Big Dance Projection

Maroon Eagle

All-American
May 24, 2006
17,842
7,595
102
I figured since it's February, I'd go ahead and post initial predictions. I'm going to try to have weekly updates.

Stats from realtimerpi.com:

1-seed</p> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">1</td> <td> Duke</td> <td align="right"> 19-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6893</td> <td align="right">6</td> <td align="right"> 0.6104</td> <td> Acc</td> <td align="right">6-1 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">3</td> <td> Oklahoma</td> <td align="right"> 21-1</td> <td align="right"> 0.6844</td> <td align="right">15</td> <td align="right"> 0.5899</td> <td> Big12</td> <td align="right">7-0 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">4</td> <td> North Carolina</td> <td align="right"> 18-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6619</td> <td align="right">16</td> <td align="right"> 0.5854</td> <td> Acc</td> <td align="right">5-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">6</td> <td> Connecticut</td> <td align="right"> 20-1</td> <td align="right"> 0.6577</td> <td align="right">38</td> <td align="right"> 0.5672</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">9-1 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
2-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">5</td> <td> Michigan St.</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6581</td> <td align="right">4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6189</td> <td> Big10</td> <td align="right">7-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">2</td> <td> Pittsburgh</td> <td align="right"> 18-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6866</td> <td align="right">9</td> <td align="right"> 0.6072</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">7-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">7</td> <td> Xavier</td> <td align="right"> 19-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6573</td> <td align="right">18</td> <td align="right"> 0.5835</td> <td> Atl10</td> <td align="right">7-0</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">10</td> <td> Louisville</td> <td align="right"> 17-3</td> <td align="right"> 0.6463</td> <td align="right">13</td> <td align="right"> 0.5943</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">8-0 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
3-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right"></td> <td align="right">11</td> <td> Memphis</td> <td align="right"> 18-3</td> <td align="right"> 0.6406</td> <td align="right">25</td> <td align="right"> 0.5770</td> <td> Cusa</td> <td align="right">7-0 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">13</td> <td> Marquette</td> <td align="right"> 19-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6317</td> <td align="right">64</td> <td align="right"> 0.5481</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">8-0</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">14</td> <td> Wake Forest</td> <td align="right"> 17-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6315</td> <td align="right">68</td> <td align="right"> 0.5470</td> <td> Acc</td> <td align="right">4-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">17</td> <td> Illinois</td> <td align="right"> 18-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6238</td> <td align="right">49</td> <td align="right"> 0.5604</td> <td> Big10</td> <td align="right">6-3</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
4-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">8</td> <td> Clemson</td> <td align="right"> 18-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6492</td> <td align="right">34</td> <td align="right"> 0.5693</td> <td> Acc</td> <td align="right">4-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">19</td> <td> Tennessee</td> <td align="right"> 13-7</td> <td align="right"> 0.6208</td> <td align="right">2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6298</td> <td> Sec</td> <td align="right">4-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">21</td> <td> Washington</td> <td align="right"> 16-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6196</td> <td align="right">20</td> <td align="right"> 0.5810</td> <td> Pac10</td> <td align="right">7-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">23</td> <td> Kansas</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6178</td> <td align="right">46</td> <td align="right"> 0.5627</td> <td> Big12</td> <td align="right">6-0 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
5-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">12</td> <td> Villanova</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6330</td> <td align="right">24</td> <td align="right"> 0.5781</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">5-3 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">22</td> <td> Minnesota</td> <td align="right"> 17-3</td> <td align="right"> 0.6179</td> <td align="right">54</td> <td align="right"> 0.5564</td> <td> Big10</td> <td align="right">6-3</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">16</td> <td> West Virginia</td> <td align="right"> 15-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.6240</td> <td align="right">11</td> <td align="right"> 0.5996</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">4-4</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">9</td> <td> Butler</td> <td align="right"> 18-1</td> <td align="right"> 0.6478</td> <td align="right">75</td> <td align="right"> 0.5416</td> <td> Horiz</td> <td align="right">10-0</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
6-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">25</td> <td> Purdue</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6116</td> <td align="right">48</td> <td align="right"> 0.5610</td> <td> Big10</td> <td align="right">6-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">24</td> <td> Syracuse</td> <td align="right"> 16-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6124</td> <td align="right">30</td> <td align="right"> 0.5713</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">5-4 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">28</td> <td> Texas</td> <td align="right"> 15-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6110</td> <td align="right">32</td> <td align="right"> 0.5704</td> <td> Big12</td> <td align="right">4-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">31</td> <td> UCLA</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6074</td> <td align="right">72</td> <td align="right"> 0.5440</td> <td> Pac10</td> <td align="right">7-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
7-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">18</td> <td> Georgetown</td> <td align="right"> 12-8</td> <td align="right"> 0.6213</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td align="right"> 0.6404</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">3-6 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">20</td> <td> Siena</td> <td align="right"> 17-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6199</td> <td align="right">39</td> <td align="right"> 0.5662</td> <td> Maac</td> <td align="right">11-0</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">30</td> <td> Davidson</td> <td align="right"> 17-3</td> <td align="right"> 0.6099</td> <td align="right">113</td> <td align="right"> 0.5197</td> <td> South</td> <td align="right">11-0</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">29</td> <td> Missouri</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6109</td> <td align="right">63</td> <td align="right"> 0.5487</td> <td> Big12</td> <td align="right">5-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
8-seed <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">32</td> <td> Dayton</td> <td align="right"> 20-2</td> <td align="right"> 0.6067</td> <td align="right">155</td> <td align="right"> 0.4989</td> <td> Atl10</td> <td align="right">6-1 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">26</td> <td> Oklahoma St.</td> <td align="right"> 13-7</td> <td align="right"> 0.6114</td> <td align="right">5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6128</td> <td> Big12</td> <td align="right">2-4 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">33</td> <td> Ohio St.</td> <td align="right"> 15-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6065</td> <td align="right">36</td> <td align="right"> 0.5689</td> <td> Big10</td> <td align="right">5-4</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">35</td> <td> Florida</td> <td align="right"> 18-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.6059</td> <td align="right">95</td> <td align="right"> 0.5301</td> <td> Sec</td> <td align="right">5-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
9-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">34</td> <td> Brigham Young</td> <td align="right"> 15-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.6064</td> <td align="right">40</td> <td align="right"> 0.5658</td> <td> Mwest</td> <td align="right">4-3 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">38</td> <td> Virginia Tech</td> <td align="right"> 14-7</td> <td align="right"> 0.5997</td> <td align="right">22</td> <td align="right"> 0.5797</td> <td> Acc</td> <td align="right">4-3 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">42</td> <td> USC</td> <td align="right"> 15-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5994</td> <td align="right">28</td> <td align="right"> 0.5729</td> <td> Pac10</td> <td align="right">6-3</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">40</td> <td> Gonzaga</td> <td align="right"> 15-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.5997</td> <td align="right">76</td> <td align="right"> 0.5411</td> <td> Wcc</td> <td align="right">7-0 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
10-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">39</td> <td> Utah St.</td> <td align="right"> 20-1</td> <td align="right"> 0.5997</td> <td align="right">205</td> <td align="right"> 0.4827</td> <td> Wac</td> <td align="right">9-0 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">47</td> <td> South Carolina</td> <td align="right"> 16-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.5920</td> <td align="right">101</td> <td align="right"> 0.5262</td> <td> Sec</td> <td align="right">5-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">46</td> <td> UNLV</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.5928</td> <td align="right">102</td> <td align="right"> 0.5257</td> <td> Mwest</td> <td align="right">5-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">41</td> <td> California</td> <td align="right"> 16-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5996</td> <td align="right">53</td> <td align="right"> 0.5570</td> <td> Pac10</td> <td align="right">5-4</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
11-seed <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">55</td> <td> LSU</td> <td align="right"> 17-4</td> <td align="right"> 0.5820</td> <td align="right">111</td> <td align="right"> 0.5206</td> <td> Sec</td> <td align="right">5-1 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">48</td> <td> Temple</td> <td align="right"> 12-8</td> <td align="right"> 0.5893</td> <td align="right">47</td> <td align="right"> 0.5612</td> <td> Atl10</td> <td align="right">4-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">51</td> <td> Boston College</td> <td align="right"> 17-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5876</td> <td align="right">57</td> <td align="right"> 0.5557</td> <td> Acc</td> <td align="right">5-3 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">53</td> <td> San Diego St.</td> <td align="right"> 13-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.5835</td> <td align="right">84</td> <td align="right"> 0.5368</td> <td> Mwest</td> <td align="right">5-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
12-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">50</td> <td> St. Mary's</td> <td align="right"> 16-3</td> <td align="right"> 0.5881</td> <td align="right">180</td> <td align="right"> 0.4911</td> <td> Wcc</td> <td align="right">5-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">63</td> <td> Providence</td> <td align="right"> 14-7</td> <td align="right"> 0.5763</td> <td align="right">42</td> <td align="right"> 0.5645</td> <td> Bige</td> <td align="right">6-3</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">66</td> <td> Penn St.</td> <td align="right"> 17-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.5748</td> <td align="right">107</td> <td align="right"> 0.5217</td> <td> Big10</td> <td align="right">6-3 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">45</td> <td> Arizona St.</td> <td align="right"> 16-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.5970</td> <td align="right">62</td> <td align="right"> 0.5503</td> <td> Pac10</td> <td align="right">5-4 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
13-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">57</td> <td> Northeastern</td> <td align="right"> 15-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5815</td> <td align="right">103</td> <td align="right"> 0.5245</td> <td> Coln</td> <td align="right">10-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">71</td> <td> Buffalo</td> <td align="right"> 14-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.5601</td> <td align="right">160</td> <td align="right"> 0.4977</td> <td> Midam</td> <td align="right">6-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">73</td> <td> Northern Iowa</td> <td align="right"> 15-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5599</td> <td align="right">122</td> <td align="right"> 0.5122</td> <td> Mvc</td> <td align="right">10-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">86</td> <td> Stephen F. Austin</td> <td align="right"> 10-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.5517</td> <td align="right">201</td> <td align="right"> 0.4842</td> <td> Sland</td> <td align="right">6-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
14-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right"></td> <td align="right">96</td> <td> Cornell</td> <td align="right"> 12-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5411</td> <td align="right">203</td> <td align="right"> 0.4833</td> <td> Ivy</td> <td align="right">4-0</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">98</td> <td> North Dakota St</td> <td align="right"> 14-5</td> <td align="right"> 0.5392</td> <td align="right">276</td> <td align="right"> 0.4555</td> <td> Midco</td> <td align="right">10-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">114</td> <td> Virginia Military</td> <td align="right"> 13-3</td> <td align="right"> 0.5301</td> <td align="right">319</td> <td align="right"> 0.4276</td> <td> Bsou</td> <td align="right">8-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">116</td> <td> AR Little Rock</td> <td align="right"> 16-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5287</td> <td align="right">257</td> <td align="right"> 0.4626</td> <td> Sbelt</td> <td align="right">9-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
15-seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">121</td> <td> Vermont</td> <td align="right"> 16-6</td> <td align="right"> 0.5256</td> <td align="right">268</td> <td align="right"> 0.4572</td> <td> Aeast</td> <td align="right">7-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">122</td> <td> Weber St.</td> <td align="right"> 13-8</td> <td align="right"> 0.5251</td> <td align="right">204</td> <td align="right"> 0.4832</td> <td> Bsky</td> <td align="right">8-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">144</td> <td> Jacksonville</td> <td align="right"> 12-9</td> <td align="right"> 0.5083</td> <td align="right">186</td> <td align="right"> 0.4892</td> <td> Atsun</td> <td align="right">10-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">145</td> <td> Robert Morris</td> <td align="right"> 15-7</td> <td align="right"> 0.5075</td> <td align="right">295</td> <td align="right"> 0.4446</td> <td> Neast</td> <td align="right">9-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
16 seed
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">148</td> <td> Long Beach St.</td> <td align="right"> 11-9</td> <td align="right"> 0.5062</td> <td align="right">185</td> <td align="right"> 0.4893</td> <td> Bigw</td> <td align="right">6-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">158</td> <td> Morehead St.</td> <td align="right"> 11-10</td> <td align="right"> 0.5017</td> <td align="right">187</td> <td align="right"> 0.4889</td> <td> Ovc</td> <td align="right">9-2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">170</td> <td> Holy Cross</td> <td align="right"> 11-11</td> <td align="right"> 0.4952</td> <td align="right">195</td> <td align="right"> 0.4866</td> <td> Patr</td> <td align="right">6-1 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>Play-in
<table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">187</td> <td> Morgan St.</td> <td align="right"> 10-10</td> <td align="right"> 0.4884</td> <td align="right">218</td> <td align="right"> 0.4773</td> <td> Meac</td> <td align="right">6-2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="468" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="right">234</td> <td> Alabama St.</td> <td align="right"> 8-8</td> <td align="right"> 0.4570</td> <td align="right">330</td> <td align="right"> 0.4149</td> <td> Swac</td> <td align="right">7-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

Last Four In
St. Mary's, Providence, Penn State, Arizona State

Last Four Out
St. Joseph's, Baylor, UAB, Kentucky