Is how incredibly important this game is to us, and meaningless it is to them. Plus, Arkansas is atrocious away, just picking up their first road win last week, in the middle of a 3 game home losing streak. UPig has only had 2 games decided by 6 points are more this entire year, less than the number of OT games we've had in in the last month. And we are pretty good at home. I'm thinking that if we can manage to get a big lead, we might be able to keep it for once. No 2 teams have more lopsided home/away performances.
Our Bama beatdown may have been bad, but keep in mind these Arkansas losing margins:
@UK: 23
@UGA: 22
@UT: 19
UF: 30
FWIW, Arkansas has lost 11 straight in the Hump.
So, basically, I don't think we're 9+ points better than they are, but I think that whoever wins, will win by that much. It's just how games with Arkansas are.