College Football Week 1 Lines: Miss. State +11.5

[ShrubDog]

Thursday, August 29

USC at Hawaii (+19)

Tulsa at Bowling Green (+4)

North Carolina at South Carolina (-14.5)

Saturday, August 31

Rice at Texas A&M (-27.5)

Oklahoma State vs. Mississippi State (+11.5) in Houston

Penn State vs. Syracuse (+5) in East Rutherford

Temple at Notre Dame (-21)

Virginia Tech vs. Alabama (-21.5) in Atlanta

Georgia at Clemson (-2)

LSU vs. TCU (+6.5) in Arlington

Colorado vs. Colorado State (pick) in Denver

Monday, September 2

Florida State at Pitt (+8.5)

 

[TBone.sixpack]

I may bet against the Dawgs for a win/win. A victory is worth a couple hundred to me. We lose I get a little scratch. Have a feeling I will get some extra money. I don't like this game at all.

 

[57stratdawg]

Pretty surprised by 11.5 on a neutral field. I think we can cover that.

 

[ShrubDog]

It is one of those weird lines. Years ago I kept tabs on games that had opened as 11 point spreads. And if I remember correctly the underdog not only covered but won SU at a high percentage. Dont quote me on that...but I think its 11. I used to cap games as a part time job and collected lots of data and formulas. But I have slowed down the past few years.

My point being is that it opened at 11.

Its sitting between 10 and 13. It will be interesting if it crosses one of those key digits.

 

[CookieMonster.sixpack]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't most sharps say that the early season college football lines are some of the best opportunities to make money because Vegas hasn't totally figured out the teams yet. There's such a high turnover rate roster-wise that I wouldn't be shocked if that was the case.

 

[ShrubDog]

Yes that is correct. Lines sharpen up around week 6. And the NFL starts later in the season as well.
Some of us use to post our picks and stuff on here a few years ago. I think Fishwater shed some info on games..and of course C34.

It got out of hand on my side cause I was posting my wager tickets and some where large and I was winning. My PM was blowing up for folks asking who I got etc. so I stopped posting all together.

NBA Playoffs have always been good to me. I never liked the regular season games because it is hard to know if a team is going to play all out or not. You really need to keep up with it and there are allot of games. I know the teams but don't wager until playoffs. During the playoffs the teams are going to start playing for real. I have always done well in NBA playoffs, even better than NFL some seasons.

 

[fishwater99]

Not if we lose by 11 or less. You lose your bet and we lose the game..
I like us and the points...

 

[ShrubDog]

What up Fish

Here are the BCS Title Odds

Alabama +250
Ohio St +600
Oregon +700
Georgia +1200
Texas A&M +1200
Stanford +1500
LSU +1500
South Carolina +1500
Florida +1500
Clemson +2500
Texas +3000
Notre Dame +3000
Michigan +3000
Louisville +3000
Oklahoma St +3000
Florida St +4000
UCLA +5000
Oklahoma +5000
Nebraska +6000
USC +6000
Virginia Tech +10000
TCU +10000
Oregon St +10000
Boise St +10000
Michigan St +10000
Washington +10000
Northwestern +10000
Arizona St +10000
Wisconsin +10000
BYU +20000
Cincinnati +20000
Arkansas +30000
North Carolina +30000
Baylor +30000
Texas Tech +30000
Kansas St +30000
Fresno St +30000
Vanderbilt +50000
Missouri +50000
Mississippi +50000
Auburn +50000
Tennessee +50000
Utah +50000
West Virginia +50000
Georgia Tech +50000
Mississippi St +50000
Arizona +50000
Iowa +50000
North Carolina St +50000
Field +2500

 

[aTotal360]

Smart money is on NBA preseason games.**

 

[Fred's Love Boat]

That spread is way way too much. I'm puttin the house on the dawgs! Easy money!

 

[TBone.sixpack]

That's true but I don't think we will win. I also don't think it is going to be that close. I have little faith that they won't throw it all over our ***. That's why i said I don't like this game at all.

 

[RocketDawg]

I'm biased like everybody else on here, but that spread is huge and WAY too much. I think we're gonna win the game, and almost certainly not lose by that margin. It's on Oklahoma State, not Alabama. Some can probably make some decent money at that. Geez, they only think FSU will beat Pitt by 5, and they got trampled by the Bears. FSU should blow them off the map. And I might take Alabama even at +21.5. I don't think they will be beat this year.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

I would lay the 11.5 all day long even up to 13.5. Archive it.

 

[121Josey]

I would lay the 11.5 all day long even up to 13.5. Archive it.

I agree. But if they had a defense worth anything, I wouldn't dare. Also interesting is LSU @ Clemson; Where is TSUN @ Vandy?

 

[InaccuratePredictionsDawg]

This is a good litmus test for Mullen...

..if Dan Mulllen, entering his 5th year coupled with several returning veterans, plays Oklahoma State on a neutral field yet gets beat by 12 points, then you can officially mark down Dan Mullen as a failure as a head football coach. And if questioned about this privately, I think Dan Mullen would agree with me.

 

[Beretta.sixpack]

Good litmus test for Collins. I see this like the aTm game last year with newDC

you guys may think that line is high, but if we come to the ballgame running same defensive schemes with new secondary, still a ****** OL, inexperienced WRs you can bet OSU to win 40-10. I think Collins progressed in the bowl game even though some may feel differently.....he has had the entire spring to get em his way, but there is still a young LB and CB crew.....

as a gambler, I stay away from this one.....this is one of those either really really close, or a blow out.....the blowout not in our favor....

 

[CookieMonster.sixpack]

My question is, how in the world can you handicap a college game 4 months out without much of each team's recruiting class even on campus yet?

 

[MedDawg]

Vandy favored -6.5 over OM

I agree. But if they had a defense worth anything, I wouldn't dare. Also interesting is LSU @ Clemson; Where is TSUN @ Vandy?

The Florida State only -8.5 at Pitt would be my biggest pick. FSU rolls by 2 TD's or more.

 

[ShrubDog]

I would lay the 11.5 all day long even up to 13.5. Archive it.

What about -13.5 [-120]


This is the type of game if someone thinks OSU wins...lay the chalk. And MSU would be a ML wager, forget the points cause they either lose ATS or win SU.