I agree with thisDuke 5. We will be favored in every game, and probably a double-digit favorite up until the Elite 8 game. (Maybe until the Final 4 if some upsets happen in Duke's bracket.)
I think it's 50/50 right now on if we get #6 or not.
Here's what the BPI Projections are:
1. Duke- 24.8%
2. Gonzaga- 24.1%
3. Virginia- 23.1%
4. Michigan State- 4.7%
5. Tennessee- 3.4%
6. Kentucky- 3.0%
7. North Carolina- 2.3%
8. Michigan- 1.8%
9. Virginia Tech- 1.8%
10. Wisconsin- 1.6%
72% chance it's one of either Duke, Gonzaga, or Virginia. I think Tennessee is a bit undervalued in those projections. Kentucky and Michigan, too.
Here's how I feel:
Duke- 30%
Virginia- 18%
Tennessee- 15%
Gonzaga- 13%
Michigan State- 5%
Kentucky- 5%
Michigan- 4%
Field- 10% (led by UNC, Purdue, and Nevada)
I think Mich State is way over-valued if BPI has them with the 4th best chance
I think if played 10 times, we win it 6 or 7, and I'm serious. I think Zion and RJ are going to be determined as hell. If those two really want it bad, and everyone else just plays to their average game, i think a team, a good team, has to play over their head to beat us
This looks about right. With the field I think it would be TT and Michigan.I saw this thread on another board and thought it was kind of cool. if the tourney was played 10 times how many times would _________ win?
I say
Duke-4
Tenn-1
UVA-1
Uk-1
UNC-1
Field-2
Yes I think we’re that good
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