Dan makes some bonehead decisions and he's young so we'll give him somewhat of a pass, but he's not improving or he is as slow as the U.S. economic recovery, so that's not gonna cut it.
The main issue is recruiting. That 2009 class was great and it proved it. A lot of good SEC football players and NFL guys in that class. That class was ranked high as well. (17-22 or so depending on who you look at). There's a couple great players left from that class like Whitley, Russell, Jackson, Skinner, LDP, and Hutchins who all got to redshirt. Only true busts in that class was Montrell Conner, Dennis Thames, and Langston.
The 2010 class was a bust, however. I'm not gonna count the JUCO guys, but the guys Mullen brought into the program that year only produced 10 players for us that I would consider good. The 2009 class is almost all gone and of the 2010 class we only use 10 guys from that class: Love, Wells, Eulls, Johnson, Virges, Griffin, Classell, J. Hughes, Day, and Tubby and I'd say Virges, Claussell, Day, and Johnson are average at best that only puts us at 6 or 7 guys that are contributing from the 2010 class 3 years later. That's not gonna cut it. This class was ranked high 30s low 40s and obviously the recruiting analyst got this one right.
The 2011 class is very talented even the two star guys (Calhoun, P. Smith, McKinney, Market, Malone). This class was rated 45 by scout and they obviously missed on this class as it has panned out other than Morrow who still is going to figure it out I think, Nick Redmond a bust as well. This class wasn't highly rated, but looks like the staff evaluated well so far.
The 2012 class looks very talented and had some 5 star guys as well as 4s and 3s that are really talented players. Most of these players are getting on the field early and that's going to help as well. Richie Brown, Quay, Autry, AJ Jefferson, Will Redmond, B. Brown, etc...this class was ranked 18 and seems to be panning out well.
The 2013 class looks to be very talented at the top with those guys getting playing time (Shumpert, C. Jones, Justin Cox, Fred Ross) and also a few surprises in Darunnya Wilson and Damien Williams and I would say Kivan Coman looks to be the part of a good athlete. The rest of this class gets the benefit to redshirt and this class was ranked 22.
On to 2013....right now we sit ranked at 35 with 16 commits according to Scout. This class will be small so the ranking won't reflect truly how good the class will be, but if it's a going to be a good class, we should be heavy at the top with 4s and high 3s.
My point is this, Dan can't afford to recruit like he did in 2010 and miss on almost every guy he gets. 2011 ended up being good but the class was rated poorly and right now we seem to be headed in that direction. If we end up with a class like 2010, look for the same thing to happen in a couple years and we'll find ourselves right where we are now.
I said what my expectations were in another thread. Winning season AND top 20 recruiting class and that's it. Sorry for the long post.
The main issue is recruiting. That 2009 class was great and it proved it. A lot of good SEC football players and NFL guys in that class. That class was ranked high as well. (17-22 or so depending on who you look at). There's a couple great players left from that class like Whitley, Russell, Jackson, Skinner, LDP, and Hutchins who all got to redshirt. Only true busts in that class was Montrell Conner, Dennis Thames, and Langston.
The 2010 class was a bust, however. I'm not gonna count the JUCO guys, but the guys Mullen brought into the program that year only produced 10 players for us that I would consider good. The 2009 class is almost all gone and of the 2010 class we only use 10 guys from that class: Love, Wells, Eulls, Johnson, Virges, Griffin, Classell, J. Hughes, Day, and Tubby and I'd say Virges, Claussell, Day, and Johnson are average at best that only puts us at 6 or 7 guys that are contributing from the 2010 class 3 years later. That's not gonna cut it. This class was ranked high 30s low 40s and obviously the recruiting analyst got this one right.
The 2011 class is very talented even the two star guys (Calhoun, P. Smith, McKinney, Market, Malone). This class was rated 45 by scout and they obviously missed on this class as it has panned out other than Morrow who still is going to figure it out I think, Nick Redmond a bust as well. This class wasn't highly rated, but looks like the staff evaluated well so far.
The 2012 class looks very talented and had some 5 star guys as well as 4s and 3s that are really talented players. Most of these players are getting on the field early and that's going to help as well. Richie Brown, Quay, Autry, AJ Jefferson, Will Redmond, B. Brown, etc...this class was ranked 18 and seems to be panning out well.
The 2013 class looks to be very talented at the top with those guys getting playing time (Shumpert, C. Jones, Justin Cox, Fred Ross) and also a few surprises in Darunnya Wilson and Damien Williams and I would say Kivan Coman looks to be the part of a good athlete. The rest of this class gets the benefit to redshirt and this class was ranked 22.
On to 2013....right now we sit ranked at 35 with 16 commits according to Scout. This class will be small so the ranking won't reflect truly how good the class will be, but if it's a going to be a good class, we should be heavy at the top with 4s and high 3s.
My point is this, Dan can't afford to recruit like he did in 2010 and miss on almost every guy he gets. 2011 ended up being good but the class was rated poorly and right now we seem to be headed in that direction. If we end up with a class like 2010, look for the same thing to happen in a couple years and we'll find ourselves right where we are now.
I said what my expectations were in another thread. Winning season AND top 20 recruiting class and that's it. Sorry for the long post.