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How many times

pisgah101

pisgah101

Heisman
Dec 26, 2005
15,253
12,794
113
I saw this thread on another board and thought it was kind of cool. if the tourney was played 10 times how many times would _________ win?

I say
Duke-4
Tenn-1
UVA-1
Uk-1
UNC-1
Field-2

Yes I think we’re that good
 
N

nets on nets on nets

All-American
Jun 4, 2015
4,162
5,515
0
Duke 5. We will be favored in every game, and probably a double-digit favorite up until the Elite 8 game. (Maybe until the Final 4 if some upsets happen in Duke's bracket.)
I think it's 50/50 right now on if we get #6 or not.
 
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Testkid

Sophomore
Jan 23, 2013
378
192
0
jwill133 said:
Duke 5. We will be favored in every game, and probably a double-digit favorite up until the Elite 8 game. (Maybe until the Final 4 if some upsets happen in Duke's bracket.)
I think it's 50/50 right now on if we get #6 or not.
Click to expand...
I agree with this
 
D

dukedevilz

Heisman
Apr 3, 2002
15,637
19,600
0
Here's what the BPI Projections are:
1. Duke- 24.8%
2. Gonzaga- 24.1%
3. Virginia- 23.1%
4. Michigan State- 4.7%
5. Tennessee- 3.4%
6. Kentucky- 3.0%
7. North Carolina- 2.3%
8. Michigan- 1.8%
9. Virginia Tech- 1.8%
10. Wisconsin- 1.6%

72% chance it's one of either Duke, Gonzaga, or Virginia. I think Tennessee is a bit undervalued in those projections. Kentucky and Michigan, too.

Here's how I feel:
Duke- 30%
Virginia- 18%
Tennessee- 15%
Gonzaga- 13%
Michigan State- 5%
Kentucky- 5%
Michigan- 4%
Field- 10% (led by UNC, Purdue, and Nevada)
 
D

dukedevilz

Heisman
Apr 3, 2002
15,637
19,600
0
If it was just 10 times, I would say:

Duke- 3
Virginia- 2
Tennessee- 1
Gonzaga- 1
Michigan or MSU- 1
Kentucky- 1
Field- 1
 
S

SwatX1

Heisman
Jan 4, 2011
8,336
10,579
68
dukedevilz said:
Here's what the BPI Projections are:
1. Duke- 24.8%
2. Gonzaga- 24.1%
3. Virginia- 23.1%
4. Michigan State- 4.7%
5. Tennessee- 3.4%
6. Kentucky- 3.0%
7. North Carolina- 2.3%
8. Michigan- 1.8%
9. Virginia Tech- 1.8%
10. Wisconsin- 1.6%

72% chance it's one of either Duke, Gonzaga, or Virginia. I think Tennessee is a bit undervalued in those projections. Kentucky and Michigan, too.

Here's how I feel:
Duke- 30%
Virginia- 18%
Tennessee- 15%
Gonzaga- 13%
Michigan State- 5%
Kentucky- 5%
Michigan- 4%
Field- 10% (led by UNC, Purdue, and Nevada)
Click to expand...


I think Mich State is way over-valued if BPI has them with the 4th best chance

I think if played 10 times, we win it 6 or 7, and I'm serious. I think Zion and RJ are going to be determined as hell. If those two really want it bad, and everyone else just plays to their average game, i think a team, a good team, has to play over their head to beat us
 
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dukedevilz

Heisman
Apr 3, 2002
15,637
19,600
0
DukefanKY said:
I think Mich State is way over-valued if BPI has them with the 4th best chance

I think if played 10 times, we win it 6 or 7, and I'm serious. I think Zion and RJ are going to be determined as hell. If those two really want it bad, and everyone else just plays to their average game, i think a team, a good team, has to play over their head to beat us
Click to expand...

That 3-game losing streak certainly wasn't impressive. But they're still a threat. I'm fine with their odds being at 4.7%. That sounds about right. It's the 3.4% odds for Tennessee that is the real head-scratcher, IMO.
 
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SwatX1

Heisman
Jan 4, 2011
8,336
10,579
68
Duke 5
Gonzaga - 1
unc- 1
Uk- 1
UT- 1
UVA- 1

I believe 100% that one of those teams wins in, and if played 10 times, I give the field outside of those teams 0.0% chance
 
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