...in our run from 2002-2005, we lost a total of 4 preconference games to Cincinatti, La. Lafayette, Syracuse, and Arizona. Only Lafayette was at home. The rest were in tournament settings close to the opponent's fanbase if I am remembering correctly. In 2002, Cincinatti was a 1 seed in the tournament. Syracuse in 2005 was a 4 seed. Arizona was a 3. The only non NCAA tournament team that we lost to in that time frame was La. Lafayette. 1 hiccup in four years.
In the four years following, we lost 17 preconference games to Northwestern State, SELA, Akron, Winthrop, Clemson (twice), George Mason, Missouri, Southern Illinois, Miami (OH), Miami (FL), South Alabama, Washington State, Texas Tech, Charlotte, Cincinatti, and San Diego. Home games were NWSU, SELA, Winthrop, Clemson (once), Miami (FL), Charlotte, and San Diego. In 2006 Northwestern State was a 14 (winning the Southland with a 25-7 record). SELA and Akron didn't make it. Winthrop was an 11 seed in 2007 and only lost 4 games. Clemson, George Mason, and Missouri didn't make it. In 2008, Miami (FL) was a 7 seed and South Alabama was a 10. Clemson was a 5. Southern Illinois and Miami (OH) didn't make it. None of the 5 teams that beat us last year were tournament teams.
Add three more this season in Rider, WKU, and Richmond. Lunardi has Richmond in as a 7 with no sign of Rider or WKU.
If that holds true to form, then out of 20 preconference losses, 5 would be tournament teams. That's compared to only 1 non-tournament team in the stretch before that, out of 4 losses (and that's because Bradley Boyd was bombing us from 35 ft. all night). Think about that. From '02 - '05, we lost 4 preconfence games, and 25% of those losses were to non-tourney teams. From '06-'09, we lost 17 preconference games and 76% were to nontourney teams. WTF has happened?
What conclusions do we draw from this? I think...
1) There are definitely two distinct "eras" of State basketball in the 21st century.
2) Rick is not getting us prepared like he used to for the start of the season. Is this laziness?
3) Our talent level is comparatively down.
In the four years following, we lost 17 preconference games to Northwestern State, SELA, Akron, Winthrop, Clemson (twice), George Mason, Missouri, Southern Illinois, Miami (OH), Miami (FL), South Alabama, Washington State, Texas Tech, Charlotte, Cincinatti, and San Diego. Home games were NWSU, SELA, Winthrop, Clemson (once), Miami (FL), Charlotte, and San Diego. In 2006 Northwestern State was a 14 (winning the Southland with a 25-7 record). SELA and Akron didn't make it. Winthrop was an 11 seed in 2007 and only lost 4 games. Clemson, George Mason, and Missouri didn't make it. In 2008, Miami (FL) was a 7 seed and South Alabama was a 10. Clemson was a 5. Southern Illinois and Miami (OH) didn't make it. None of the 5 teams that beat us last year were tournament teams.
Add three more this season in Rider, WKU, and Richmond. Lunardi has Richmond in as a 7 with no sign of Rider or WKU.
If that holds true to form, then out of 20 preconference losses, 5 would be tournament teams. That's compared to only 1 non-tournament team in the stretch before that, out of 4 losses (and that's because Bradley Boyd was bombing us from 35 ft. all night). Think about that. From '02 - '05, we lost 4 preconfence games, and 25% of those losses were to non-tourney teams. From '06-'09, we lost 17 preconference games and 76% were to nontourney teams. WTF has happened?
What conclusions do we draw from this? I think...
1) There are definitely two distinct "eras" of State basketball in the 21st century.
2) Rick is not getting us prepared like he used to for the start of the season. Is this laziness?
3) Our talent level is comparatively down.