Absolutely can not afford ANY bad losses. Holding the status quo = beat UGA at home, AUB on the road, USCe on the road, and Ark at home.
We can "afford" to lose the road games to Bama and LSU, as well as the home game to Kentucky, and still hold onto a good seed(and high rpi). That said, I'd REALLY like to get that LSU game on the road....