Fun with Math!: Bill Connelly projects remainder of SEC West and says...

[DogStuckAtUM.sixpack]

"The SEC West is the best division in the country and might end up the best division of all time, and Mississippi State might have the best chance of winning it."

Click here.

I'm going to go take a truck full of ambien and hope to wake up after Thanksgiving when this is over. Nerves can't take it...

 

[Dogariffic]

Fun Read

Look forward to seeing how it works out....

"The SEC West is the best division in the country and might end up the best division of all time, and Mississippi State might have the best chance of winning it."

Click here.

I'm going to go take a truck full of ambien and hope to wake up after Thanksgiving when this is over. Nerves can't take it...

 

[Drebin]

"The SEC West is the best division in the country and might end up the best division of all time, and Mississippi State might have the best chance of winning it."

Click here.

I'm going to go take a truck full of ambien and hope to wake up after Thanksgiving when this is over. Nerves can't take it...

I stopped reading when he said Alabama has only a 40% chance of winning Saturday. That's absolutely crazy talk, and it doesn't inspire confidence in his State predictions.

 

[Legacy.sixpack]

This article is a good reminder that, if we're serious about winning the SEC West, we should be pulling for Ole Miss this weekend.

 

[CookieMonster.sixpack]

This article is a good reminder that, if we're serious about winning the SEC West, we should be pulling for Ole Miss this weekend.

If "we're serious" about winning the West (what does that even mean?) then we need to only lose one game this year. I'm not sure how Ole Miss beating Bama helps us.

 

[uptowndawg]

Pulling for ole miss this weekend will not help us win the west. That's not how football works.

 

[Legacy.sixpack]

Are we doing advanced stats or not?

You could say that Alabama has the most to gain on Saturday; the Tide have only two road games against top-20 teams, and if they survive Saturday's trip to Oxford, that leaves only one more (at LSU on November 8). They will be favored in every remaining game, but Ole Miss represents one of the least likely wins. Clear that hurdle, and the Tide are in the driver's seat.

Or were you just saying that who we cheer for has no impact on the game?

 

[uptowndawg]

The latter.

And I cant really see how ole miss is going to be a big hurdle for alabama. The guy even says that ole miss has a 59.8% win probability which should make even an ole miss fan skeptical. You could argue that there are 3, maybe 4 more games on alabama's schedule that should be tougher than ole miss.

 

[ColonelJohnSartoris]

delete

 

[ColonelJohnSartoris]

I stopped reading when he said Alabama has only a 40% chance of winning Saturday. That's absolutely crazy talk, and it doesn't inspire confidence in his State predictions.

Correct answer. Hilarious.

Also funny is that his projection for State to win the West would require Ole Miss beating Alabama. Cue thread titled "Would you pull for Ole Miss to beat Bama this weekend if it puts us in the driver's seat of the West?" In the meantime, uptowndawg will run off and invent his own branch of logic.

On another note, I never realized how favorable your schedule is this year until he pointed it out. That sets up pretty nicely.

 

[Drebin]

The latter.

And I cant really see how ole miss is going to be a big hurdle for alabama. The guy even says that ole miss has a 59.8% win probability which should make even an ole miss fan skeptical. You could argue that there are 3, maybe 4 more games on alabama's schedule that should be tougher than ole miss.

Exactly. We don't need Mississippi's help this weekend if we have a chance to win the west. All we have to do is take care of our business.

I would say Ole Miss has about a 35% chance of winning Saturday, which is significant because it's a better chance than most years. But let's face it, a Rebel victory isn't likely on Saturday. Just about everyone who doesn't drink with their pinkies extended knows this already.

 

[VegasDawg13]

On another note, I never realized how favorable your schedule is this year until he pointed it out. That sets up pretty nicely.

Not trying to start a flame war here, but what exactly makes our schedule more favorable than yours if the discussion is focused on winning the West? There are considered six contenders. You get to play three of them at home, while we only get two. I guess most would consider your home game against Tennessee to be mildly more difficult than our road game at Kentucky, but any true contender for the West shouldn't have a problem with either (I also would disagree that it's even tougher). Why is our schedule the one that "sets up nicely?"

The only thing that sets up nicely for us is that we're the only contender to already have a win against another contender, and it was on the road. But that was earned, not gifted to us by the scheduling gods.

 

[Shamoan]