rebelrouseri said:
and much better than ours after attrition. Scout also has your 2007 class higher. We've had some good classes on paper that were only worth the paper they were printed on when you looked at who was going to have grades etc. Rankings don't mean crap if they don't get into school and don't work hard once they get there.
Wait, and which classes factored the most into the 2010 season? That's right, the 2007 and 2008 classes.
I do agree on rankings though. I don't buy them, but I still want to see my team do well in recruiting, because it's important. You could tell we didn't do well in 2007 or 2008. In 2007, we undersigned and had to back fill with whatever we could find to avoid letting scholarships go to no one.
In 2008, it was a transition class. Nutt blew it up and had to re-build it in about 2 months. We landed a few decent players, but mostly they were guys that we had to cobble together.
If you don't think recruiting is important, you're sticking your head in the sand. Getting worked up about rankings is another thing altogether, but you are going to have a better team if your coaches land mostly prospects that they grade high. If they're under-signing or having to cobble together a class at the end, they're going to struggle 3-4 years down the line regardless of how good they can 'coach em up'.
If you paid attention to recruiting, avoiding the fluff pieces or any inflated rankings, it was easy to tell that 2010 was going to be a tough year for us. That's why most of us pay attention, because it makes it a whole lot easier to see what your future is going to look like.
Will this particular class matter next year? Other than a few players that will contribute, it won't make much of a difference for anyone. Of course, I'm guessing you're hoping to have success further than 1 or 2 years down the line. If that's the case, then you're going to need good players down the line. You can be your own judge on whether or not you're getting those good players or not and whether or not they're getting to campus and staying on campus.
See, it's not just about one year, or February. It's about the whole process. We signed a very good class in 2006, but not just according to the rankings. That class had a low attrition rate, and coupled with a few standouts from other classes, they had some pretty good seasons. It was easy to see ahead of time that they were going to be pretty good. They didn't win anything in 2006 or 2007, but if you were watching, you knew we were going to be better in 2008 and 2009 because of that class and a few of the other pieces from other classes around it.
I won't be one to judge your class, but if it's a class filled with back-fill and Plan B's, or if it falls apart with attrition, you're going to suck in 3-4 years regardless of your head coach. If you're signing a good class and the majority of them stay in school and develop, you're going to be pretty good in 3-4 years. It's not hard to follow, especially for someone that's a former coach, I would think.
ETA: Let me also say that I think your 2007 class (after attrition) was definitely better than ours. Your 2008 class was better than ours, and while I think our 2009 class even after attrition was a solid enough class to build on, I still think I give your 2009 class a slight nod. However, our 2010 class and this 2011 class look to be much better for us than for you, without the opportunity for much attrition yet obviously. That's a big reason why you had a better 2010 team than us. You simply had more talent, and you had enough talent to allow you to compete.
I was not impressed with Mullen's 2010 haul. He had a few players that looked good on the offer list, but he had a whole lot of signees who didn't get much attention from any other decent programs. I see a lot of the same in this 2011 haul. Unless there are an abnormal amount of diamonds in the rough in these past two classes, I expect that your talent will be down by 2013, and you'll be experiencing "rebuilding" at that point. You might see the start of that downward trend as early as 2012, much like our 2009 season (in comparison to how we looked in 2008) gave a preview of what was to come in 2010. So again, feel free to ignore it, but if you aren't doing a whole lot better on the recruiting trail then I think you are the last two years, it'll catch up to you in a few years.