How improbable was the comeback?

[S.B. Crumb]

From ESPN Stats & Info twitter feed:

ESPN Stats & Info ‏@ESPNStatsInfo 16h16 hours ago
Rutgers trailed Indiana by 25 pts late in 3rd Q – but won 55-52. Entering Saturday, teams were 0-121 this season when trailing by 25+ pts.

I also saw on one of the college review shows that RU had a 1% chance of coming back and winning the game at it's lowest point. Only games with lower in-game probabilities that teams overcame this year? Both were also B1G games interestingly enough - Illinois/Neb & MSU/UM (that one was 0.2% !)

We may never see an RU comeback like this ever again.

 

[mildone_rivals]

From ESPN Stats & Info twitter feed:

ESPN Stats & Info ‏@ESPNStatsInfo 16h16 hours ago
Rutgers trailed Indiana by 25 pts late in 3rd Q – but won 55-52. Entering Saturday, teams were 0-121 this season when trailing by 25+ pts.

I also saw on one of the college review shows that RU had a 1% chance of coming back and winning the game at it's lowest point. Only games with lower in-game probabilities that teams overcame this year? Both were also B1G games interestingly enough - Illinois/Neb & MSU/UM (that one was 0.2% !)

We may never see an RU comeback like this ever again.

I hope that's because we're either tied or ahead in all our games forever more.

 

[rutgersguy1_rivals]

I saw that this morning on College Football Sunday. I wonder how they calculate these probabilities.

 

[Spare130_rivals]

They said MSU had a 0.02% chance of winning before that final play. Crazy stuff

 

[bethlehemfan]

That's pretty crazy. Thanks for posting.

 

[JQRU91]

I would assume a lot of those games with leads of 25 points or more were good teams playing cupcakes though. Not really going to happen in that scenario. Norfolk St. wasn't going to come back against us.