Baseball projections

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
61,335
33,064
113
Let's put it on the line. What's your projection of our overall record, conference record, and NCAA tournament seed (or miss the tournament).

31-25 (13-17) - would have projected a better record, but the schedule is brutal
#2 seed somewhere
 
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dawgatUSM

Redshirt
Apr 6, 2008
3,835
27
48
35-20 (16-14)

somewhat slow start with the tough schedule. Hit stride in SEC play. Get a host spot but not a national seed.

These are my realistic hopes. I'm still concerned about our hitting.
 

benatmsu

Junior
May 28, 2007
2,420
288
83
This looks about right. I'm going 33-22 (14-16).

I think we'll struggle early with power OOC teams.
Sub .500 - right at .500 in SEC.
Maybe we get hot at the end of the year, win a couple in the SEC tourney, on the bubble to host; probably a strong 2 at a weak 1.
Also (not taken into consideration in my record prediction) I predict a rainout in a winnable SEC game. Seems about right.

Not the ultimate goal, but certainly an improvement over last year.

*I reserve the right to slide my optimism/pessimism up or down as the season progresses.


Let's put it on the line. What's your projection of our overall record, conference record, and NCAA tournament seed (or miss the tournament).

31-24 (13-17) - would have projected a better record, but the schedule is brutal
#2 seed somewhere
 

Hump4Hoops

Redshirt
May 1, 2010
6,611
13
38
You're on the right track, but maybe too optimistic.

I might drop the conference record to 10 or 11 wins, needing a big conference tourney performance to make it in.

I think we've got to expect improvement, but we have a bunch of freshmen and returners who weren't very good last year, in a great conference.
 

LandArchDawg

Junior
Sep 14, 2003
2,599
269
83
This sounds about right. Usually we should expect no better than about .500 in SEC play. It is what we usually do in good years. In great years we dominate the SEC more.
 

Shmuley

Heisman
Mar 6, 2008
24,423
12,630
113
2 rainouts. Totally baffling lineup changes. Complaints about foul language. Underwhelming fan attendance. A devastating injury or two that none of us ever considers preseason (except the super-pessimistic among us).
 

KurtRambis4

Redshirt
Aug 30, 2006
15,926
0
36
I think

it's unfair to call them losers, because this won't be the same team (players) as last year, for the most part.
 

KurtRambis4

Redshirt
Aug 30, 2006
15,926
0
36
But they really

don't have a chance to prove you wrong...a good deal of the guys from last year are gone or won't be starting a lot. That was my point, and why I said it's unfair to call THIS group losers.
 

engie

Sophomore
May 29, 2011
10,764
106
63
40 wins. Host. On the road for the Supers.

With this schedule, 40 is a guaranteed national seed. Probably top 5.

Florida went 40-15 last year against the #1 SOS in the country and ended up as the #4 national seed. Our intended schedule(average final RPI of all opponents from last season) is slightly better than the schedule they actually played last year.

36-18 (16-13). Regional host.
 

engie

Sophomore
May 29, 2011
10,764
106
63
These guys are losers until they can prove me otherwise.

Which ones specifically? It takes a gift to reach this conclusion when 5 of the 9 opening day starters haven't ever suited up in maroon and white before.
Opening day lineup:
1. Jacob Robson CF
2. Jack Kruger DH
3. Brent Rooker RF
4. Nathaniel Lowe 1B
5. Reid Humphreys 3B
6. Elih Marrero C
7. Ryan Gridley 2B
8. Luke Alexander SS
9. Jake Mangum LF
SP Dakota Hudson


 

DirtyDog

Redshirt
Aug 24, 2012
520
14
18
Consistent hitting and reasonable power hitting are questionable.... 33 - 23 (14-16)

#2 Seed
 

engie

Sophomore
May 29, 2011
10,764
106
63
We won't have the #1 SOS. Itll be solid though.

40 wins. No national seed.

If teams are what they are expected -- no better or worse -- we will have the #1 SOS by a nice margin.

40 wins without a national seed does not compute. On any level.
 
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