We were mid-60s at best prior to conference play, which is outside of tournament consideration.
We had losses to Colorado State, Dayton, and Miami, all average teams at best. Our best wins are still Penn State and USM, not exactly a strong resume.
The only loss so far that "looks" to be out of place with what we did in pre-conference play is the MSU loss, but MSU with Sidney and Bost is average enough to beat our weak team. The other teams that beat us all have resumes that look much better than any team we'd beaten to this point and much better than all the teams we lost to as well.
I had hopes we could hit some sort of stride and make a push to be a bubble team, but reality is we're an NIT at best team, and if we don't pick it up, we won't even be an NIT team.
Granted, unless you have a young team, I don't see a whole lot of value in playing in the NIT versus not reaching the postseason at all.
We could very realistically start out 0-8 given our schedule and the way we play. If I had to guess, I think we'll end up 6-10, and we'll be sweating out the NIT selection show this year knowing our chances are slim at an NIT bid.