"Gas prices are going to keep up b/c demand is increasing and the gov't is artificially limiting supply by prohibiting drilling in many places."
The areas prohibited from drilling represent a tiny amount of supply compared to global production. And it would take a decade to complete them, so current gas prices are completely unaffected by that.
"Volatility is also increased by the gov't making it damn near impossible to build a new refinery."
I would like to see some restrictions lessened, but why would Big Oil want to bring more refineries on line? It's not like there's shortages. Excess capacity is wasted capacity. Besides, this ignores that existing refineries have majorly increased their capacity over the last couple decades. It just got cheaper to add capacity that way (less of a regulatory burden), so that's what they've done. But capacity is right where Big Oil wants it. Lessening regulation won't change that.
"I guess it's theoretically possiblefor an oil company with asignificant portion of the world's oil reserves tonot produce and thereby drive up price. The problem is this would mostly benefit the oilcompanies that were producing. Meanwhile, they'd be sitting ondrilling rights that cost them money to purchase, thereby drivingdown their return, only promising their shareholders that sometime in the future they'd reap monopoly profits. I guessthis is more likley to the extent thatan oil company was able to procure long term drilling rights for little to no upfront royalty or bonus payment, but it still seems a little far fetched."
What is actually being asserted is that all the major companies are colluding to sell gas at inflated prices, as they have done in the past. No individual company would be under-producing. None would have anything to lose (other than government action, and that's a joke). They have as much to gain, and as little reason to fear govt, as the banks, and see how they act. In fact, look how theyact: they're not competitive in any way when it comes to gas. They all share pipelines. They share markets. None of the major companies EVER tries to upits profits by undercutting the others.
"And if it is happening, politicians (mainly democrats)are aiding and abetting any collusion by keeping so many areas off limits to drilling (thereby makingmanipulating supply much, much cheaper)."
Again, it's too tiny a supply to have that effect. And besides, why would we want to sell OUR oil to the globe now, when we could save it and keep it when global oil runs out? And besides besides, i live on the coast, i don't want them drilling in deepwater until the industry has had the time to study what went wrong the last time and react to it. At the least, BOP designs should be updated before new drilling occurs. And BP should be outright banned from drilling in the US, they have consistantly been the worst offender of all the companies.
On subsidies, here's a couple links that popped up on google. they are probably not exhaustive on the topic:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/04/business/04bptax.html
http://www.grist.org/article/2011-01-26-what-oil-subsidies-is-obama-targeting