of OA%, Top 50 and Top 100 %s) by the SOS. So, smaller (harder) SOS will give a higher score. That 142 SOS is a killer! Also, I multiplied the score by 100 to make it easier to compare. Here are the numbers if interested.

OVERALL

vs TOP 50

vs TOP 101+

SOS

SCORE

TEAM

W

L

%

W

L

%

W

L

%

1

27

13

0.675

8

10

0.444

13

2

0.867

10

2.600

6

25

12

0.676

7

8

0.467

10

1

0.909

12

2.389

7

24

12

0.667

5

4

0.556

11

5

0.688

15

1.698

4

30

12

0.714

5

8

0.385

15

2

0.882

29

0.836

5

30

12

0.714

2

6

0.250

18

1

0.947

25

0.677

9

30

10

0.750

7

4

0.636

15

3

0.833

97

0.410

2

30

8

0.789

7

5

0.583

21

4

0.840

98

0.395

8

31

11

0.738

2

5

0.286

19

4

0.826

70

0.249

3

30

11

0.732

3

4

0.429

20

4

0.833

142

0.184

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

And that's why I don't like computers deciding things.

dickiedawg · Apr 24, 2013

9,6,2,5

615dawg · Apr 24, 2013

Here's the reveal

After an hour and five replies:

1 and 6 got 4 votes
2, 4 and 9 got 3 votes
5 got 2 votes and 7 got 1 vote

Team 1 is Clemson. Not really being mentioned as a possible host.
Team 6 is UCLA. Pretty much considered a lock at this point.

Team 2 is Indiana, who is probably going to host
Team 4 is Ole Miss, interesting that they are closer than most think. Will be interesting to see how they stack up to South Carolina next week.
Team 9 is Louisville, who is trying their best to give away their host.

Team 5 got a vote. That's South Alabama, y'all.
Team 7 got a vote as well - that's Arizona State, considered a lock.

Teams 3 and 8 were Troy and UNC Wilmington, just to throw a kink in it.

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

Clemson probably because they have so many top 50 losses.

BUT- the fact that they've played 18 of them gives me respect for that. And a great SOS.

Give me that over some team that makes a schedule to give them 30 wins.

RocketDawg · Apr 24, 2013

I see you're a Bear, but does the last statement transfer to FB also? Personally, I think it does.

LiterallyPolice · Apr 24, 2013

Inspired by BiscuitEater, I did my own little spreadsheet analysis:

I gave each Win/Loss a point value based on strength of opponent:

	vs 1-50	vs 51-99	vs 100+
Points per W	3	2	1
Points per L	-1	-2	-3

Results:

RANK	TEAM	SCORE
1	9	33
2	4	32
T3	1	31
T3	2	31
5	6	30
6	5	25
7	8	24
8	3	21
9	7	17

9,4,1,2 make my cut. I think that's pretty fair.

patdog · Apr 24, 2013

One thing to remember about Clemson's SOS. The ACC is way overrated by RPI, so their SOS is also overrated.

RocketDawg · Apr 24, 2013

Yep, fair, but Team 6 isn't far behind. How does MSU stack up when you put us in the spreadsheet?

And I suppose everything's subject to change depending on the rest of the season.

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

RocketDawg said:
I see you're a Bear, but does the last statement transfer to FB also? Personally, I think it does.

Not a Bear.. but yes it does.

RocketDawg · Apr 24, 2013

I suppose I misinterpreted your logo. Please accept my sincerest apologies ... an assertion like that is worthy of a flogging. Must be the flag the Colonel is holding ....

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

patdog said:
One thing to remember about Clemson's SOS. The ACC is way overrated by RPI, so their SOS is also overrated.

Ehh.... they've played North Carolina, Virginia, and South Carolina so far. Got FL State coming up, too.

Did lose to Georgia, though. But, so has Vandy and Ga Tech. And they beat them in the other game.

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

RocketDawg said:
I suppose I misinterpreted your logo. Please accept my sincerest apologies ... an assertion like that is worthy of a flogging. Must be the flag the Colonel is holding ....

It's tongue in cheek humor from when I was 18 and I never changed it.

RocketDawg · Apr 24, 2013

And all along I assumed you were a Bear ....

patdog · Apr 24, 2013

I think when the season plays out, UNC, UVA & GT will wind up lower than where they're ranked now. The ACC has 7 of the top 14 RPI teams compared to the SEC's 3. And the SEC will kick the ACC's *** in postseason just like it does every year.

CEO2044 · Apr 24, 2013

We'll see.

Truthfully, I haven't gotten to actually watch a lot. I saw UNC early in the year and they looked pretty stout to me. They looked like a #1 should look then.

But I certainly haven't kept up with any of those recently.

LiterallyPolice · Apr 24, 2013

RocketDawg said:
Yep, fair, but Team 6 isn't far behind. How does MSU stack up when you put us in the spreadsheet?

And I suppose everything's subject to change depending on the rest of the season.

Results for ALL TEAMS in 615's two blind tests:

1	FL State	50
1	NC State	50
3	MS State	49
4	Oregon	38
5	Oregon State	37
6	South Carolina	34
7	Louisville	33
8	Ole Miss	32
9	Clemson	31
9	Indiana	31
11	UCLA	30
12	South Alabama	25
13	UNC Wilmington	24
14	Troy	21
15	AZ State	17

Spidey.sixpack · Apr 24, 2013

1, 2, 5, and 6 as hosts.

BiscuitEater · Apr 25, 2013

Excellent point patdog ...

patdog said:
I think when the season plays out, UNC, UVA & GT will wind up lower than where they're ranked now. The ACC has 7 of the top 14 RPI teams compared to the SEC's 3. And the SEC will kick the ACC's *** in postseason just like it does every year.

SOS plays a huge roll in a simple analysis. I didn't realize that they were so well regarded WRT RPI. It's actually BETTER for the SEC teams that do make the regionals to play OVERATED ACC teams.

Historically, the ACC gets to the CWS regularly but I always like to remind them that the "last" ACC team to win the CWS was Wake Forest almost 60 years ago. They had to go out and recruit Miami to finally add a team that had won. FSU has been 21 times, Clemson 12, UNC 9, and UVA a couple of times lately BUT no championship.

Another blind resume thread

All-Conference

Senior

All-Conference

Senior

Redshirt

Senior

All-Conference

All-Conference

Senior

All-Conference

Redshirt

Heisman

All-Conference

Senior

All-Conference

Senior

Senior

All-Conference

Heisman

Senior

Redshirt

Freshman

Redshirt