Just heard a live interview with Chip Brown of orangebloods.com.
Summation:
-He's hearing that it's more and more likely that aTm will be making the jump, and very soon. aTm is fed up w/ Texas and is disillusioned with ESPN's behavior throughout the Longhorn Network development. They asked him to put a % on it, and he said definitely greater than 50%.
-Said Texas was very pissed, and still is, about aTm's filibuster of the Big 12 dissolution and potential jumps of several member institutions to the PAC-12, and that has affected their dealings w/ aTm since.
-Said Texas has threatened to never play aTm again, in any sport, and only tv contractual obligations may save the rivalry at this point, should they leave for the SEC.
-Says the Longhorn Network seemed like a good idea in theory, but ESPN has done major damage by trying to strong-arm some other Big 12 schools into having games vs. Texas exclusively televised on the Longhorn network. Named Texas Tech specifically. Said other schools have also been very vocal about their displeasure with the situation.
-Said ESPN didn't help themselves by having the Longhorn network seated with the national media at Big 12 media days, rather than with the regional reporters.
-Denied:
-that this is all a grand scheme to eventually have Texas go independent with their own ESPN-based t.v. deal.
-that Texas is waiting for someone else (aTm) to pull the trigger to start a domino effect and to avoid "having the blood on their hands" of Big 12 collapse and creating an even worse PR situation for Texas than this has already become.
(I personally call b.s. on this; seems like this is precisely Texas' strategy)
--Said the date he keeps hearing to watch out for is Monday. August 22nd, which, coincidentally, is the date the NCAA will rule on the propriety of allowing the Longhorn Network to televise high school games. Said he's been hearing that is the date the aTm Board of Regents will vote on whether to leave, and that all signs indicate that they are already strongly leaning that way.
-Also said, and this is another one I'm not so sure about, that he's heard there is a "wink-wink" agreement already between the aTm regents and the SEC, and that should aTm vote to make the change and "apply" for SEC membership, the "application" will be immediately approved.
-When asked about imbalance of the SEC divisions and how it may get balanced out, he said the SEC would likely have 13 teams for one year, then add another to the East to make it 14. Hearing that the SEC intends to stop expansion there, and has no intention of ever going to 16. Said he's heard Clemson, Va. Tech, and FSU, with FSU being the name popping up the most in recent days.