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At this point, there is zero doubt that the SEC deserves 9 host sites.

Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

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They should get them.

Tennessee now a rock solid lock of the century, with 2 more Quad 1 wins and counting in Hoover….including last night’s win over Texas, the likely #1 overall seed. 43 wins, Top 10 RPI, 14 Quad 1 wins.

Ole Miss adds a Quad 1 win over Florida. They are #17 in RPI currently, right behind UF (who isn’t hosting for other reasons) so essentially they are in the Top 16 of teams in contention. 17 Quad 1 wins is tied with Texas for most in the country. Really hard to see them not getting a host site at this point.
 
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615dawg

615dawg

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Don't care. Just want the best chance for Mississippi State to advance. The only potential landing spot for State that I don't like is Chapel Hill.

SEC teams not hosting:
Mississippi State
Florida
Oklahoma
Kentucky
possibly Texas A&M

Potential Host SItes for these teams

Corvallis
Clemson
Eugene
Chapel Hill
Conway
Los Angeles
Tallahassee
possibly Dallas, Atlanta or Hattiesburg (but only one of these three)

UCLA is the best shot at advancing in my opinion, followed by a potential USM and Georgia Tech. Conway is tempting to like as well. Don't want to end up in Chapel Hill or Corvallis. Being on the 3 seed line is helpful. Teams like Dallas Baptist, Southern Miss, Northeastern, Irvine, UTSA, Cincy and Xavier are out there flirting with a 2 seed and shouldn't be.
 
Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

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615dawg said:
Don't care. Just want the best chance for Mississippi State to advance. The only potential landing spot for State that I don't like is Chapel Hill.

SEC teams not hosting:
Mississippi State
Florida
Oklahoma
Kentucky
possibly Texas A&M

Potential Host SItes for these teams

Corvallis
Clemson
Eugene
Chapel Hill
Conway
Los Angeles
Tallahassee
possibly Dallas, Atlanta or Hattiesburg (but only one of these three)

UCLA is the best shot at advancing in my opinion, followed by a potential USM and Georgia Tech. Conway is tempting to like as well. Don't want to end up in Chapel Hill or Corvallis. Being on the 3 seed line is helpful. Teams like Dallas Baptist, Southern Miss, Northeastern, Irvine, UTSA, Cincy and Xavier are out there flirting with a 2 seed and shouldn't be.
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Agree on UCLA, but none of those sites are really that scary. What have Oregon State or North Carolina really done that is noteworthy? Not that they can’t beat us, I just think with our team this year its not worth splitting hairs. We’re going to ride or die with the games we get from Pico and Siary regardless. Lose either of the first 2, and no way we come out of the loser’s bracket. If they both show up big, doesn’t matter who we play.

And, did you say that USM is possibly hosting, but shouldn’t even be flirting with a 2-seed in the same post?
 
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dawgstudent

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
39,445
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Perd Hapley said:
They should get them.

Tennessee now a rock solid lock of the century, with 2 more Quad 1 wins and counting in Hoover….including last night’s win over Texas, the likely #1 overall seed. 43 wins, Top 10 RPI, 14 Quad 1 wins.

Ole Miss adds a Quad 1 win over Florida. They are #17 in RPI currently, right behind UF (who isn’t hosting for other reasons) so essentially they are in the Top 16 of teams in contention. 17 Quad 1 wins is tied with Texas for most in the country. Really hard to see them not getting a host site at this point.
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I just don't see the SEC getting 9. Have we ever received 9 host spots?
 
CochiseCowbell

CochiseCowbell

Heisman
Oct 29, 2012
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615dawg said:
Don't care. Just want the best chance for Mississippi State to advance. The only potential landing spot for State that I don't like is Chapel Hill.

SEC teams not hosting:
Mississippi State
Florida
Oklahoma
Kentucky
possibly Texas A&M

Potential Host SItes for these teams

Corvallis
Clemson
Eugene
Chapel Hill
Conway
Los Angeles
Tallahassee
possibly Dallas, Atlanta or Hattiesburg (but only one of these three)

UCLA is the best shot at advancing in my opinion, followed by a potential USM and Georgia Tech. Conway is tempting to like as well. Don't want to end up in Chapel Hill or Corvallis. Being on the 3 seed line is helpful. Teams like Dallas Baptist, Southern Miss, Northeastern, Irvine, UTSA, Cincy and Xavier are out there flirting with a 2 seed and shouldn't be.
Click to expand...

Tallahassee please.
 
onewoof

onewoof

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patdog said:
I don’t think Mississippi or Alabama host. If Hattiesburg hosts, I think Mississippi will get a very winnable regional as the #2 there.
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not sure or not if they send UM down there again to make the Buzzards cry. Maybe they send us instead
 
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CaptainFalcon

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I think Tennessee has solidified themselves this week. I think OM still needs to beat Arkansas today, but if they do it all becomes very interesting. I lean toward the SEC getting 7, I do think 8 is possible, don’t see 9 happening.

I tend to think UCLA gets benefit of the doubt by being a West Coast team with a Top 15 RPI. I think Georgia Tech gets in by virtue of winning the ACC regular season title. There are two big unknowns for me:

1. Does USM get the “our AD is on the committee” treatment?

2. Does the Big 12 get a courtesy host site? TCU and Kansas are in decent spots RPI-wise if either was to win their league tourney. West Virginia has a more problematic RPI but they won the Big 12 regular season title, if they were to win their league tourney too, I could absolutely see them hosting even with a lesser RPI.
 
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A

anon1758050382

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Perd Hapley said:
Ole Miss adds a Quad 1 win over Florida. They are #17 in RPI currently, right behind UF (who isn’t hosting for other reasons) so essentially they are in the Top 16 of teams in contention. 17 Quad 1 wins is tied with Texas for most in the country. Really hard to see them not getting a host site at this point.
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I think Ole Miss hosts if they beat Arkansas. A win would move them to RPI #15, and a loss would drop them to RPI #19.

I just don't think Arkansas cares to win the game. They are a top-5 RPI lock.
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,798
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CaptainFalcon said:
I think Tennessee has solidified themselves this week. I think OM still needs to beat Arkansas today, but if they do it all becomes very interesting. I lean toward the SEC getting 7, I do think 8 is possible, don’t see 9 happening.

I tend to think UCLA gets benefit of the doubt by being a West Coast team with a Top 15 RPI. I think Georgia Tech gets in by virtue of winning the ACC regular season title. There are two big unknowns for me:

1. Does USM get the “our AD is on the committee” treatment?

2. Does the Big 12 get a courtesy host site? TCU and Kansas are in decent spots RPI-wise if either was to win their league tourney. West Virginia has a more problematic RPI but they won the Big 12 regular season title, if they were to win their league tourney too, I could absolutely see them hosting even with a lesser RPI.
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Agree. SEC gets 7, possibly 8 hosts. UCLA will host because west coast. Don’t think both USM & Coastal Carolina will host.
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,798
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CaptainFalcon said:
Coastal is a lock with their RPI and winning that league.
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I think so too. Possibly USM could maybe take it though if the best Coastal in tournament. They be only 1 gsme behind them & would have won head to head, snd most importantly their AD is on the committee. Still think Coastal gets it though.
 
HotMop

HotMop

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May 8, 2006
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Perd Hapley said:
They should get them.

Tennessee now a rock solid lock of the century, with 2 more Quad 1 wins and counting in Hoover….including last night’s win over Texas, the likely #1 overall seed. 43 wins, Top 10 RPI, 14 Quad 1 wins.

Ole Miss adds a Quad 1 win over Florida. They are #17 in RPI currently, right behind UF (who isn’t hosting for other reasons) so essentially they are in the Top 16 of teams in contention. 17 Quad 1 wins is tied with Texas for most in the country. Really hard to see them not getting a host site at this point.
Click to expand...
D1 baseball is predicting 7, no way we add 2 more.

d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 23 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Friday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com
 
Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

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patdog said:
I don’t think Mississippi or Alabama host. If Hattiesburg hosts, I think Mississippi will get a very winnable regional as the #2 there.
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Alabama has been locked in for awhile. Not even on the bubble.

And I don’t see how you give OM a 2-seed with 17 Quad 1 wins and a qualifying RPI and conference record.
 
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patdog

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Perd Hapley said:
Alabama has been locked in for awhile. Not even on the bubble.

And I don’t see how you give OM a 2-seed with 17 Quad 1 wins and a qualifying RPI and conference record.
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D-1 Baseball has both Bama & UMiss as 2 seeds today. Maybe 1 or both does host. Who knows what the committee will do. But neither are locks.
 
Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

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patdog said:
D-1 Baseball has both Bama & UMiss as 2 seeds today. Maybe 1 or both does host. Who knows what the committee will do. But neither are locks.
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D1 Baseball is trash click bait. This was established long ago.

They had a tweet a few days ago mentioning Alabama as one of 13 locks, with 3 up for grabs amongst a group of 8 or 9 teams. The only thing that’s changed since then is Alabama lost in Hoover to Florida. So, you go from total lock to a 2-seed from 1 loss in the conference tourney?

I’ll just simplify it this way. If there aren’t 9 SEC hosts, then the NCAA needs to come out officially and announce that we are time warping back to 1997, and merit-based hosting and seeding is no longer a thing.
 
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patdog

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Perd Hapley said:
D1 Baseball is trash click bait. This was established long ago.

They had a tweet a few days ago mentioning Alabama as one of 13 locks, with 3 up for grabs amongst a group of 8 or 9 teams. The only thing that’s changed since then is Alabama lost in Hoover to Florida. So, you go from total lock to a 2-seed from 1 loss in the conference tourney?

I’ll just simplify it this way. If there aren’t 9 SEC hosts, then the NCAA needs to come out officially and announce that we are time warping back to 1997, and merit-based hosting and seeding is no longer a thing.
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It’s merit based to an extent. But they also prioritize spreading it out to different conferences. Last year they had a few regional hosts out west that really didn’t deserve it based on merit only. And the USM AD being on the committee may get them a regional they don’t deserve based on merit.
 
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Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

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patdog said:
It’s merit based to an extent. But they also prioritize spreading it out to different conferences. Last year they had a few regional hosts out west that really didn’t deserve it based on merit only. And the USM AD being on the committee may get them a regional they don’t deserve based on merit.
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They had 1 out West that didn’t deserve it. And it was the biggest WTF host selection moment in 25 years of this current format.

But its supposed to be 100% merit based. And there are already 2 out West (Oregon / Oregon State), so there’s not much cause to just give another one to some borderline team.
 
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leeinator

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CaptainFalcon said:
I think Tennessee has solidified themselves this week. I think OM still needs to beat Arkansas today, but if they do it all becomes very interesting. I lean toward the SEC getting 7, I do think 8 is possible, don’t see 9 happening.

I tend to think UCLA gets benefit of the doubt by being a West Coast team with a Top 15 RPI. I think Georgia Tech gets in by virtue of winning the ACC regular season title. There are two big unknowns for me:

1. Does USM get the “our AD is on the committee” treatment?

2. Does the Big 12 get a courtesy host site? TCU and Kansas are in decent spots RPI-wise if either was to win their league tourney. West Virginia has a more problematic RPI but they won the Big 12 regular season title, if they were to win their league tourney too, I could absolutely see them hosting even with a lesser RPI.
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USM AD has to recuse himself from all conversations on USM selection.
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,798
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leeinator said:
USM AD has to recuse himself from all conversations on USM selection.
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Yeah. But everyone in that room knows he’s walking right back in & they have to tell him to his face he’s not hosting. Not to mention maybe a couple of them may want his vote for a team they want to host.
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,798
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Perd Hapley said:
They had 1 out West that didn’t deserve it. And it was the biggest WTF host selection moment in 25 years of this current format.

But its supposed to be 100% merit based. And there are already 2 out West (Oregon / Oregon State), so there’s not much cause to just give another one to some borderline team.
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I bet they do though. And a couple questions I have. Is it really good for
College baseball as a whole to have more than half the hosts in one conference? And is one conference ever really THAT dominant?
 
Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

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patdog said:
And is one conference ever really THAT dominant?
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Well, yes actually. Behold the last 4 national championship series:

IMG_9590.jpeg

All won by SEC teams. All runner-ups are also current SEC teams. And its 8 different teams.

The SEC was already THAT dominant even before NIL and the portal came into play. Adding those two things has now just made it a laughing stock.
 
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patdog

Heisman
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Perd Hapley said:
Well, yes actually. Behold the last 4 national championship series:

View attachment 807225

All won by SEC teams. All runner-ups are also current SEC teams. And its 8 different teams.

The SEC was already THAT dominant even before NIL and the portal came into play. Adding those two things has now just made it a laughing stock.
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But how many current SEC teams made super regionals those years? 5, 7, 7, and 7. And now the SEC deserves 9 host sites? Of course it’s easily the best conference. But 9 of the top 16? Unprecedented by a long shot.
 
OG Goat Holder

OG Goat Holder

Heisman
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patdog said:
But how many current SEC teams made super regionals those years? 5, 7, 7, and 7. And now the SEC deserves 9 host sites? Of course it’s easily the best conference. But 9 of the top 16? Unprecedented by a long shot.
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Some of that has to do with SEC teams having to play on the road.
 
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CaptainFalcon

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I am at the point where I agree that yes, the SEC should get 8. Emphasis on should.

If the SEC gets 8, the following four potentially get left out:

USM who has won 18 in a row and AD on the committee
Georgia Tech who won the ACC regular season title
UCLA who shared the Big 10 regular season title and is now the favorite to win the tourney
TCU who can win the Big 12 tourney tonight

I don’t know how you pick two out of that group now. And it’s not out of the question three get picked and the 8th SEC team gets snubbed.

The thing that is unclear is how much weight the committee will put on tourneys. If the committee decides that they don’t value Hoover wins quite the same, obviously that affects teams like OM and Tennessee. No two committees are the same from year to year.

I think both OM and Tennessee host now… but they could get snubbed.
 
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Called3rdstrikedawg

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Ole Miss has stolen somebody's Host. And I would surprised if they don't end up in Omaha. Their pitching is white-hot! And if they get to Omaha, they just might win the damn thing!

meanwhile, after 2023's debacle, we hung on to Lemonis. They hung in with Shorty and he has delivered for them. Hate him or love him, he turned their sinking tugboat into a cruise ship!
 
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patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
56,798
26,186
113
CaptainFalcon said:
I am at the point where I agree that yes, the SEC should get 8. Emphasis on should.

If the SEC gets 8, the following four potentially get left out:

USM who has won 18 in a row and AD on the committee
Georgia Tech who won the ACC regular season title
UCLA who shared the Big 10 regular season title and is now the favorite to win the tourney
TCU who can win the Big 12 tourney tonight

I don’t know how you pick two out of that group now. And it’s not out of the question three get picked and the 8th SEC team gets snubbed.

The thing that is unclear is how much weight the committee will put on tourneys. If the committee decides that they don’t value Hoover wins quite the same, obviously that affects teams like OM and Tennessee. No two committees are the same from year to year.

I think both OM and Tennessee host now… but they could get snubbed.
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I think USM & GA Tech are out. USM will go to Oxford regional.
 
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