Could Iowa lose to Michigan this weekend? They're obviously a significantly better team than Michigan in general, but they don't match up well in a dual setting.
125: Peterson Dec Sotelo (0-3) <= But Peterson and Cruz are both listed in their match notes.
133: Ayala TF Botero (0-8)
141: Ragusin Dec Peterson (3-8)
149: McNeil Dec Block (6-8) <= This is probably a toss-up, but could go MI's way
157: Catrabone Pin Voinovich (12-8) <= Voinovich is a knucklehead who can get caught and Catro is a pinner
165: Caliendo TF Gates (12-13)
174: Kennedy Dec Be. Mantonona (12-16)
184: Br. Mantanona Dec Arnold (15-16) <= No Ferrari in match notes means another 4-1 SV1 loss for Gabe
197: Walters TF Sampson (20-16)
285: Ghadiali Dec Kueter (23-16)
Even if you reverse 149, they still win 20-19. If you make 157 a Dec, they win 20-16. They need both things to happen - Block beats McNeil and Voinovich limits Catrabone. And if Cruz is in for Peterson, MI could win that one, too. This is just a bad matchup for Iowa because their studs (Cali and Ayala) have MI's cupcakes and you can't win by 50 and score 10 points for it, whereas Iowa's black hole is against a mid-level guy who would lose to a stud but instead is going to negate Cali's bonus points.