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West Virginia
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At what point to press the PANIC button?
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<blockquote data-quote="mountaineers8893" data-source="post: 129400574" data-attributes="member: 2011629"><p>It's a bit difficult to actually assess what we have this year. Our 3 wins have been dominant victories over lesser opponents, our losses have mostly been blowouts to top tier teams.</p><p></p><p>I always look at computer ratings, particularly Sagarin predictor ratings. They seem to be really good at predicting wins and losses, especially by this time in the year. Before the TCU gave we were ranked 28th, with the 16th hardest schedule. That schedule rating is sure to improve to top 10.</p><p></p><p>Sure it sounds weak to say "yeah but we lost to good teams". But it happens to be true, no matter what the value you put on that fact. We may not be a good team - by good team, i mean top 40. But we certainly havent played so poorly that we're in the bottom 40 either. TT is tough, Texas is improving every down it seems, and KState is never easy. We have tough games left against teams who would slaughter bottom 60 opponents. we will see how we do - but it's never wise to hit the panic button without looking at things.. 9-3 is not a possibility. 8-4 would be almost impossible. 7-5 or 6-6 is probable. don't assume we dont have any wins left just because we have laid eggs against some of the best teams in America. Press the panic button once we have lost our 6th or 7th game. Instead of complaining about Holgs, investigate what we've actually done and derive hope from the fact that our worst loss is really okstate. they aren't that bad. 6-6 or 7-5 isnt good enough long term, maybe you sat higher standards, but the truth is that making a bowl with this team and schedule would be an accomplishment. maybe not a great accomplishment, but it would be nice to sneak into a bowl and slaughter them, it would give some hope for 2016.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="mountaineers8893, post: 129400574, member: 2011629"] It's a bit difficult to actually assess what we have this year. Our 3 wins have been dominant victories over lesser opponents, our losses have mostly been blowouts to top tier teams. I always look at computer ratings, particularly Sagarin predictor ratings. They seem to be really good at predicting wins and losses, especially by this time in the year. Before the TCU gave we were ranked 28th, with the 16th hardest schedule. That schedule rating is sure to improve to top 10. Sure it sounds weak to say "yeah but we lost to good teams". But it happens to be true, no matter what the value you put on that fact. We may not be a good team - by good team, i mean top 40. But we certainly havent played so poorly that we're in the bottom 40 either. TT is tough, Texas is improving every down it seems, and KState is never easy. We have tough games left against teams who would slaughter bottom 60 opponents. we will see how we do - but it's never wise to hit the panic button without looking at things.. 9-3 is not a possibility. 8-4 would be almost impossible. 7-5 or 6-6 is probable. don't assume we dont have any wins left just because we have laid eggs against some of the best teams in America. Press the panic button once we have lost our 6th or 7th game. Instead of complaining about Holgs, investigate what we've actually done and derive hope from the fact that our worst loss is really okstate. they aren't that bad. 6-6 or 7-5 isnt good enough long term, maybe you sat higher standards, but the truth is that making a bowl with this team and schedule would be an accomplishment. maybe not a great accomplishment, but it would be nice to sneak into a bowl and slaughter them, it would give some hope for 2016. [/QUOTE]
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At what point to press the PANIC button?
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