Bracketology
- Thread starter UNC76
- Start date
today’s recap:
Net #14, WAB #16 MD loses to NET #25 OR (MD was a Crème 4 seed before)
NET #16, WAB #15 Mich St loses to NET #32 IL (was a 4 seed)
NET #21, WAB #30 TN loses to NET #27 AL (7 seed)
NET #22, WAB #24 USC loses to NET #29 WA (8 seed)
NET #31. WAB #26 TT loses to NET #59 K State (5 seed)
Net #14, WAB #16 MD loses to NET #25 OR (MD was a Crème 4 seed before)
NET #16, WAB #15 Mich St loses to NET #32 IL (was a 4 seed)
NET #21, WAB #30 TN loses to NET #27 AL (7 seed)
NET #22, WAB #24 USC loses to NET #29 WA (8 seed)
NET #31. WAB #26 TT loses to NET #59 K State (5 seed)
Crème’s midnight update still has us at a 5, was hoping for better https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/s...lege-basketball-projections?consent_mode=cpra
Kentucky replaced Mich St on the 4 seed line and Ohio State was unharmed by their loss, staying a 4 seed.
There is no longer room in the SEC and B1G tournaments for upsets that will drop teams noticeably to help us. But we do want the top teams to win, ending the runs of teams we are competing against. That way teams like KY and Ohio State do not stack wins where we cannot catch them.
the Big XII and possibly the ACC still provide some possibilities. We want TCU to get upset, Baylor too.
the Big XII and possibly the ACC still provide some possibilities. We want TCU to get upset, Baylor too.
Yeah that would be hard to ignore and thanks for lowering some of my negativity! I guess I am just upset because I feel like we have already demonstrated we are top 16 worthy but know the committee will not agree. Seems that we need to win at least two games to have a chance. Let’s start by winning one tonight.
We made it to the semis last year and earned a 3 seed. The ACCT will matter.
6-5 in Quad 1 would be impossible to ignore. We are already 15th in WAB, 16th in both polls. And our 19th in NET would rise.
KY is blown out by UofSC. Creme moved KY instead of us to the 4 seed yesterday after their convincing win over UGA but they will climb no higher and we could pass them with our own run.
KY closed the season 6 & 8 in the last 14 games and finished with a 23-10 record 9-9 in conf games, 5-9 in Quad 1 & 2-1 in Quad 2 (7-10 combined Q1-Q2)
By comparison UNC is currently 13-1 in the last 14 game with a 25-6 record, 14-4 in conf games, 4-5 in Quad 1 & 8-1 in Quad 2 (12-6 combined Q1-Q2)
Both teams are perfect in Q3 - Q4.
Somehow the NET before today has KY at 14th and us at 19th; makes no sense to me. The WAB flips that with us 14th and KY 18th.
Wash also lost today. They were not a current 4 seed contender but could have made noise with a deep B1G run.
KY closed the season 6 & 8 in the last 14 games and finished with a 23-10 record 9-9 in conf games, 5-9 in Quad 1 & 2-1 in Quad 2 (7-10 combined Q1-Q2)
By comparison UNC is currently 13-1 in the last 14 game with a 25-6 record, 14-4 in conf games, 4-5 in Quad 1 & 8-1 in Quad 2 (12-6 combined Q1-Q2)
Both teams are perfect in Q3 - Q4.
Somehow the NET before today has KY at 14th and us at 19th; makes no sense to me. The WAB flips that with us 14th and KY 18th.
Wash also lost today. They were not a current 4 seed contender but could have made noise with a deep B1G run.
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tOSU beats Minn
Creme had both teams as a 4 seed today.
Minn is a bit of a paradox: 8th in NET but 17th in WAB. Not sure how that is possible. 5-7 in Quad 1 , 2-1 in Quad 2. Now 7-8 combined.
Ohio State is the opposite: 17th in NET, 8th in WAB. Make it make sense. They are a really strong 9-6 now in Q1, 4-o Q2, 13-6 combined. I have no complaints with them above us. And after today their resume grows. I don't think we pass them unless we beat Louisville and possibly need to win the ACCT to be safe.
Creme had both teams as a 4 seed today.
Minn is a bit of a paradox: 8th in NET but 17th in WAB. Not sure how that is possible. 5-7 in Quad 1 , 2-1 in Quad 2. Now 7-8 combined.
Ohio State is the opposite: 17th in NET, 8th in WAB. Make it make sense. They are a really strong 9-6 now in Q1, 4-o Q2, 13-6 combined. I have no complaints with them above us. And after today their resume grows. I don't think we pass them unless we beat Louisville and possibly need to win the ACCT to be safe.
Apparently the officials from our game at Duke double as bracketologists. This team has earned a host spot.
And even worse in the RPI at 24.
Creme still has Kentucky as a 4 seed, with us the 5 seed in their bracket.
As I feared, he moved Ole Miss up to a 5, and kept both Maryland and Minnesota as a 4.
It's seems like ever since he got burned projecting us to host in 2023, and the selection committee hosed us with a 6 seed, he has been hesitant to seed us as high as our resume would indicate.
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I believe all four teams in the ACC have byes in the tournament Now. Unless they believe the SEC teams get routinely blown out by the big 3. ACC with 4 team committee. SEC blowout bias is ridiculous.
ACC 4 Top 16 Charlie.
ACC 4 Top 16 Charlie.
I just do not get it. Creme just does not like us. With those teams getting blown out, you would think our chances to move to a four see will increase some. It seems like we have to beat Louisville, and beat Duke in order for him to change in mind it just plain ridiculous especially how some of the SEC teams are getting blown out in their tournament.
We shall see. They are hell bent on making us a 5 seed. I hope and pray that we can get a 4 seed.
We really need TCU to beat WVa in the game that just started. A win by WVa most likely moves them into a host spot.
Charlie is so blinded by the SEC blowouts he's convinced himself that only the SEC team can routinely be blowout by the top 3 and lose nothing actually rise. Now his bias has left him with West Virginia. Insane. SEC blowout bias
ACC TOP 4 TOURNAMENT TEAMS A Lock for top 16. Home games.
ACC TOP 4 TOURNAMENT TEAMS A Lock for top 16. Home games.
WVU with too much hustle and toughness for the tall TCU team. Miles had a great start but not that effective after the first quarter.
He'll probably like Iowa too despite losing to UCLA today by 51. At least UNC was within 12 entering the 4th quarter vs UCLA.
In the his latest bracketology, Creme still has Carolina as a 5th seed with Maryland, Minnesota, Oklahoma, and West Virginia as his 4th seeds.
I really don’t get the obsession with Maryland. They’re 6-6 their last 12. They’ve lost 2 in a row- including by 20 to the team UCLA beat by 51 yesterday. Lost their first game of their conference tournament. Last year, the committee, ignored West Virginia’s NET of 12 and gave them a 6 seed. They’ve got a lower WAB, worse recent games record, fewer road wins, much less combined Q1/Q2 wins, and 2/3 of their wins are vs Q3/Q4 wins. They’ve committee has to decide if NET alone is worth more than literally every other category they choose from.
I can’t complain with the other 3 4-seeds. They deserve to host.
I get the love for West Virginia, because their resume looked like a top 4 seed even before beating TCU. Oklahoma's win over UofSuCk definitely helps their cause, but Minnesota and Maryland just don't make sense, unless you ONLY use NET rankings. Minnesota is 7-8 vs Q1 & Q2 teams, 24 in RPI, 18 in WAB and played a soft OOC schedule (SOS 162). Maryland is 8-8 vs Q1 and Q2 teams, 36 in RPI, 17 in WAB and played pitiful OOC schedule (SOS 256). Meanwhile, we are 13-7 vs Q1 and Q2 opponents, 20 in the RPI, 15 in WAB and played a respectable OOC schedule (SOS 84). In addition, with legit officiating in Cameron, we have 2 wins over ACC champ dook, although I'm sure that won't be considered by the selection committee.
Agree.
None of the 3s, 4s, or 5s scare me. Play our game and don’t go on two 7-minute and 5-minute scoring droughts and we are in a fantastic spot to win.