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Egg Bowl Weather..

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msubulldog0610

Redshirt
Aug 25, 2009
61
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Sixpack meteorologist here, and any other mets on here can chime in. Looking to be a big trough swinging in on Egg Bowl day and the timing of this trough will be a big weather player. This is a very stout upper trough and will swing into the area but the timing lately has been an issue as models have slowed down on the time this approaches the area. The model cuts off the upper trough into what is called a cutoff low and that sticks around for a few days. Anyway, the big question is will the trough and approaching frontal system be here at gametime Saturday. The models had been showing it approaching in the MS Delta with heavy rainfall at 12pm and over Starkville with heavy rain at 6pm. Now the winds aloft are very strong and if we could have some heating and any instability wise, I would worry about some strong severe weather. Met friends here, showed SRH of 800 for Columbus with southeast winds..To give you an idea, SRH or storm relative helicity on April 27th was about or just over 1000 so its significant..However, it looks to be only forced convection or storms and no instability wise so tornado threat looks like null. Still I will keep an eye on it as any instability could make the Egg Bowl forecast very interesting for severe weather..My main concern is the timing of possible heavy rainfall and hopefully the slower GFS is a trend that the model takes...If not we could be in for a soggy Egg Bowl and missed field goals =/...
 
M

msubulldog0610

Redshirt
Aug 25, 2009
61
0
0
00z GFS has slowed down so not looking good for Egg Bowl...Shows rain here at 00z Sunday or 6pm Saturday right on top of us..<div>

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DesotoCountyDawg

DesotoCountyDawg

Heisman
Nov 16, 2005
26,047
17,333
113
Rain should begin to pick up in intensity right around kickoff. Fortunately it appears that the thunderstorm threat has diminished greatly. Appears to be just a rain event.
 
M

maroonmania

Senior
Feb 23, 2008
11,053
700
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after 6:00 Saturday evening. Not crazy about that because persistent rain tones the crowd down and creates unexpected turnovers. Would say it would play to TSUN's advantage for this game to be played in the rain.
 
M

msubulldog0610

Redshirt
Aug 25, 2009
61
0
0
<div>Not looking good but still the timing could be a player. Most of the severe weather will be farther south but shear will be very strong. I hope we don't get some cooler temps aloft and more instability cause that could be really rough weather..Anyway bring your rain coats cause it could possibly be lots of rain if it gets there during gametime..NAM and GFS have slowed up somewhat and seem to have initialized pretty well with where the rain and front is..So it could be lighter rain in the game and hopefully the heavier stuff will hold off til after the game...</div>
 
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