Here's the most plausible Sugar Bowl scenario

[615dawg]

SEC
1. Win out. Plain and simple. Have to win out and get to 10-2.
2. Alabama needs to beat LSU this weekend. LSU needs to lose to Ole Miss and/or Arkansas to end the season.
3. Auburn needs to just win out and win the SEC Championship.
4. Arkansas needs to lose to South Carolina this weekend.
5. South Carolina needs to beat Florida, but lose to Clemson.

This would put the SEC at Auburn 13-0, MSU 10-2, Alabama 9-3, LSU 9-3, South Carolina 9-4 MSU would be the second rated team in the SEC in the BCS standings.

<span style="font-weight: bold;">Automatic bid: Auburn</span>

Big 12
Oklahoma State - needs to lose to Baylor and beat Oklahoma. A loss to Texas would be nice as well.
Baylor - behind us in the standings
Oklahoma - needs to lose two of their four remaining games (TT, A&M, BAY, OSU)
Oklahoma State or Baylor needs to win the Big 12 South and lose to Nebraska
Missouri - needs to drop one of their remaining four games (TT, KSU, ISU, KU)
Nebraska needs to just win the Big XII
<br style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Automatic bid: Nebraska</span>

Pac 10
Arizona needs to beat Stanford this weekend
Oregon needs to win out
<br style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Automatic bid: Oregon</span>

Big Ten
Iowa needs to drop one of their final games to IND, NW, OSU or MINN
Michigan State needs to drop one of their final games to MINN, PUR or PSU
Wisconsin needs to win out and win the Big 10. Ohio State is likely to pick up an at-large spot.

<span style="font-weight: bold;">Automatic bid: Wisconsin</span>

Mid-majors
The TCU-Utah winner is likely to pick up an at-large spot. It would help a lot if Boise dropped a game to Nevada or Hawaii.

The ACC and Big East really don't matter, but the above scenario would put us in the conversation for the last two at-large spots, in which we would be one of the highest rated.

Oregon (12-0)
Auburn (13-0)
TCU/Utah winner (12-0)
Nebraska (12-1)
Wisconsin (11-1)
Ohio State (11-1)

Two spots to:
Boise State (11-1)
TCU/Utah loser (11-1)
Mississippi State (10-2)
Missouri (10-2)
Stanford (10-2)
Michigan State (10-2)
Oklahoma State (10-2)
A mass of three loss teams.

If the TCU/Utah winner or loser were to drop one more game, that would drop the TCU/Utah loser out of the two spot group. Same goes for Boise State - they aren't considered with two losses.

 

[99jc]

ku

 

[trumaroon]

"Most Plausible"??...wow

 

[boomboommsu]

even IF all that happened (why not, Saints won a Superbowl), we still wouldn't be picked over the other 2 loss teams.

 

[scdog.sixpack]

Everyone keeps saying we need to win out. You realize that we are playing at bama, and we rarely beat Arkansas even when are good.

Let's stop the win out talk. I will take 2 out of 3 and be very happy with whatever bowl we get. Hell I will take 1 out of 3 and an 8-4 season and not complain (unless one of those losses is to the bears).

 

[markymark.sixpack]

Step 1 - Steal Bill & Ted's phonebooth/time machine (Doc Brown's Delorean would also suffice)
Step 2 - Go back to September 9th
Step 3 - Give Leon Berry a new pair of Receiver Gloves between the 3rd and 4th quarter
Step 4 - Coat said gloves with massive amounts of "stick-em" or pine tar
Step 5 - After Leon actually catches that last pass, score the go ahead TD as time expires
Step 6 - Come back to present time
Step 7 - MSU win out their remaining schedule

An alternate scenario would be to go with Step 1 again, and the remaining steps involve somehow convincing Cecil Newton that MSU could win a National Championship with Cam.

 

[Foronce]

and if we do they won't lose to auburn


/i thought we were just throwing out random suggestions