Mark Pope on status of Lowe and JQ

kyjeff1

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Not only do we only have one point guard, we don’t have anyone else that can even handle the ball or dribble drive. Maybe JJ?

We have trouble even getting the ball in bounds against good teams without Lowe.
Yeah and everyone knows it.
The St Johns game really highlighted how huge it is for this team to have Lowe on the floor. We couldn't do anything against their defense, they smothered our ball handlers, but once Lowe came in, they couldn't guard us.
JJ is the only other guy we have that at least has some point guard skills, but it seems like he would rather not be an assist guy, he wants to score.
 
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Eagles_Ball_69

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What? A minute restriction absolutely changes that. You might not agree with the philosophy and I get that.. but if Lowe is given 5 more minutes a game, that's 5 more minutes he has a chance of re-injury. And this is even more of a problem for a lower body injury because then it's repeated movements (sprinting, landing etc). This is why when we get to some of the lesser SEC teams, and if we're up big, you pull Lowe out, put in JJ, and I'm talking like, as soon as the 2nd half begins.

We threw away 3 of the last 4 years due to injury. The stars have to play of course, but you have to spell them as well and give yourself the best chance to go into March as healthy as possible. And then when the tournament starts, unleash them. And if they go down? Then you have a guy like JJ a little more prepared.
Buddy, a minute limitation decreases the chance ANY player has to injury. This isn’t a case of if he plays he injures it more or worse. It either comes out or it doesn’t. Limiting his minutes doesn’t change that, outside of the obvious. And if you treat it like that, you might as well not have him cross the street. Play him. If he breaks, he breaks. That’s the only way this can be managed. And, btw, he’s gonna break. The approach being taken is desperate and silly.
 

Eagles_Ball_69

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In those games, yes. And for Alabama, probably have to start them and likely need to go to 25 minutes and beyond. But we still have to be very careful how much time we give to Lowe. Every minute he plays is another minute someone can bump that shoulder. So the next game against Mizz, I'm fine starting Lowe and seeing how things go, but I would really try to cap him at 25 minutes while giving JJ reps so we can be prepared.
You’re clueless if you think THIS team can try to limit minutes against ANY conference opponent. This team is awful without Lowe and JQ. They are average (see middle of the pack in SEC) without Lowe, at best. You just have to play him. That’s it. He’s going to break. It’s inevitable.
 

LineSkiCat14

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Buddy, a minute limitation decreases the chance ANY player has to injury. This isn’t a case of if he plays he injures it more or worse. It either comes out or it doesn’t. Limiting his minutes doesn’t change that, outside of the obvious. And if you treat it like that, you might as well not have him cross the street. Play him. If he breaks, he breaks. That’s the only way this can be managed. And, btw, he’s gonna break. The approach being taken is desperate and silly.

But with Lowe, he has a dodgy shoulder right now. The same contact given to Aberdeen on a screen is always going to carry less risk (but not no risk) than a guy who is already injured. We see it in sports all the time. Players continue to play on a weak hamstring or calf and the Achilles pops. Josh jacobs continues to hurt himself more and more for Greenbay playing on a bad knee, and now hes in a split backfield. Not the same example of course. But I think thats the perfect example for a minute restriction to keep him available, because the best ability IS availability.

I get the notion that we cant just keep him in the bubble. But I certainly dont agree with several posters who think "give him all the minutes". Big games or if we absolutely need the win? Sure. But we not only need to try and stay healthy as long as possible but ALSO get JJ and others reps. Giving Lowe a soft minutes restriction does have additional benefits like getting other plays valuable experience
 
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LineSkiCat14

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You’re clueless if you think THIS team can try to limit minutes against ANY conference opponent. This team is awful without Lowe and JQ. They are average (see middle of the pack in SEC) without Lowe, at best. You just have to play him. That’s it. He’s going to break. It’s inevitable.

The last two power conference teams we beat, and pretty good ones at that, Lowe played 25 minutes and 15. And the game he played 30, wr lost to UofL and looked like **** (although the whole team was in disarray).

So again, we dont need him to play 30+ and I dont believe its a good strategy to do so.
 

Eagles_Ball_69

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But with Lowe, he has a dodgy shoulder right now. The same contact given to Aberdeen on a screen is always going to carry less risk (but not no risk) than a guy who is already injured. We see it in sports all the time. Players continue to play on a weak hamstring or calf and the Achilles pops. Josh jacobs continues to hurt himself more and more for Greenbay playing on a bad knee, and now hes in a split backfield. Not the same example of course. But I think thats the perfect example for a minute restriction to keep him available, because the best ability IS availability.

I get the notion that we cant just keep him in the bubble. But I certainly dont agree with several posters who think "give him all the minutes". Big games or if we absolutely need the win? Sure. But we not only need to try and stay healthy as long as possible but ALSO get JJ and others reps. Giving Lowe a soft minutes restriction does have additional benefits like getting other plays valuable experience
Correct, not a good comp with Jacobs. The shoulder isn’t “dodgy”. It either says in or comes out. Outside of that, it’s pain management. But again, I think the approach being taken is asinine and desperate. That shoulder is going to come out a couple more times before the end of the season. He’s not going to finish the season. I’m shocked his handlers are allowing this approach. It’s literally Pope trying to save his job (not the season).
 

Eagles_Ball_69

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The last two power conference teams we beat, and pretty good ones at that, Lowe played 25 minutes and 15.

Again, we dont need him to play 30+ and I dont believe thats a good strategy.
Indiana and St Johns are good? I agree though, 30 mins isn’t needed. But 25-28 mins are. The difference between that and 30 is just splitting hairs.
 
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LineSkiCat14

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Correct, not a good comp with Jacobs. The shoulder isn’t “dodgy”. It either says in or comes out. Outside of that, it’s pain management. But again, I think the approach being taken is asinine and desperate. That shoulder is going to come out a couple more times before the end of the season. He’s not going to finish the season. I’m shocked his handlers are allowing this approach. It’s literally Pope trying to save his job (not the season).

Indiana and St Johns are good? I agree though, 30 mins isn’t needed. But 25-28 mins are. The difference between that and 30 is just splitting hairs.

Its a pretty solid comparison. Hes going to take contact in every game. Every minute hes on the floor is another chance he reinjures it, same with Jacobs. Its that simple. The only difference is Jacobs injury is lower body and that means he has to use it when he plays. Lowe *might* not get hit in the shoulder that game, but he *wont* get hit if hes not playing.

Indiana and st. John's are quality wins. And we did it with Lowe averaging 20mpg. Id be OK with 25 mim. But even then, id do it on a case being case basis. If Kentucky is up on Mizz 15 at half time and Lowe played 12 minutes, I wouldnt start him for the 2nd and see if we can hold on.

Fwiw my reason for this isnt to protect the players future or Pope.. its what I think is the best strategy for winning a Final4. You have a player with a similar injury to Jrob last year or a weak calf? You gotta do what you can to spell them and get their replacement in a position to take over.
 
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Eagles_Ball_69

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Its a pretty solid comparison. Hes going to take contact in every game. Every minute hes on the floor is another chance he reinjures it, same with Jacobs. Its that simple. The only difference is Jacobs injury is lower body and that means he has to use it when he plays. Lowe *might* not get hit in the shoulder that game, but he *wont* get hit if hes not playing.

Indiana and st. John's are quality wins. And we did it with Lowe averaging 20mpg. Id be OK with 25 mim. But even then, id do it on a case being case basis. If Kentucky is up on Mizz 15 at half time and Lowe played 12 minutes, I wouldnt start him for the 2nd and see if we can hold on.

Fwiw my reason for this isnt to protect the players future or Pope.. its what I think is the best strategy for winning a Final4. You have a player with a similar injury to Jrob last year or a weak calf? You gotta do what you can to spell them and get their replacement in a position to take over.
Look man, this isn’t an achy knee or a weak calf. It’s a shoulder that’s going to come out again. There’s no in between. That’s what I mean by that. No amount of minutes limit is going to change that and it’s not going to magically get stronger or lessen throughout the season.
 

LineSkiCat14

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Look man, this isn’t an achy knee or a weak calf. It’s a shoulder that’s going to come out again. There’s no in between. That’s what I mean by that. No amount of minutes limit is going to change that and it’s not going to magically get stronger or lessen throughout the season.

I was confusing Jrob and Butlers injury, if that matters.

I imagine, and I could be wrong, that if you pop that shoulder out enough times, its a compounding injury and after too many times of it happening, you're done. Now for Jrob it was his wrist, but that sort of seems to be what happened to him. Enough hard hits finally took him out. If he didnt play against OU (when he went down for the 3rd time I believe before needing surgery) who knows if he could of lasted a little longer into the season. Maybe he doesnt land on it bad again and he plays into march.

Lowes shoulder is absolutely compromised until he gets off season treatment, i get that, That wont change, and you cant wrap him in a bubble. But the more minutes he plays with that sort of injury, the more likely hes gonna continue to hit it until hes out for the season.
 
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Eagles_Ball_69

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I was confusing Jrob and Butlers injury, if that matters.

I imagine, and I could be wrong, that if you pop that shoulder out enough times, its a compounding injury and after too many times of it happening, you're done. Now for Jrob it was his wrist, but that sort of seems to be what happened to him. Enough hard hits finally took him out. If he didnt play against OU (when he went down for the 3rd time I believe before needing surgery) who knows if he could of lasted a little longer into the season. Maybe he doesnt land on it bad again and he plays into march.

Lowes shoulder is absolutely compromised until he gets off season treatment, i get that, That wont change, and you cant wrap him in a bubble. But the more minutes he plays with that sort of injury, the more likely hes gonna continue to hit it until hes out for the season.
It’s basically at the point from my understanding. It’s just gonna come out over and over again. The brace is the only thing that really prevents it. The muscles and surrounding tissues that hold it are stretched so much it’s just there. I think Butler was essentially the same. They don’t “repair” themselves. Surgery or it just keeps falling out. That’s what I mean by not hurting it further. But agreed, every single minute he plays is further risk of that happening. But honestly, he could do it brushing his teeth or washing his hair.
 

kyjeff1

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The last two power conference teams we beat, and pretty good ones at that, Lowe played 25 minutes and 15. And the game he played 30, wr lost to UofL and looked like **** (although the whole team was in disarray).

So again, we dont need him to play 30+ and I dont believe its a good strategy to do so.
I don't think you set a minutes restriction, it's not a lower body injury. You play him as needed.
As we just saw, he can pop that shoulder out within 2 seconds of entering the game, so restricting his minutes isn’t going to benefit him all that much beyond lessening the amount of times he might run into a screen.
It’s a good thing we don't depend on him for his defensive prowess.
 
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kyjeff1

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If Lowe is NA, who would you propose?
JJ, that's what we have been talking about.
JJ has more pg skills than DA and Chandler, the issue is, Pope hardly played him against the cupcakes we played, he stuck witb DA.
 

Eagles_Ball_69

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And Aberdeen. I like DA, but putting him at the pg spot, is such a bad idea.
Lots of truth to that. Lowe isn’t going to finish the season, so I can only assume plugging DA into that role has something to do with that belief. That said, behind Lowe it’s JJ and then DA and then honestly I don’t think it matters. If anyone deeper than that has to play mins at PG this team isn’t beating anyone with a pulse.
 
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Eagles_Ball_69

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Agree to disagree on this one. Given the choice of DA and JJ to run offense, give me Aberdeen right now.
I get neither are ideal, I just think JJ has a much better skill set for it. Problem is, he’s either resistant to coaching or the coaching of it has t occurred. Then again, DA has had the same issues.

JJ is much more capable of getting by his man and forcing help/getting downhill. Most of JJs issues have been his horrid decision making. DA has great value with this team, I’m just not sure it’s on the ball. Granted, when Lowe inevitably goes down again he’ll have to play major minutes on the ball.
 
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LineSkiCat14

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That is true, he could injury this getting out of bed.

With you saying 25 to 28min.. we're pretty much on the same page. Its those above implying that he needs 30+, where the risk is too great, attempting to win the battle while costing the war. If we absolutely NEED Lowe to play 34 mpg, then this isnt our season anyways.

Fwiw not a single UK player hit 29 mpg last year and only like 3 were above 26.
 
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JJ, that's what we have been talking about.
JJ has more pg skills than DA and Chandler, the issue is, Pope hardly played him against the cupcakes we played, he stuck witb DA.
I bet you if Jasper played better defense, he would get more minutes. I know you feel like there’s this huge gulf between DA and JJ, but really there isn’t offensively. Jasper shots barely better from three (37.2% v 36%), but from two shoots horribly (47.2% v 54.4%). This means Jasper is a one-dimensional scorer. As it relates to traditional point guard skills, I’ll refer to the per-40 numbers for comparison: Jasper dominates in assists (7.1 v 5.0), but has more turnovers (2.5 v 2.0). It’s not enough to offset the rest of the basketball game —- Jasper vs Aberdeen in rebounds per 40 (4.4 v 5.2). Steals? (0.2 v 1.5). Also, Johnson has the worst defensive efficiency numbers on the entire team (outside of walkons) —- even worse than Lowe. Honestly, Pope has been far too kind in playing Jasper —- he shouldn’t even be in the rotation based on his production, but we can hope he improves as the year continues.
 

kyjeff1

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Agree to disagree on this one. Given the choice of DA and JJ to run offense, give me Aberdeen right now.
Our offense has consistently scored 4 or less points by the first tv timeout when DA runs the point. He is not a pg. He doesn't drive the ball, because he can't. He doesn't beat anyone off the bounce, because he can't.
St Johns smothered DA and turned our offense inside out, until Lowe cake back.
JJ can beat good defenders off the bounce, but he needs reps. In my opinion, he's the best shot we have at doing anything worth a damn this year if Lowe can’t go.
 

kyjeff1

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I bet you if Jasper played better defense, he would get more minutes. I know you feel like there’s this huge gulf between DA and JJ, but really there isn’t offensively. Jasper shots barely better from three (37.2% v 36%), but from two shoots horribly (47.2% v 54.4%). This means Jasper is a one-dimensional scorer. As it relates to traditional point guard skills, I’ll refer to the per-40 numbers for comparison: Jasper dominates in assists (7.1 v 5.0), but has more turnovers (2.5 v 2.0). It’s not enough to offset the rest of the basketball game —- Jasper vs Aberdeen in rebounds per 40 (4.4 v 5.2). Steals? (0.2 v 1.5). Also, Johnson has the worst defensive efficiency numbers on the entire team (outside of walkons) —- even worse than Lowe. Honestly, Pope has been far too kind in playing Jasper —- he shouldn’t even be in the rotation based on his production, but we can hope he improves as the year continues.
Here's the issue, DA has played most of the minutes at the point while Lowe was out, he didn't get any better. Our offense struggled. He can't get by his man, he can't get into the paint and he struggles with on-ball pressure. We saw that highlighted with a massive highlighter in the St Johns game.

The reason why JJ is the better option (IMO), is because he can beat good defenders off the bounce, he can get into the paint and he has actually shown he can create easy buckets for others when he wants to.

The issue as I see it is, Pope gave most of the available pg minutes to DA. Half of those minutes should have gone to JJ, at least in the games against cupcakes.

DA is not a pg and if he is our #1 option, we aren't getting out of the first weekend of the tournament. DA is still a key player, just not at the pg spot. We struggle on offense when he's running it.
 
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Here's the issue, DA has played most of the minutes at the point while Lowe was out, he didn't get any better. Our offense struggled. He can't get by his man, he can't get into the paint and he struggles with on-ball pressure. We saw that highlighted with a massive highlighter in the St Johns game.

The reason why JJ is the better option (IMO), is because he can beat good defenders off the bounce, he can get into the paint and he has actually shown he can create easy buckets for others when he wants to.

The issue as I see it is, Pope gave most of the available pg minutes to DA. Half of those minutes should have gone to JJ, at least in the games against cupcakes.

DA is not a pg and if he is our #1 option, we aren't getting out of the first weekend of the tournament. DA is still a key player, just not at the pg spot. We struggle on offense when he's running it.
I’ll just agree to disagree with you on this, Jeff. My eyes see something totally different. Aberdeen has continued to beat defenders for drives, whereas I see that happen only in spare situations with Jasper —- and it almost always ends up with a wildly missed layup under heavy duress. Jasper may be one of the most disappointing athletes I’ve seen in recent memory based on high school projections —- he’s a zero ability scorer within the three point arc, isn’t overly quick and an average shooter at best, with very little comprehension about what a quality shot looks like. Aberdeen isn’t a point guard and is still quite a bit better than Jasper at that position —- that’s not a good thing. I hate even saying it, but I have to be honest and the stats back it up.
 

kyjeff1

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I’ll just agree to disagree with you on this, Jeff. My eyes see something totally different. Aberdeen has continued to beat defenders for drives, whereas I see that happen only in spare situations with Jasper —- and it almost always ends up with a wildly missed layup under heavy duress. Jasper may be one of the most disappointing athletes I’ve seen in recent memory based on high school projections —- he’s a zero ability scorer within the three point arc, isn’t overly quick and an average shooter at best, with very little comprehension about what a quality shot looks like. Aberdeen isn’t a point guard and is still quite a bit better than Jasper at that position —- that’s not a good thing. I hate even saying it, but I have to be honest and the stats back it up.
I have no issue with you disagreeing. I'll just say this though, Aberdeen has had all the minutes to.prove he can do it and our offense has looked terrible, then Lowe comes in and things immediately improve.

I just think JJ should have been given more minutes against the cupcakes, but Pope knows him better than I do and I trust Pope a whole lot more than I trusted our last coach when it comes to playing the best players for winning purposes.
 

AllBall

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I think Noah has always been what he is, an 8 to 9 point per game guy on a mid major level team. It's just that Pope hyped him up all summer and created unreasonable fan expectations because that's what Pope does.
My pet peeve listening to CMP is the over use of adjectives like elite and beautiful. He uses those terms to loosely IMHO.
 

preston-lemasterpiece

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Buddy, a minute limitation decreases the chance ANY player has to injury. This isn’t a case of if he plays he injures it more or worse. It either comes out or it doesn’t. Limiting his minutes doesn’t change that, outside of the obvious. And if you treat it like that, you might as well not have him cross the street. Play him. If he breaks, he breaks. That’s the only way this can be managed. And, btw, he’s gonna break. The approach being taken is desperate and silly.
"if he dies...he dies."
 
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HipTer

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I have no issue with you disagreeing. I'll just say this though, Aberdeen has had all the minutes to.prove he can do it and our offense has looked terrible, then Lowe comes in and things immediately improve.

I just think JJ should have been given more minutes against the cupcakes, but Pope knows him better than I do and I trust Pope a whole lot more than I trusted our last coach when it comes to playing the best players for winning purposes.
Much respect for the way you and ITVI discussed the issue of Aberdeen vs Johnson in regard to the backup PG. The best of a message board is when intelligent discussion makes you think harder about an issue. I think you’re right that Aberdeen is not a good PG, but I also believe that ITVI has a point that Aberdeen has maybe been better in that role UP TO THIS POINT.

If I had to point to one thing that holds Johnson back in my mind, it would be the lack of intention with his dribble. When I watch Johnson I think of Koby Brea from last season. The primary intention with both is to use their dribble to get free for a perimeter shot. A good and necessary ball-handling skill for a 2G, but not so necessary or even desirable for a PG. I believe that a good PG has to use his dribble with the intention of generally moving forward and forcing the defense to react and commit, and then have the decision making talent to usually make the right decision in regard to when to pass or take the shot.

I don’t question that Johnson has some PG instincts, is a willing passer and can learn to use his dribble with a different intention. But I do wonder how quickly he can effect that change. Still, I think Pope has to try to get Johnson there because I have doubts about this UK team being a Top 25 team with Aberdeen at the Point.
 

kyjeff1

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Much respect for the way you and ITVI discussed the issue of Aberdeen vs Johnson in regard to the backup PG. The best of a message board is when intelligent discussion makes you think harder about an issue. I think you’re right that Aberdeen is not a good PG, but I also believe that ITVI has a point that Aberdeen has maybe been better in that role UP TO THIS POINT.

If I had to point to one thing that holds Johnson back in my mind, it would be the lack of intention with his dribble. When I watch Johnson I think of Koby Brea from last season. The primary intention with both is to use their dribble to get free for a perimeter shot. A good and necessary ball-handling skill for a 2G, but not so necessary or even desirable for a PG. I believe that a good PG has to use his dribble with the intention of generally moving forward and forcing the defense to react and commit, and then have the decision making talent to usually make the right decision in regard to when to pass or take the shot.

I don’t question that Johnson has some PG instincts, is a willing passer and can learn to use his dribble with a different intention. But I do wonder how quickly he can effect that change. Still, I think Pope has to try to get Johnson there because I have doubts about this UK team being a Top 25 team with Aberdeen at the Point.
Great post. I agree with all of it, especially your assessment of both players.
The reason I wanted to see JJ get as much playing time as possible against the cupcakes we've played, is because the best way to get him up to par, is to get him into as much live game action as possible. He has enough skill to get into the paint and create, but he’s still miles from being good enough to run the pg spot in the SEC.
My fear is that Lowe is going to go down and we will have to solely rely on Aberdeen. I just don't think DA is going to be a good enough pg to rely on. He’s an excellent 2g, he's just not a pg.
But, I'm no talent evaluator and I could be way off on my thoughts about DA being good enough at the 1. I hope he makes me eat my words.
 
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Great post. I agree with all of it, especially your assessment of both players.
The reason I wanted to see JJ get as much playing time as possible against the cupcakes we've played, is because the best way to get him up to par, is to get him into as much live game action as possible. He has enough skill to get into the paint and create, but he’s still miles from being good enough to run the pg spot in the SEC.
My fear is that Lowe is going to go down and we will have to solely rely on Aberdeen. I just don't think DA is going to be a good enough pg to rely on. He’s an excellent 2g, he's just not a pg.
But, I'm no talent evaluator and I could be way off on my thoughts about DA being good enough at the 1. I hope he makes me eat my words.
Good news is there’s more than one way to score inside. If I were Jasper, I’d be watching Immanuel Quickley film all off-season. Quickley wasn’t very strong at Kentucky and really struggled his freshman year. By sophomore year, he had developed all kinds of crafty moves and a dependable floater. Add that to Johnson and he can be a weapon. Not every player needs to be a super-athlete. Jasper might not ever see the plays develop early like a Travis Ford or a Tyler Ulis but his confidence can be a weapon later in his career.