Countdown to 8
- Thread starter dawgstudent
- Start date
If we win 8 I will donate the money to build the statue of lebby myself
I think a lot of SEC fans are assuming 10+ wins is in, 9-3 is out. That’s makes sense looking at last season.
But that is one data point. I think with enough years in the current format, we could see a 9-3 SEC team get in AND/OR a 10-2 SEC team get left out.
Examples: Florida could get in at 9-3 this year. Ole Miss could get left out at 10-2. It all depends on what happens around the country and if your opponents win games that strengthen your resume.
Hypothetical: What if Georgia is the only team on Ole Miss’s schedule with more than eight wins and that is one of Ole Miss’s two losses? They would be 10-2 without a signature win. Depending on how the rest of the country plays out, I could see them being left out, despite the clear line drawn at 10 wins last season.
ETA: South Carolina plays six ranked teams. LSU, Florida, and Oklahoma play seven ranked teams. All of those teams having 4+ losses is not a crazy scenario.
But that is one data point. I think with enough years in the current format, we could see a 9-3 SEC team get in AND/OR a 10-2 SEC team get left out.
Examples: Florida could get in at 9-3 this year. Ole Miss could get left out at 10-2. It all depends on what happens around the country and if your opponents win games that strengthen your resume.
Hypothetical: What if Georgia is the only team on Ole Miss’s schedule with more than eight wins and that is one of Ole Miss’s two losses? They would be 10-2 without a signature win. Depending on how the rest of the country plays out, I could see them being left out, despite the clear line drawn at 10 wins last season.
ETA: South Carolina plays six ranked teams. LSU, Florida, and Oklahoma play seven ranked teams. All of those teams having 4+ losses is not a crazy scenario.
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Conference vs non-conference losses would be a big factor too. Going 7-1 in the SEC with 2 early OOC loses against playoff teams would be more compelling vs going 5-3
I’m waiting for Ole Miss fans to respond to this by wishing they had State’s schedule… **
See, you think you're being appropriately pessimistic, but you are forgetting that if we're 3-9 or god forbid, 2-10, we're also very likely to be (0-8), so having an 8 in our record is the safer bet.
I’m betting there will be a 10 in our record and we will not make the playoffs.
