Houston's last four recruiting classes

missouridawg

Junior
Oct 6, 2009
9,407
309
83
They were very good, but if they can walk into Little Rock and leave with a W. Houston can too.

OM only played three teams that finished last year ranked. I don't see that as a murderous row.
You are right. If Toledo can win there so can Houston. But could Toledo turn around and beat OM and LSU? Could Houston? I don't think they could.

In a one game scenario anything could happen. But when you flip that coin 4 times in a row... the chances of 4 straight go way down.

Also of note... think about the psychology of these 19 year olds. A player from USA, UMass, or Toledo has circled their SEC game a year in advance. Arkansas players probably didn't know Toledo was on the schedule until 6 days before. It's why USA can beat us, but struggle with Nichols State. And lose to Georgia Southern by 2 TDs at home.

The grind and is so much harder than just the one game. And all of our actual data points to that.
 

mstateglfr

All-American
Feb 24, 2008
17,022
6,850
113
I dont think you want to go down this road. Stop and turn around.

I am just following you down the road. You cite single games as proof, Ill cite single games as proof. Yup, you will have more single games in the end. Doesnt mean that citing a single game isnt a terrible argument.
 

Go Budaw

Redshirt
Aug 22, 2012
7,321
0
36
Recruiting Ranking Tutorial:

1) Top 10 recruiting classes tend to accurately reflect a high talent level in those classes.
2) After the Top 10, it becomes pretty much a crapshoot. Teams ranked 13th or 14th can have classes full of busts and teams ranked in the 30's / 40's can have classes with several NFL players (like we did in 2011).

The end.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
61,325
33,041
113
Let's add Louisville as a data point. 23-3 in their last 2 years in the AAC, only 17-9 in their first 2 years in the ACC.
 

missouridawg

Junior
Oct 6, 2009
9,407
309
83
So it appears that

Let's add Louisville as a data point. 23-3 in their last 2 years in the AAC, only 17-9 in their first 2 years in the ACC.

100% of the data points we've found so far point to the idea that a power5 schedule grind is legit.
 

MSU601Dawg

All-Conference
Nov 17, 2002
2,656
4,099
81
Again, you can't compare MSU to that, if they played our schedule, they wouldn't be in the top 10 at season's end. They are well coached and good enough to win some big games, but not the grind of the SEC.
Your opinion is just pure speculation though. Sure the SEC is deeper and the chance of them being upset is higher, but Houston would be favored by double digits over everyone in the East besides UT. I'd say they win the East easily and would be the 2nd best team in the SEC. They just handily beat FSU and OU in consecutive games.

coaching matters a lot more than ******** recruiting rankings. Florida, Texas, USC, Michigan (pre-Harbaugh), UGA, Auburn, and LSU are all top 10 recruiters, but aren't the same programs in recent years as Stanford, Oregon under Kelly, Baylor, Houston &Louisville this yr, Washington this year, Boise, TCU some years, etc
 

Bulldogg31

Redshirt
Dec 9, 2013
8,263
0
0
100% of the data points we've found so far point to the idea that a power5 schedule grind is legit.

Yes, some of it is depth of schedule, but some of it is coaching as well. Great coaches will really benefit from playing a team every year, where a new team in a conference is learning the tendencies of the other teams.

A good example is Georgia Tech. ACC teams get to see that triple option every year, so they know how to handle it a little better than, say, an SEC team that runs into them down in Miami.
 
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