I agree. The only difference between Vandy 2008 and MSU 2007 is that you had a much better defense in 2007.
Vandy was one of the luckiest teams in America last year. Credit goes to them for taking advantage when they had chances, but they were statistically weak both offensively and defensively. They took advantages of turnovers to beat South Carolina, Auburn, and Ole Miss, all in games they just as easily could've lost. I didn't see them as a very good team last year. Their D-line is not all that bad, which gives them a shot to scare people again, but I think they'll be hard pressed to repeat a 6-6 year. They lost to Duke as well last year.
Even the bowl win was a classic Vandy 2007 win. They got outgained by about 130 yards, put up only about 200 yards of offense. The defense played bend but don't break all game, and they took advantage of a +3 in the turnover margin to get the win.