Our first round SECT game will likely be against USCe, UGA, or Aub if we beat Arkansas on Saturday. If we lose to any of them, our rpi takes a big hit, and it looks bad going out to a bad team in the first round of the tourney.
We might still get in if that happened, but it certainly wouldn't be a lock. If we beat Ark and win our first round game, then we'll be a lock.