current events thread

dtrain79

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This happened in Canada. Get them off the roads!



This happened in 2022 it appears. (The driver is Indian, not Hispanic, so the "them" seems rather misplaced).

Very sad obviously, but not recent and not applicable to the comment.

Man some people can't handle the Internet.
 

JeffT819

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Dec 4, 2001
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The Fed 🤦‍♂️

Global rate spreads underscore just how out of touch the Fed is with the rest of the world. The European Central Bank’s deposit facility sits at 2%. The Bank of Japan holds near 0.5%. China runs its seven-day repo at 1.4%. Against that backdrop, the Fed’s 4.25%–4.50% target range remains a glaring outlier – more than 200 basis points above Europe, nearly 400 above Japan, and triple China.

The result: the U.S. economy combines the world’s highest policy rates and mortgage rates with the world’s strongest currency – a triple hit to American exporters.


  • Financing disadvantage: American manufacturers pay more to borrow, making new plants and equipment costlier.
  • Currency distortion: Elevated Fed rates keep the dollar over-priced, inflating the price of U.S. exports while giving foreign competitors a pricing edge.
  • Market share erosion: Foreign rivals win contracts not because they innovate, but because they borrow cheaply and undercut U.S. prices.
On the home front, the Powell squeeze is just as punishing. Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates remain stuck in the 6–7% range, double pre-pandemic levels. That locks millions of young families out of the housing market and stalls residential construction — historically one of the most powerful engines of U.S. recoveries.

Ugh..

Comparing interest rates with other countries is pointless. Japan's economy had been struggling for decades so naturally its interest rates are lower. The Fed is charged with managing the US economy, the dynamics of other economies are irrelevant.

In addition, the average 30 yr mortgage rate for the past 50 years is 7.71%. Mortgage rates are currently near historic norms. Mortgage rates in the 3-4% range were an anomaly and can't be expected to be sustainable.

Given the weakening labor market, there will likely be an interest rate cut soon.
 
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dtrain79

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I don't think the budget is a short term fix. Sadly, it appears the only way our congress can pass anything is with favors and pork.

Do you believe WordSalad would have it balanced by now?

The budget is not a short-term fix. Seeing that Trump has no long-term plan, let's just be honest with ourselves and acknowledge he's not the solution.

Dems are not either.

Unfortunately, only crisis may be the solution. We are going to end up with (a) higher taxes including on the middle class and (b) reductions in government spending. Both will be required.
 

BigWill

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Bad Blood, Style, Picture to Burn, Teardrops on My Guitar, Look What You Made Me Do, Part of Me (with lead singer from Panic at the Disco, IIRC). Those are off the top of my head. I could look up my play list I have of her music. Her last couple of albums have been somewhat boring. She is an excellent entertainer. She has burned through a lot of relationships and used them for songs. I wasn’t thrilled she came out as a Democrat, but frankly, if Kelce is the one that rocks her world, I am happy for both of them and wish them a a long and successful/fulfilling life together. I’m not a “Swifty”, but I don’t get the anymosity towards her. She isn’t directing the football production crew to put a camera on her every 5 minutes. Yes. Love does concur all.
I have no animosity to her songs or choice of every partner thru and including this one.

I am just thinking of Comey listening and singing along as he mows his lawn. (YUCK)
 

BigWill

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Your algorithm is late as usual. Already posted on previous page. Look up Ingram interview of Lutnick.

As for the topic at hand, while I would like to see quite a few less Chinese students, using Illinois schools as an example, the state doesn’t fund the state schools anywhere near what they used to do. They should cut departments with useless degrees, cut overhead, but that isn’t something that is easy to accomplish in the academic world. AFAIK foreign students pay more money for tuition than in state, so that is why many of these schools stay afloat and happily take foreign students. The answer to the issue isn’t easy, but they should be warning the university system that they need to start filtering out the Chinese students so the schools have a softer landing in a few years.
Is the 600,000 more, the same, or less for Joey's years ?
 

tjfleck6

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Apr 19, 2008
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Comparing interest rates with other countries is pointless. Japan's economy had been struggling for decades so naturally its interest rates are lower. The Fed is charged with managing the US economy, the dynamics of other economies is irrelevant.

In addition, the average 30 yr mortgage rate for the past 50 years is 7.71%. Mortgage rates are currently near historic norms. Mortgage rates in the 3-4% range were an anomaly and can't be expected to be sustainable.

Given the weakening labor market, there will likely be an interest rate cut soon.
Thanks, Jeff, for your usual negative assessment. I now know the US economy is booming and the labor market strengthening for Americans, not your precious illegals.

Americans continue to gain jobs every month! Just yesterday, core capital spending surprised the experts.

And for the incredible high school X-C runner, checkout Nvidia's earnings after the market close. I did tell you to buy it in 2020 when it was less than $7/share. Let's hope it doesn't go down in price after the stellar earnings are released! Currently hovering around $181 / share 5.5 years after I bought some (in addition to the shares my broker bought and held in 2017).

U.S. core capital goods orders beats forecasts as shipments rise - The Globe and Mail
 

JeffT819

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Dec 4, 2001
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Thanks, Jeff, for your usual negative assessment. I now know the US economy is booming and the labor market strengthening for Americans, not your precious illegals.

Americans continue to gain jobs every month! Just yesterday, core capital spending surprised the experts.

And for the incredible high school X-C runner, checkout Nvidia's earnings after the market close. I did tell you to buy it in 2020 when it was less than $7/share. Let's hope it doesn't go down in price after the stellar earnings are released! Currently hovering around $181 / share 5.5 years after I bought some (in addition to the shares my broker bought and held in 2017).

U.S. core capital goods orders beats forecasts as shipments rise - The Globe and Mail
If the US economy is booming then cutting interest rates would be a mistake. It would be an inflationary move. So why does Trump want rates cut?
 
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ILisBest

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The budget is not a short-term fix. Seeing that Trump has no long-term plan, let's just be honest with ourselves and acknowledge he's not the solution.

Dems are not either.

Unfortunately, only crisis may be the solution. We are going to end up with (a) higher taxes including on the middle class and (b) reductions in government spending. Both will be required.
I have no idea what a specific solution is to a horrible debt problem. I am guessing a lot will go into it. I do know WordSalad would be business as usual(spend and hire unqualified Gov Leaders). Trump is trying to enact a game plan(congress is little help).

Maybe we let it play out longer than 7 months.
 

BigWill

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Jul 25, 2001
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The Fed 🤦‍♂️

Global rate spreads underscore just how out of touch the Fed is with the rest of the world. The European Central Bank’s deposit facility sits at 2%. The Bank of Japan holds near 0.5%. China runs its seven-day repo at 1.4%. Against that backdrop, the Fed’s 4.25%–4.50% target range remains a glaring outlier – more than 200 basis points above Europe, nearly 400 above Japan, and triple China.

The result: the U.S. economy combines the world’s highest policy rates and mortgage rates with the world’s strongest currency – a triple hit to American exporters.


  • Financing disadvantage: American manufacturers pay more to borrow, making new plants and equipment costlier.
  • Currency distortion: Elevated Fed rates keep the dollar over-priced, inflating the price of U.S. exports while giving foreign competitors a pricing edge.
  • Market share erosion: Foreign rivals win contracts not because they innovate, but because they borrow cheaply and undercut U.S. prices.
On the home front, the Powell squeeze is just as punishing. Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates remain stuck in the 6–7% range, double pre-pandemic levels. That locks millions of young families out of the housing market and stalls residential construction — historically one of the most powerful engines of U.S. recoveries.

Ugh..
Why did they have to have a meeting in Wyoming ?

Didn't they include a conference room in the $ 2,000,000,000 + cost overrun building in DC ?
 

ILisBest

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Why did they have to have a meeting in Wyoming ?

Didn't they include a conference room in the $ 2,000,000,000 + cost overrun building in DC ?
I am guessing some court rulings are ahead and possibly some bigger changes to the Fed.
 

BigWill

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2001
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The budget is not a short-term fix. Seeing that Trump has no long-term plan, let's just be honest with ourselves and acknowledge he's not the solution.

Dems are not either.

Unfortunately, only crisis may be the solution. We are going to end up with (a) higher taxes including on the middle class and (b) reductions in government spending. Both will be required.
Reducing the deficit by OVER $ 4,000,000,000,000 seems better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick.

That's Over 11 %.

Seems reasonable.
 
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Semi-elite R2R athlete

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Thanks, Jeff, for your usual negative assessment. I now know the US economy is booming and the labor market strengthening for Americans, not your precious illegals.

Americans continue to gain jobs every month! Just yesterday, core capital spending surprised the experts.

And for the incredible high school X-C runner, checkout Nvidia's earnings after the market close. I did tell you to buy it in 2020 when it was less than $7/share. Let's hope it doesn't go down in price after the stellar earnings are released! Currently hovering around $181 / share 5.5 years after I bought some (in addition to the shares my broker bought and held in 2017).

U.S. core capital goods orders beats forecasts as shipments rise - The Globe and Mail
Happy TJ has finally found something real to brag about. Great job TJ! We’re proud of you!
 
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BigWill

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Thanks, Jeff, for your usual negative assessment. I now know the US economy is booming and the labor market strengthening for Americans, not your precious illegals.

Americans continue to gain jobs every month! Just yesterday, core capital spending surprised the experts.

And for the incredible high school X-C runner, checkout Nvidia's earnings after the market close. I did tell you to buy it in 2020 when it was less than $7/share. Let's hope it doesn't go down in price after the stellar earnings are released! Currently hovering around $181 / share 5.5 years after I bought some (in addition to the shares my broker bought and held in 2017).

U.S. core capital goods orders beats forecasts as shipments rise - The Globe and Mail
I was wondering along with a few intrepid posters why you were posting VERY early in the AM.

But assume you were conversing with your Broker while in Thailand.

I was up at 4:00 AM ET this morning 08/27, but wasn't posting or conjuring over financial positions. (Although I bought LLY calls yesterday at 3:45 PM at $ 8.0 and was out at $ 12.0 before noon !)

It was a Rooster !
 
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Uncoach

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Dec 8, 2011
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The Fed 🤦‍♂️

Global rate spreads underscore just how out of touch the Fed is with the rest of the world. The European Central Bank’s deposit facility sits at 2%. The Bank of Japan holds near 0.5%. China runs its seven-day repo at 1.4%. Against that backdrop, the Fed’s 4.25%–4.50% target range remains a glaring outlier – more than 200 basis points above Europe, nearly 400 above Japan, and triple China.

The result: the U.S. economy combines the world’s highest policy rates and mortgage rates with the world’s strongest currency – a triple hit to American exporters.


  • Financing disadvantage: American manufacturers pay more to borrow, making new plants and equipment costlier.
  • Currency distortion: Elevated Fed rates keep the dollar over-priced, inflating the price of U.S. exports while giving foreign competitors a pricing edge.
  • Market share erosion: Foreign rivals win contracts not because they innovate, but because they borrow cheaply and undercut U.S. prices.
On the home front, the Powell squeeze is just as punishing. Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates remain stuck in the 6–7% range, double pre-pandemic levels. That locks millions of young families out of the housing market and stalls residential construction — historically one of the most powerful engines of U.S. recoveries.

Ugh..
So maybe it isn’t Trump policy, as much as it is the Fed that is the issue. The rates are outrageous. Why do US citizens in top positions want to harm the country any way they can?
 

tjfleck6

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Apr 19, 2008
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If the US economy is booming then cutting interest rates would be a mistake. It would be an inflationary move. So why does Trump want rates cut?
Because your guy Biden created a debt bomb, some 9 Trillion in debt comes due this year. A lower rates save America a lot of money, Jeff.

Believe it or not, the economy can boom with lower interest rates. All of this incredible tariff revenue in addition to 17T in investment plus 2M illegals leaving the country is MAGA.

And remember in April you told me the market would be crashed by now with high inflation rates. WRONG and WRONG!
 

Uncoach

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Dec 8, 2011
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This happened in 2022 it appears. (The driver is Indian, not Hispanic, so the "them" seems rather misplaced).

Very sad obviously, but not recent and not applicable to the comment.

Man some people can't handle the Internet.
Them isn’t misplaced. I never implied Hispanic. There are quite a few illegal Indians. Feds recently broke up a human trafficking/sex trafficking/drug ring in Omaha hotels/motels run by them. The illegal driver from California who killed 3 Floridians was not Hispanic. He was Indian. Illegals need to be removed. Illegals should not have drivers licenses, let alone a CDL. No speak English. This one cruising down the highway on his cell and this occurred in Canada, not US. My sentiment is very clear and unswayed. Stop giving illegals (of any nationality) drivers licenses, CDL licenses and absolutely go after the trucking companies that hire these people. They are breaking the law.
 

Uncoach

Well-known member
Dec 8, 2011
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Thanks, Jeff, for your usual negative assessment. I now know the US economy is booming and the labor market strengthening for Americans, not your precious illegals.

Americans continue to gain jobs every month! Just yesterday, core capital spending surprised the experts.

And for the incredible high school X-C runner, checkout Nvidia's earnings after the market close. I did tell you to buy it in 2020 when it was less than $7/share. Let's hope it doesn't go down in price after the stellar earnings are released! Currently hovering around $181 / share 5.5 years after I bought some (in addition to the shares my broker bought and held in 2017).

U.S. core capital goods orders beats forecasts as shipments rise - The Globe and Mail
Will Nvidia be changing their logo any time soon?
 
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tjfleck6

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Apr 19, 2008
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Them isn’t misplaced. I never implied Hispanic. There are quite a few illegal Indians. Feds recently broke up a human trafficking/sex trafficking/drug ring in Omaha hotels/motels run by them. The illegal driver from California who killed 3 Floridians was not Hispanic. He was Indian. Illegals need to be removed. Illegals should not have drivers licenses, let alone a CDL. No speak English. This one cruising down the highway on his cell and this occurred in Canada, not US. My sentiment is very clear and unswayed. Stop giving illegals (of any nationality) drivers licenses, CDL licenses and absolutely go after the trucking companies that hire these people. They are breaking the law.
DTrain is all law and order when the Maryland Man was "illegally" deported to his home country. And now he is playing the race card. He has a lot in common with the illegal loving Senator of Maryland.
 

tjfleck6

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Apr 19, 2008
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Will Nvidia be changing their logo any time soon?
 

JeffT819

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Dec 4, 2001
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Because your guy Biden created a debt bomb, some 9 Trillion in debt comes due this year. A lower rates save America a lot of money, Jeff.

Believe it or not, the economy can boom with lower interest rates. All of this incredible tariff revenue in addition to 17T in investment plus 2M illegals leaving the country is MAGA.

And remember in April you told me the market would be crashed by now with high inflation rates. WRONG and WRONG!

The Fed's job is to manage the economy keeping both inflation and unemployment at appropriate levels. The Fed's job is not to cut rates to reduce US interest payments. It would not work anyway. If the economy is booming and the Fed cut interest rates, it would create additional inflation and interest rates would increase regardless of the operations of the Fed.

Manipulative interest rate cuts much like price controls will never work .

Let's see what the impact of tariffs on the economy is over the next six months. Most companies loaded up inventories in anticipation of the tariffs.
Soon we will see the true impact of the tariffs. They will lead to higher prices.
 
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BigWill

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Jul 25, 2001
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Thanks, Jeff, for your usual negative assessment. I now know the US economy is booming and the labor market strengthening for Americans, not your precious illegals.

Americans continue to gain jobs every month! Just yesterday, core capital spending surprised the experts.

And for the incredible high school X-C runner, checkout Nvidia's earnings after the market close. I did tell you to buy it in 2020 when it was less than $7/share. Let's hope it doesn't go down in price after the stellar earnings are released! Currently hovering around $181 / share 5.5 years after I bought some (in addition to the shares my broker bought and held in 2017).

U.S. core capital goods orders beats forecasts as shipments rise - The Globe and Mail
I was wondering along with a few intrepid why you were posting VERY early in the AM.

But assume you were conversing with your Broker while in Thailand.

I was up at 4:00 AM ET this morning 08/27, but wasn't posting or conjuring over financial positions. (Although I bought LLY calls yesterday at 3:45 at $ 8.0 and was out at $ 12.0 before noon .
 
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Semi-elite R2R athlete

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I was wondering along with a few intrepid why you were posting VERY early in the AM.

But assume you were conversing with your Broker while in Thailand.

I was up at 4:00 AM ET this morning 08/27, but wasn't posting or conjuring over financial positions. (Although I bought LLY calls yesterday at 3:45 at 8.0 and was out at 12.0 before noon .
How many more times do you plan to post this?
 
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BigWill

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The Fed's job is to manage the economy keeping both inflation and unemployment at appropriate levels. The Fed's job is not to cut rates to reduce US interest payments. It would not work anyway. If the economy is booming and the Fed cut interest rates, it would create additional inflation and interest rates would increase regardless of the operations of the Fed.

Manipulative interest rate cuts much like price controls will never work .

Let's see what the impact of tariffs on the economy is over the next six months. Most companies loaded up inventories in anticipation of the tariffs.
Soon we will see the true impact of the tariffs. They will lead to higher prices.
At the ending speech in Wyoming, Too Late Powell admitted in his speech that President Trump WAS CORRECT IN TARIFFS AND INFLATION !
 
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rillaman

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Minneapolis shooter targeted kids at a Catholic Church. Remember when we were debating whether or not Catholics are being targeted? No doubt about it in this case.

I don’t think the major news networks will cover some of the stuff coming out about the shooter. Similar to the Tennessee school shooting.
 

dtrain79

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Jul 13, 2006
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I have no idea what a specific solution is to a horrible debt problem. I am guessing a lot will go into it. I do know WordSalad would be business as usual(spend and hire unqualified Gov Leaders). Trump is trying to enact a game plan(congress is little help).

Maybe we let it play out longer than 7 months.

I can be there to remind you of how horrible the budget deficit is at the end of each year under Trump if you'd like!
 

djpc

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Happens I'm i
Minneapolis shooter targeted kids at a Catholic Church. Remember when we were debating whether or not Catholics are being targeted? No doubt about it in this case.

I don’t think the major news networks will cover some of the stuff coming out about the shooter. Similar to the Tennessee school shooting.
I'm in Minnesota now, but not near the cities. Newspapers/radio in the state are being careful to us they/their type pronouns and based on a photo it appears he at least enjoys feminizing his appearance. Some UNCONFIRMED talk of videos potentially linked to the shooter (ETA, what's uncomfirmed is whether they are linked to the shooter) showing rifle magazines with ~Kill Trump and ~for the children written on them. Children age 5 and 8 killed, 2 other kids in critical condition, and maybe a dozen beyond that hospitalized. I'm back out of range for the local radio station so I don't know what's surfaced in the last hour. Extremely sad event.
 

dtrain79

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Jul 13, 2006
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Reducing the deficit by OVER $ 4,000,000,000,000 seems better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick.

That's Over 11 %.

Seems reasonable.

This is actually an argument.

Like tariffs or not, as they are consumption-based taxes, they will increase federal revenue. The $4T is against the debt (not the deficit) and the tariffs constitute about $400B against the deficit each year, but the debt is not constant because the US government is still likely to run a deficit each year.

Right now, neither party has proposed any semblance of a fiscal plan to eliminate deficits and reduce the national debt. But that will likely involve some level of increase taxes and reduced entitlement spending.

If you put me in charge, I would probably do the following:

Raise the retirement age for SS benefits
Increase Medicare taxes
Probably raise income taxes a bit but not much (across the board increase)
Reduce spending on certain discretionary programs
Cap the increase in yearly spending for the federal government at some number lower than growth/inflation (say 1.5%).

This would result in some level of temporary economic pain to individuals, but it would stabilize the federal budget in 6-8 years tho (hopefully quicker).
 

dtrain79

Well-known member
Jul 13, 2006
48,245
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Them isn’t misplaced. I never implied Hispanic. There are quite a few illegal Indians. Feds recently broke up a human trafficking/sex trafficking/drug ring in Omaha hotels/motels run by them. The illegal driver from California who killed 3 Floridians was not Hispanic. He was Indian. Illegals need to be removed. Illegals should not have drivers licenses, let alone a CDL. No speak English. This one cruising down the highway on his cell and this occurred in Canada, not US. My sentiment is very clear and unswayed. Stop giving illegals (of any nationality) drivers licenses, CDL licenses and absolutely go after the trucking companies that hire these people. They are breaking the law.

There's no implication this dude was illegal (and for all we know, he was born in Canada).

Presumably Canada has some equivalent of CDLs, and it seems unlikely it's easy to get one there if you are illegal.
 

BigWill

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Jul 25, 2001
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This is actually an argument.

Like tariffs or not, as they are consumption-based taxes, they will increase federal revenue. The $4T is against the debt (not the deficit) and the tariffs constitute about $400B against the deficit each year, but the debt is not constant because the US government is still likely to run a deficit each year.

Right now, neither party has proposed any semblance of a fiscal plan to eliminate deficits and reduce the national debt. But that will likely involve some level of increase taxes and reduced entitlement spending.

If you put me in charge, I would probably do the following:

Raise the retirement age for SS benefits
Increase Medicare taxes
Probably raise income taxes a bit but not much (across the board increase)
Reduce spending on certain discretionary programs
Cap the increase in yearly spending for the federal government at some number lower than growth/inflation (say 1.5%).

This would result in some level of temporary economic pain to individuals, but it would stabilize the federal budget in 6-8 years tho (hopefully quicker).
Here is what I would do, NOT sit by hoping that the President is wrong fiscally.

Investigate every claim for retirement with SS benefits.
Examine pricing of drugs and Dr. visits.
Investigate Medicare users for citizenship. copy SS eligible.
Eliminate IRS taxes for Joint income under $ 150,000.
Cap all discretionary program, mandatory mission statement, research all Admin employees for Double Dipping families.
No Government, Federal, State, Local increased spending budgets.
Mandatory yearly reduction of Federal/State Deficits.
No increase in gas tax, sales tax.

Immediate reduction of Budget AND Deficit.
 

dtrain79

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Jul 13, 2006
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Here is what I would do, NOT sit by hoping that the President is wrong fiscally.

Investigate every claim for retirement with SS benefits.
Examine pricing of drugs and Dr. visits.
Investigate Medicare users for citizenship. copy SS eligible.
Eliminate IRS taxes for Joint income under $ 150,000.
Cap all discretionary program, mandatory mission statement, research all Admin employees for Double Dipping families.
No Government, Federal, State, Local increased spending budgets.
Mandatory yearly reduction of Federal/State Deficits.
No increase in gas tax, sales tax.

Immediate reduction of Budget AND Deficit.

Waste, fraud, and abuse might save you some $$$, but they are nowhere near what people believe they are.

The federal government can't dictate state and local spending, but they can obviously reduce outlays to state/local governments so that would help. The mandatory reduction is a good idea, but it would force the hard choices with entitlements we are going to have to make.
 

ILisBest

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Jun 16, 2007
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I was wondering along with a few intrepid posters why you were posting VERY early in the AM.

But assume you were conversing with your Broker while in Thailand.

I was up at 4:00 AM ET this morning 08/27, but wasn't posting or conjuring over financial positions. (Although I bought LLY calls yesterday at 3:45 PM at $ 8.0 and was out at $ 12.0 before noon !)

It was a Rooster !
My lack of good, continuous sleep started when I was doing Chemo. That and a touch of neuropathy are the gifts that keep on giving from that side of the treatment🤷‍♂️
 
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ILisBest

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Jun 16, 2007
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This is actually an argument.

Like tariffs or not, as they are consumption-based taxes, they will increase federal revenue. The $4T is against the debt (not the deficit) and the tariffs constitute about $400B against the deficit each year, but the debt is not constant because the US government is still likely to run a deficit each year.

Right now, neither party has proposed any semblance of a fiscal plan to eliminate deficits and reduce the national debt. But that will likely involve some level of increase taxes and reduced entitlement spending.

If you put me in charge, I would probably do the following:

Raise the retirement age for SS benefits
Increase Medicare taxes
Probably raise income taxes a bit but not much (across the board increase)
Reduce spending on certain discretionary programs
Cap the increase in yearly spending for the federal government at some number lower than growth/inflation (say 1.5%).

This would result in some level of temporary economic pain to individuals, but it would stabilize the federal budget in 6-8 years tho (hopefully quicker).
LOL. Jeff liked this after he recently posted criticism of Trump wanting people to work longer to earn benefits. That is a butt that can sit on both sides of the fence. Impressive.
 
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