Are things any better?

[Quincy A. Wagstaff]

State didn't return to campus from spring break on March 16th. The Mississippi 7-day average of new cases was 47/day.

On July 28th (most recent number available) the 7-day average of new cases was 972/day. Face-to-face classes begin on Monday.

What exactly has changed to make it safe for students to return to campus?

 

[goindhoo]

The data over 5 months shows the effect on young people is minimal at best. Time for young people to live their lives.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Some of it is they really didn’t know what we were facing in the spring with a lot of unknowns about the virus. Still a long way from understanding it still but much more procedures and policy in place to help if there is an outbreak.

 

[Mobile Bay]

State didn't return to campus from spring break on March 16th. The Mississippi 7-day average of new cases was 47/day.

On July 28th (most recent number available) the 7-day average of new cases was 972/day. Face-to-face classes begin on Monday.

What exactly has changed to make it safe for students to return to campus?

The uncertainty about death rates has dropped considerably. In March it seemed like anybody could die of this and most would. Now we know that the overwhelming majority of people, especially college aged people, will have nothing more than a slight sickness or even no symptoms at all. Most people who die of this are in such bad shape they about gone anyway.

 

[jethreauxdawg]

At spring break, they already had the students’ money. If they don’t resume in person classes in the fall, their not going to get as much of the students money.

 

[hatfieldms]

A hell of a lot more testing going on right now as well

 

[engie]

The most recent data you have is from over two weeks ago?
7 day case average in Mississippi:
847 yesterday
1091 August 5
1247 July 29

If things continue going well here, we should be below 500 by Labor Day when decisions have to be made for football.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

The 7-day average has gone down but yesterday's report showed that the number of new cases went up from 644 on the 10th to 1081 on the 11th. The question is if that's an aberration or not and we'll find out as the week continues.

Hopefully it is an aberration because the numbers of folks in hospitals and ICU have trended downward. Patients on ventilators also appear to have peaked.

 

[paindonthurt_]

How much did testing change?
More or less tests? Or the same?

 

[RocketDawg]

State didn't return to campus from spring break on March 16th. The Mississippi 7-day average of new cases was 47/day.

On July 28th (most recent number available) the 7-day average of new cases was 972/day. Face-to-face classes begin on Monday.

What exactly has changed to make it safe for students to return to campus?

Are you sure about that number? Seems awfully low for the entire state.

One thing that has changed is the masking mandate. It's certainly made a difference here.

 

[birdawg]

Things are definitely better. More testing, more data and we're getting better at treating it as the death rate has been falling despite more new cases

 

[Quincy A. Wagstaff]

The most recent data you have is from over two weeks ago?
7 day case average in Mississippi:
847 yesterday
1091 August 5
1247 July 29

If things continue going well here, we should be below 500 by Labor Day when decisions have to be made for football.

I'm going by the Mississippi State Department of Health numbers. I assume they delay publishing 7-day averages because the data lags. We can check the dates you mentioned in a couple of weeks to see if they change.

View attachment 17255

 

[Quincy A. Wagstaff]

Are you sure about that number? Seems awfully low for the entire state.

One thing that has changed is the masking mandate. It's certainly made a difference here.

I'm going by Mississippi State Department of Health numbers:
View attachment 17257

 

[Maroon Eagle]

No idea.

All I see is total testing through August 11, which is just under 525,000.

If someone has kept up with the numbers each day, your question might be more easily answered.

 

[Shamoan]

"When ripping the band-aid off, its imperative to pull as slowly and painfully as possible." - America

 

[Xenomorph]

What exactly has changed

Our understanding of what we're dealing with regarding the China Virus.

 

[RocketDawg]

Doesn't look like the numbers in the chart match the graph.

 

[johnson86-1]

At spring break, they already had the students’ money. If they don’t resume in person classes in the fall, their not going to get as much of the students money.

This is sadly the most important factor. It seems to be the obviously right decision to have in person classes so it's lucky for us that this factor coincidentally supports the right decision.

 

[paindonthurt_]

When talking abt positive cases per day, one of the most important variables is tests per day.

If positive rate per test is going up and hospitalizations/deaths is changing very little and not overwhelming the system, carry on.

 

[johnson86-1]

The 7-day average has gone down but yesterday's report showed that the number of new cases went up from 644 on the 10th to 1081 on the 11th. The question is if that's an aberration or not and we'll find out as the week continues.

Hopefully it is an aberration because the numbers of folks in hospitals and ICU have trended downward. Patients on ventilators also appear to have peaked.

That's not that abnormal for the way the MSDH publishes numbers. The daily count is pretty much useless outside of the seven day average. You can compare to seven days before b/c there is a pattern to which days have a lot of test results published (usually Tuesday and Wednesday) and which ones don't (Saturday and Sunday an d to a lesser extent Monday), and have an idea as to whether the drop or rise is due to higher or lower cases or just due to reporting methods. So we had a really good number for a Tuesday and a decent number for a Wednesday. Probably know in the next day or so whether we actually had lower numbers or whether there were just fewer tests processed on Tuesday than usual.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

Yeah, I wonder about tests per day too. I also hope averages continue to decrease.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

Yeah, I know. I'm simply concerned because the cases rising 644 to 1081 from the 10th to the 11th was a 40 percent increase when compared to a 13 percent increase (1074 to 1245) from August 3 to 4.

 

[Quincy A. Wagstaff]

At spring break, they already had the students’ money. If they don’t resume in person classes in the fall, their not going to get as much of the students money.

At least we got students enrolled and moved in before going online and canceling football in a few weeks.

 

[horshack.sixpack]

State didn't return to campus from spring break on March 16th. The Mississippi 7-day average of new cases was 47/day.

On July 28th (most recent number available) the 7-day average of new cases was 972/day. Face-to-face classes begin on Monday.

What exactly has changed to make it safe for students to return to campus?

I can't figure out what this has to do with bitcoin?***

 

[engie]

The 7-day average has gone down but yesterday's report showed that the number of new cases went up from 644 on the 10th to 1081 on the 11th. The question is if that's an aberration or not and we'll find out as the week continues.

Hopefully it is an aberration because the numbers of folks in hospitals and ICU have trended downward. Patients on ventilators also appear to have peaked.

You really have to do it by the day of the week to find meaningful insight in MS, as it seems to follow a pretty consistent cycle. 1081 yesterday but 1245 one week from yesterday. Hence the continued downward 7 day trend as yesterday rolls on and the same day from last week rolls off.

ETA sorry, it was already answered.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

612 reported today. Current 7-day average now 798.

That's better. We'll see what happens at the end of the month.

 

[HailStout]

The uncertainty about death rates has dropped considerably. In March it seemed like anybody could die of this and most would. Now we know that the overwhelming majority of people, especially college aged people, will have nothing more than a slight sickness or even no symptoms at all. Most people who die of this are in such bad shape they about gone anyway.

I’m not arguing that kids don’t need to go back to school or the kids don’t need to go back to college. I’m not arguing that the majority of young, healthy people will not have significant issues with this. But to say that the majority of people who die from this were in such bad shape that they were almost gone anyway is complete malarkey. I have had multiple people die On me who were not in bad health. Yes most had underlying conditions. Yes most were elderly. But they were not almost gone. They were living normal lives and had years stolen from them. I know it makes everyone feel better to think that this disease is killing people who are a week away from death already, but that just isn’t the case.

 

[engie]

To take it one step further:
612 today vs 956 7 days prior. 36% decrease
1081 yesterday vs 1245 7 days prior. 13% decrease
644 Tues vs 1074 7 days prior. 40% decrease
476 Mon vs 572 7 days prior. 17% decrease
527 Sun vs 672 7 days prior. 22% decrease

Overall: 3340 down from 4519. A 26.1% overall decrease over the past 5 days compared to the same 5 days a week ago.

Assuming a sustained rate that puts us at 2468 next Thursday, 1824 on the 27th, 1348 on the 3rd going into the Labor Day weekend when CFB would absolutely have to be decided. So, about 270 cases per day in Mississippi at that point IF we can hold the example pace of decline. Which puts us back to ~ where we were April 19-June 22.

 

[Ralph Cramden]

I don't know anyone who died from it. Hell...i only know of one person who tested positive and said it was no different than having the flu. So....that is my vast exposure to this unstoppable rapidly spreading killer disease.

 

[HailStout]

I don't know anyone who died from it. Hell...i only know of one person who tested positive and said it was no different than having the flu. So....that is my vast exposure to this unstoppable rapidly spreading killer disease.

I’m happy for you. I hope you never do.

 

[Quincy A. Wagstaff]

I don't know anyone who died from it. Hell...i only know of one person who tested positive and said it was no different than having the flu. So....that is my vast exposure to this unstoppable rapidly spreading killer disease.

I'm glad you don't know anyone who has died from it, but if we're using anecdotal evidence: I've had two cousins die from COVID-19, and my good friend (State undergrad in Starkville) currently has it.

 

[fishwater99]

View attachment 17258

 

[Quincy A. Wagstaff]

To take it one step further:
612 today vs 956 7 days prior. 36% decrease
1081 yesterday vs 1245 7 days prior. 13% decrease
644 Tues vs 1074 7 days prior. 40% decrease
476 Mon vs 572 7 days prior. 17% decrease
527 Sun vs 672 7 days prior. 22% decrease

Overall: 3340 down from 4519. A 26.1% overall decrease over the past 5 days compared to the same 5 days a week ago.

Assuming a sustained rate that puts us at 2468 next Thursday, 1824 on the 27th, 1348 on the 3rd going into the Labor Day weekend when CFB would absolutely have to be decided. So, about 270 cases per day in Mississippi at that point IF we can hold the example pace of decline. Which puts us back to ~ where we were April 19-June 22.

Again, I don't put a lot of stock in such recent data. Let's see if those numbers hold over the next couple weeks. Also, is anyone not anticipating a spike in cases in Oktibbeha County once students return? The university rented two Starkville hotels to quarantine students with COVID-19:
https://www.wjtv.com/health/coronav...-hotels-to-quarantine-students-with-covid-19/

 

[Cooterpoot]

Lots of Covid trolling today. They won't accept recent trends now. But they'll give us numbers from months ago. Get out of here!
Bunch of ********!

 

[RutherfordBHayes]

State didn't return to campus from spring break on March 16th. The Mississippi 7-day average of new cases was 47/day.

On July 28th (most recent number available) the 7-day average of new cases was 972/day. Face-to-face classes begin on Monday.

What exactly has changed to make it safe for students to return to campus?

The death rate was being reported anywhere from 2% to 8%. It’s about 100 times lower than that for college age people.

 

[Mjoelner]

How much did testing change?
More or less tests? Or the same?

Here you go:
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/mississippi

 

[o_Hot Rock]

I don't know anyone who died from it. Hell...i only know of one person who tested positive and said it was no different than having the flu. So....that is my vast exposure to this unstoppable rapidly spreading killer disease.

There were a lot more people like you just two months ago. Now, there are more and more like me that have had someone die. One cousin a couple friends two of which would have lived decades longer. One was in her 40's, and would have most likely lived another 30 or so. Yes, she had diabetes but damn, that's not a death sentence if managed properly. I also have know several others that had it and were very sick and still not fully recovered after several months after having it. It's brutal when it hits close to you.

What gets me is so many people of the same people that are anti-maskers are also pro-lifers. They seem to be for keeping people alive so long as they are not inconvenienced.

 

[RutherfordBHayes]

This thing is highly contagious and has spread over millions of people to every community in the country. The spread is inevitable and can’t be stopped at this point, right?

But I don’t understand the fixation on positive tests especially when a portion (of which I can’t find a straight answer) are asymptomatic.

Shouldn’t the focus be on degree of sickness and deaths?

I understand we have to protect the vulnerable. That’s not my question.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

944 reported today (1036 seven days prior). Current 7-day average now just under 785.

 

[engie]

Deaths and hospitalizations are certainly the more important statistics but are lagging indicators. The number of cases is useful in predicting the future of those numbers.

Let's hope that the ramp down continues to accelerate in the same way the ramp up did, although I suspect we see a couple of plateaus on the way down.