Jury is still out for me. To me, he over-achieved in years 1 and 2 with very little talent and somehow got to bowl games. He got a bowl game using 4 QBs one year. That tells me there is some coaching ability to get those teams to the postseason. Last year was disappointing. This year will be very telling, not just in W-L record but in how they compete. With a first year QB and so much turnover on offense this year, my expectation was for offense to struggle but defense to be solid, which is what we saw in week 1. The big thing will be how much this team improves on the offensive side of the ball moving forward. While, I wouldn't be happy with another 5-7 record, I thought that was where they would be before the season started. If they did that and were competitive with teams that clearly were better (I think USC plays 5 straight ranked teams at one point this year), we will have a better idea of where the program is and it would be fair to determine if the program is moving in the right direction. He's not an on-field X's and O's guy for sure. He's a recruiter, , game-planner, motivator and decision maker. His biggest decisions to be judged will be whether he has all the right coordinators in place.
Saying I think the team will go 5-7 isn't just accepting failure, it's just being real. If the team bombs this year, I could see why a change would be made, but I doubt it will be. I think given his previous seasons, Beamer gets a minimum of 5 years as HC.