I love everything about the way this team plays. They are unselfish and they play defense really well (esp. for freshmen; let these guys play til they are juniors and they could be the best Duke defensive team of all-time).
But, 2-21 is worrisome. White, Reddish, and O'Connell are all good shooters. But, when a couple go bad, the team tends to go bad. Those guys need to sit in the gym and shoot 3s until they bleed. And, when they get comfortable in games I don't think they can be stopped.
They stay healthy, get out of the 3 point funk or get hot from 3 in the tourney as a team, with that defense - very few teams will be able to handle them.
But, the 3 point issue has to be remedied.
I think we, as a fan base, need to let go of the fantasy that Duke will, or even COULD, turn into a good three point shooting team. If this group stayed together, next year they'd be shooting 38% as a group, no matter how closely guarded they might be. And we'd be wrecking teams on the reg. We won't, of course, see that come to fruition.
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Folks, we knew that 3pt shooting would be a weakness this year. Any rational evaluation of Duke, preseason, would have had to see and recognize that fact. Admittedly, "weakness" is a strong word. The most accurate assessment would have realized that 3pt shooting was likely to be the "weakest" part of the team, at least relative to everything else. As such, we all had an internal "worst case scenario" prediction for perimeter shooting. But, so far, 3pt shooting is worse than any reasonable "worst case scenario" could have predicted. It is bordering on disaster case scenario.
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I really thought that Cam would be a steadier shooter than he's been. Especially lately, given how open he's been since late December, as teams backed off of him to some degree, allowing for more open looks than I expected. I thought Tre would be a weaker shooter than Cam, but not by as much as he's been. And that is with Cam being a disappointment from 3 in the first place. RJ and Zion had lesser expectations on my part, wrt 3pt shooting. Unfortunately, they've been on the low end of my expectations, again, which is exacerbated by them having reduced expectation in the first place. AOC was supposed to be a sniper off the bench, but he's come in at the low end of expectations, if that. At best he's inconsistent. Jack was better to start the year, but he's really trailed off lately.
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As I said earlier, I never expected the team to be a good 3pt shooting team. I thought they'd be better than they are. RJ shoots a slightly worse percentage than I thought he'd shoot, but he compounds that by taking way too many threes. Zion is worse than I thought, but he doesn't take too many, so he doesn't kill us. His poor shooting only hurts as much as it does because everyone else is a letdown in that regard.
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Thankfully, the D is far better than we could have dared hope. Tre is far better on D than we could have hoped, and Cam would be getting raves for his D if he wasn't playing beside Tre. Frankly, I thought RJ would be more akin to bad-James-Harden on D, but he's been fine. Better lately. But he's turned into a willing and capable defender. He's a plus defender compared to most freshman, and he's top tier on Defense compared to most offensively oriented players in their frosh year. Ditto Zion. Bolden has become a quality defender. Jack is much better on D, and on the boards, then we could have dared dream. Goldwire is capable on D, which is all we needed from him (for the wheels not to come off when he comes in). Javin is OK, but he'll be more useful vs teams with mobile bigs so we don't have to watch Bolden chase guys all over the court. AOC has been fine on D. Most of his worst failures have come in small ball lineups when we lacked a post defender, and AOC does something that allows a move that a true big would stop, only we don't have one in. He's gotten lost on a few backdoors, but overall he's been fine on D.
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But the three point shooting, which we all knew would be "not great," has been far worse than our worst fears. We'll be fine until the elite 8 or so, but we'll enter the danger zone vs the types of teams we'll face from that point on.