Hypothetical Solutions To Region D Imbalance

SpartanOfYore

All-Conference
Sep 15, 2009
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This post was inspired by mike salem's post about how many teams will qualify for the football playoffs in Region D.

When I first read that under the latest round of realignment, Region D would have only eight schools while the other regions all would have fourteen or more, my initial reaction was, "That's crazy and unfair." However, if we can look at things geographically, we'll see that the VHSL really didn't have much choice.

Back in 2013, when the VHSL did its reclassifying and restructuring with the emphasis on fairly classifying schools according to enrollment numbers, I created markers in Google Earth for every single public high school. I grouped them according to regions, and color-coded the markers by region. Each region or classification can be displayed on its own. This makes it very easy to see things graphically on the state map. With each new round of R&R since 2013, I've kept the whole thing up-to-date.

The updated Region D will consist of:
Amherst County
Blacksburg
E.C. Glass
Halifax County
Jefferson Forest
Pulaski County
Salem
George Washington
As I alluded to above, looking on my Google Earth map at the new alignment scheme that will be in effect as of August, it seems the VHSL had very few options. Those eight schools really are split off in a group by themselves, with a large distance to the nearest school in any other region. Amherst to Powhatan, and Amherst to Louisa Co. are both roughly ninety minutes. In contrast, the other three regions do somewhat flow together, although there is a bit of a gap between Warhill and the Region B schools. Regions B and C mesh quite nicely, with three Fauquier Co. (Region C) schools being just up the road from both Eastern View and Culpeper in Region B.

If the VHSL had been dead set on solving this numerical imbalance between the regions, how might they have done so? I can see three possible solutions, none of them really good, which I've listed from best to worst.

Solution 1
Add the following schools, which would be the four closest geographically to Amherst in the northeastly direction:
Culpeper Co. (from Region C)
Louisa Co., Orange Co., and Spotsylvania (all from Region B)
Note: We could substitute Eastern View for Spotsylvania, as it might actually be a bit closer, and that would keep the two Culpeper Co. schools together.
This would result in fourteen Region A schools, thirteen in Region B, fourteen in Region C, and twelve in Region D.
Pros: Numerical balance among all four regions.
Cons: Big distance between the four schools I added and the other eight. Very little shared history with the traditional Region D schools.

Solution 2
Add the following schools, which would be the three closest geographically to Amherst Co.and E.C. Glass in the easterly direction:
Powhatan, Monacan, and Dinwiddie (all from Region B)
This would result in fourteen Region A schools, thirteen in Region B, fifteen in Region C, and eleven in Region D.
Pros: Better numerical balance among all four regions than currently proposed, though not as balanced as Solution 1.
Cons: Again, big distance between the three schools I added and the other eight. And again, very little shared history with the traditional Region D schools.


Solution 3
Have Bassett, William Byrd, and Charlottesville - or whichever are the three largest of the schools dropping to Class 3 - stay put in Class 4.
This would result in fourteen Region A schools, sixteen in Region B, fifteen in Region C, and eleven in Region D.
Pros: Region D would have eleven schools instead of eight.
Cons: The entire concept of keeping everyone grouped according to enrollment would be blown, just to avoid having a small Region D.

It's intriguing to think about some of the playoff match-ups that would have resulted, in all sports, had the VHSL gone with either of my first two solutions. Add Dinwiddie and Monacan to what Region D already has in football? Holy cow! Ultimately, with the geographical challenges faced by the VHSL, I think they did the best they could.

I'd be interested in hearing what others think of these hypotheticals, or any other possible solutions to the undersized Region D problem. Or, is any solution even required?
 

one man

Senior
Dec 8, 2002
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Very good thoughtful write up there. No good solutions available as far as balance is concerned. I like the first solution of the 3 choices. EV, Culpeper and Louisa to Region D. They would certainly incur much longer trips than Fredericksburg and Richmond area but I'd say they fit better than Dinwiddie, Monacan and Powhatan.

We (Charlottesville) will be down in 3C for 2-4 years IMO before rejoining you all in 4D. Our current 7th and 8th grade classes at our feeder Middle School are projected to be the largest in over a decade. Safe to say our enrollment will be 1200+ in a few years.

I say let all 8 in. As someone mentioned before, none of the 8 are going to be 2-8, 1-9 regularly, all 8 schools are big on football. Halifax has been the most inconcsistent but appear to have something brewing down there. The top 2 seeds will likely incur easier 1st round matchups but better than 2 schools getting a bye IMO.
 

lancerbob

Freshman
Sep 13, 2006
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After seeing that I don't see anyway but to keep it the way it is Amherst to Louisa is a shot trip how would you like to make Louisa or Powhatan to pulaski fir a Friday playoff game
 

numb3rs

Sophomore
Jul 29, 2005
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If having similar numbers is the priority, I suggest a "spread the pain" solution. Use Solution 1 in one cycle and then Solution 2 in the next cycle. Another possibility would moving the Winchester area schools to Region D for a cycle.
 

SpartanOfYore

All-Conference
Sep 15, 2009
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If having similar numbers is the priority, I suggest a "spread the pain" solution. Use Solution 1 in one cycle and then Solution 2 in the next cycle. Another possibility would moving the Winchester area schools to Region D for a cycle.

Sometimes, geography just has to win out. As undesirable as having a region that’s little more than half as large as the other regions is, I think trying to force a solution similar to the ones I outlined would be worse. Those eight schools that will form Class 4 Region D are so isolated from the other Class 4 schools that no solution is really viable. We’d just end up with the same widely scattered “super region” that we had from 2013 to the spring of 2017. And once again be dealing with three- to four-hour trips in the playoffs for all sports. I think Region D is fine as is.