BWI Sports Betting Thread
- Thread starter Grant Green
- Start date
It's been a bit. Two misleading box scores from Week 13
Marshall - 24pts, 438yds, 6.3ypp (-3 TO)
App - 26 pts, 276 yds, 3.9ypp
Missou - 6 pts, 301yds, 4.2 ypp (-2 TO)
OU - 17pts, 276yds, 4.5ypp
Semi misleading - ECU should have lost but not by this much
ECU - 24pts, 401yds, 6.1ypp (-3 TO)
UTSA - 58pts, 458yds, 6.3ypp
Marshall - 24pts, 438yds, 6.3ypp (-3 TO)
App - 26 pts, 276 yds, 3.9ypp
Missou - 6 pts, 301yds, 4.2 ypp (-2 TO)
OU - 17pts, 276yds, 4.5ypp
Semi misleading - ECU should have lost but not by this much
ECU - 24pts, 401yds, 6.1ypp (-3 TO)
UTSA - 58pts, 458yds, 6.3ypp
Now 3-3 on the ones I've posted this year. Here is one I'll share for tonight...
Montana/Oakland over 160.5
Montana/Oakland over 160.5
Diego Pavia may not win the Heisman, but he is the betting Heisman in my opinion. Per teamrankings.com, his team is 9-2-1 ATS this season (I assume this is vs closing line). That brings Pavia to 28-10-2 ATS in his last 3 seasons! NMST was 8-5 ATS in his first season, which I didn't include because I wasn't sure how many games he started that season. If he started all of them, his overall ATS record would be 36-15-2.
There were a bunch of misleading box scores this week, but I only noted one.
Auburn 20pts, 411yds, 5.5 ypp (-2 TO)
Alabama - 27 pts, 280yds, 3.8ypp
Unfortunately, I bet Auburn. They should have covered.
There were a bunch of misleading box scores this week, but I only noted one.
Auburn 20pts, 411yds, 5.5 ypp (-2 TO)
Alabama - 27 pts, 280yds, 3.8ypp
Unfortunately, I bet Auburn. They should have covered.
Picking up some slack for @Erial_Lion if anyone needs a little help with some bowl games
He covers PSU at 21:00
He covers PSU at 21:00
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Took a few month break from the board as things got more and more unbearable...but back for the madness of March.
Was 4-3 (+.7 units) on my NCAAB plays. Here is a future for this week...
Liberty to win the CUSA Tournament (+275 at DK)
Really good price on Liberty here...they were leaking oil a bit coming home after they wrapped up the regular season title. Hoping that the week off to reset things and the motivation of needing to win the tourney to dance gives them the boost they need to get playing again like the most talented team in the conference (which they are). Shop around, as they are as low as +175 (BOL) elsewhere.
Was 4-3 (+.7 units) on my NCAAB plays. Here is a future for this week...
Liberty to win the CUSA Tournament (+275 at DK)
Really good price on Liberty here...they were leaking oil a bit coming home after they wrapped up the regular season title. Hoping that the week off to reset things and the motivation of needing to win the tourney to dance gives them the boost they need to get playing again like the most talented team in the conference (which they are). Shop around, as they are as low as +175 (BOL) elsewhere.
Liberty laid another egg, getting upset tonight in the CUSA Quarters. Now -.3 units across the 8 plays this season.
I’ll share one NCAAB for today…
New Mexico -13.5 San Jose St
also some 13’s out there (or a -13.5 -102 at DK)
New Mexico -13.5 San Jose St
also some 13’s out there (or a -13.5 -102 at DK)
I'd need it around -1 or -1.5 to consider it (unless something changes in the next 48 hours)...but suspect you'll be looking at something more like -3 or even -3.5.
Oh well. Good news is I had UMass +270 today and a ticket on Akron (+135) to win the tournament.
DKNJ has the following odds posted for teams to make the NCAA Tournament...
Team - YES/NO
Auburn: +390/-600
Miami (Oh): -900/+550
Missouri: -350/+250
Oklahoma: +450/-700
San Diego St: -120/-110 (priced at +105 to win MWC this afternoon)
SMU: -130/+100
Texas: -125/-105
VCU: -300/+245 (priced at +160 to win A10 tournament)
My thoughts on them...
Auburn - lean towards playing no, but priced pretty fairly
Miami (Oh) - I played the yes at -900...steep price, but still undervalued
Missouri - I played the yes at -350...think they have a better than 80% chance
Oklahoma - I played the yes at +450...think they have a better than 20% chance
San Diego St - Seems fairly priced...small chance that they get an at-large, and it's priced in accordingly
SMU - Think it's priced pretty fairly
Texas - I played the no at -105...with San Diego St and an A10 bid stealer hanging out there, tough to see them at better than 40%
VCU - Think it's priced fairly when considering they have a good chance to play for the auto-bid tomorrow
So in summary, plays are...
Miami (Oh) - Yes at -900
Missouri - Yes at -350
Oklahoma - Yes at +450
Texas - No at -105
Team - YES/NO
Auburn: +390/-600
Miami (Oh): -900/+550
Missouri: -350/+250
Oklahoma: +450/-700
San Diego St: -120/-110 (priced at +105 to win MWC this afternoon)
SMU: -130/+100
Texas: -125/-105
VCU: -300/+245 (priced at +160 to win A10 tournament)
My thoughts on them...
Auburn - lean towards playing no, but priced pretty fairly
Miami (Oh) - I played the yes at -900...steep price, but still undervalued
Missouri - I played the yes at -350...think they have a better than 80% chance
Oklahoma - I played the yes at +450...think they have a better than 20% chance
San Diego St - Seems fairly priced...small chance that they get an at-large, and it's priced in accordingly
SMU - Think it's priced pretty fairly
Texas - I played the no at -105...with San Diego St and an A10 bid stealer hanging out there, tough to see them at better than 40%
VCU - Think it's priced fairly when considering they have a good chance to play for the auto-bid tomorrow
So in summary, plays are...
Miami (Oh) - Yes at -900
Missouri - Yes at -350
Oklahoma - Yes at +450
Texas - No at -105