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For everyone following Lunardi - he is average at best.

A

AthensBully

Redshirt
Jun 4, 2008
103
0
0
The Bracket Project ranks bracketologists 1-44 over the last 6 years:

http://bracketproject.50webs.com/rankings.html

Notables:
#2: Shawn Siegel (College Hoops Net)
#16: Gary Parrish (CBS Sports)
#22: Mike Huguenin (Rivals)
#23: Andy Glockner (SI)
#26: Jerry Palm (CBS Sports)
#27: Joe Lunardi (ESPN)
#30: Warren Nolan


Note: some have only been submitting brackets for 3 years.
 
M

mstatefan88

Redshirt
Nov 30, 2008
3,396
0
0
How hard is it to project the 68 teams that will be in the field? Automatic conference tournament qualifiers plus the rest of the teams in the Top 25 gives you about 75% of the field. For the restit's just looking at quality wins and losses, RPI, SOS, overall record, anda few other things.The only real skill of projecting who will be inis determiningwho gets thelast one or two spots out of about four or five teams.

The real way to measure how good someone is would be by seeing how accurately someone can project seedings and what region they would be in. To me, that's the hardest part to do, and to me is a better indicator of who really knows what the hell they are doing. ESPN hypes up Lunardi way too much because he gets the field right for the most part, but he sucks at projecting regions and has really messed up some seedings before.
 
PBRME

PBRME

All-Conference
Feb 12, 2004
10,785
4,385
113
Joe's last four in and first 4 out are rarely correct. I don't understand why everyone is bubble watching. We're not in.
 
mstateglfr

mstateglfr

All-American
Feb 24, 2008
15,754
5,544
113
Lumardi is the nbadraft.net of bracket predictions. He is anything but impressive.

Back in college, a few of us used to predict the field on Selection Sunday after the tournaments were done. We wouldn't look at bracket predictions for a week or so leading up to it and would get a few wrong at worse. There were a couple of perfect field predictions, but usually 2-3 wrong.

That was when the field was 64. Of course that was also a few college tools who did this on a whim and didn't claim to be experts or make a living off of it.

The more teams in the field, the more difficult it is to be as accurate since the auotbids aren't increasing.

4 of us actually did this at work yesterday and bet on who would have the most correct. Since we filled em out on Friday, they are bound to be less accurate than a Sunday attempt.
It's worth doing sometime, pretty fun to see how close you can get and how unimpressive Lunardi is.
Just have a list of the auto qualifiers and a list of the RPI top 150. The RPI list will have conference record, overall record, and SOS on it too. Realtimerpi is great for the list.
 
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