Mitchell projecting up
- Thread starter HowerinJr
- Start date
Would be interesting to see new faces for a round or to. Unless Mitchell ends up with Polk and Avery in the playoffs. Still think Mitchell can make a run in either 1a or 1aa. In 1a I would have them behind Robbinsville and potentially Murphy depending on location and injuries. In 1aa most definitely behind ES and equal with Swain, Mt. Airy and MICS. Would not look forward to a Polk rematch. Could be some very interesting matchups this post season.
Go Mountaineers
Go Mountaineers
I really hope Mitchell goes big would be nice to face a different team in the playoffs this year. However I would definitely have them ahead of MA and MIC by a fairly good margin along with Swain.
If Mitchell goes 1AA, I think it will be an easier road to the Western Finals but it will be a long shot to win it all. If they go 1A, the west will be brutal with Robbinsville and Murphy. The 1A West winner will be the state champs.
Shows how much ADM numbers are down. The first year Mitchell dropped to 1A thier number was 506 , now with 489 possibly playing 1AA. Only 30 out of 72 teams on 500+.
The 2015 ADM was used for the 2017- 2021 realignment. WHC numbers were:
519..622..633..701..789..801 ( Owen the 801 went to 861 in 2016).
Now:
489..539..614..629..712..783
The 2015 ADM was used for the 2017- 2021 realignment. WHC numbers were:
519..622..633..701..789..801 ( Owen the 801 went to 861 in 2016).
Now:
489..539..614..629..712..783
I agree... Plus on a personal selfish note if Mitchell was to lose to Murphy or Robbinsville the jabbing I'd get would be just on here. But If Mitchell was to lose to East Surry though my first cousin and his family live there and his children went to East Surry and he son played there who'd I never here the end of it from, especially since I sometimes still remind him that he still owes me $10 from the last time they played.
Honestly I'd just assume Mitchell be 1aa as 1a. 1a holds that blessed SMC, and they beat Mitchell even when they shouldn't. I wouldn't mind seeing the greatest show on turf, or seeing how Mitchell stacks up against East Surry. Even have a crack at Tarboro. You know what they say, to be the man, you gotta beat the man...
Dang $10 from 1986, at 3% interest, compounded annually comes out to $35.65!
You better cash in!
I for one are hoping Mitchell goes 1A. It would make for some even greater football in the West. Good luck either way
lol I meantion that this year at our family reunion while they were telling me about East Surry and all the division one coaches coming to practice. As usual he just laughs and doesn't recall.
I knew our numbers were gonna be in the high 400s from early on so I got agitated at a Mitchell poster who kept saying we could be 1AA. I said Mitchell would be 1A for a fact. Fact is I didn’t realize the number of schools smaller than Mitchell qualifying. Fact is I’m a dumbass and apologize to whoever said we would be 1AA. I never expected 489 to be 1AA.
I'm like you , when I saw 489 again I thought 1A. The only reason I thought this season that Mitchell might be 1AA is because I kept hearing the enrollment numbers were up and the adm would be over 500. Never thought about going up with the same number as last year.
I mean, I'm good either way, I think Mitchell can go 4th round or state in either class. I really think Robbinsville might be every bit as strong as East Surry...
I would like to know this answer myself. I looked at the "First 5 out" list and the only teams there with a higher ADM than Mitchell was Riverside and Cherryville and neither has a good look at an upset. I don't know who the next five out are or if any of them could make 1AA, but those were the only ones I could see because I was relying on the skills of others.
I agree. Looking at the adjusted rankings the only bigger team below top 45 ( 3 will get in because of conference standings) Community School of Davidson is the only bigger school that looks like could get in but they don't affect Mitchell , looks like wether their in or out affects were Gates goes. But I may be missing something.
CSOD moving in, and Louisberg or South Stanly dropping out would kick East Surry to the east, giving Mitchell the #1 seed...
That would be wild.. Just saw someone say that at the end of their game last night that Bear Grass Charter announced they will not be participating in the playoffs.
Wow really? That right there would throw Gates back small, and shift the Cards to the east. This could get interesting...
The 1st three out right now are Union, Weldon and Rosman. All are 1A size. There would have to be a team larger than Mitchell to move into any playoff spot vacated, which is why I mentioned the upset possibilities earlier.
Its fun being the team that makes the biggest difference in the bracketology haha.
An updated bracket with no bear grass
1aa west
1 East Surry (1)
2 Mitchell (1)
3 Bessemer City (1)
4 North Rowan (1)
5 Mount Airy (2)
6 MICS (2)
7 Swain (WC)
8 Polk (WC)
9 Avery (WC)
10 Starmount (WC)
11 Union Academy (WC)
12 East Wilkes (WC)
1aa east
1 Tarboro (1)
2 Holmes (1)
3 Princeton (1)
4 Granville Central (1)
5 Manteo (2)
6 North Stanly (2)
7 South Stokes (WC)
8 Gates County (WC)
9 Hobbton (WC)
10 South Stanly (WC)
11 Louisburg (WC)
12 East Carteret (WC)
1a West
1 Robbinsville (1)
2 Elkin (1)
3 Thomas Jefferson (1)
4 Murphy (2)
5 Hayesville (WC)
6 Winston Salem Prep (WC)
7 Andrews (WC)
8 North Stokes (WC)
9 Allegany (WC)
10 Albemarle (WC)
11 Cherokee (WC)
12 East Columbus (WC)
1a east
1 North Edgecombe (1)
2 Rosewood (2)
3 Pamlico (2)
4 Northampton (2)
5 Northside (WC)
6 Washington County (WC)
7 Southside (WC)
8 South Creek (WC)
9 North Duplin (WC)
10 Perquimans (WC)
11 Lakewood (WC)
12 KIPP Pride (WC)
I think this is right, with this weeks rankings and conference standings
1aa west
1 East Surry (1)
2 Mitchell (1)
3 Bessemer City (1)
4 North Rowan (1)
5 Mount Airy (2)
6 MICS (2)
7 Swain (WC)
8 Polk (WC)
9 Avery (WC)
10 Starmount (WC)
11 Union Academy (WC)
12 East Wilkes (WC)
1aa east
1 Tarboro (1)
2 Holmes (1)
3 Princeton (1)
4 Granville Central (1)
5 Manteo (2)
6 North Stanly (2)
7 South Stokes (WC)
8 Gates County (WC)
9 Hobbton (WC)
10 South Stanly (WC)
11 Louisburg (WC)
12 East Carteret (WC)
1a West
1 Robbinsville (1)
2 Elkin (1)
3 Thomas Jefferson (1)
4 Murphy (2)
5 Hayesville (WC)
6 Winston Salem Prep (WC)
7 Andrews (WC)
8 North Stokes (WC)
9 Allegany (WC)
10 Albemarle (WC)
11 Cherokee (WC)
12 East Columbus (WC)
1a east
1 North Edgecombe (1)
2 Rosewood (2)
3 Pamlico (2)
4 Northampton (2)
5 Northside (WC)
6 Washington County (WC)
7 Southside (WC)
8 South Creek (WC)
9 North Duplin (WC)
10 Perquimans (WC)
11 Lakewood (WC)
12 KIPP Pride (WC)
I think this is right, with this weeks rankings and conference standings
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One thing last week on WLOS they said Mitchell clenches the 1A title in WHC with the win over Polk, but if I'm not mistaken if Mitchell was to lose to Avery tonight ( for the record I don't think they will).but if they did wouldn't there be a 3 way tie in the 1A?
From what understand if a conference has 5-8 teams the first and second place teams get in as automatic bids It's the same for a split conference the only difference is the first place team in thier classification also get an automatic bid no matter where they are in the conference standings as long as they have a .500 overall record or are 3rd in the conference. So in a 2A/1A if the three top teams are 2A and fourth is a 1A then the two top 2A teams and the one 1A team are automatic qualifiers.
Which Part isnt close? Mitchell not going deep, or Robbinsville being as good as East Surry?
This is so confusing I’ll just wait till Saturday and see where we go and quit wondering about it. Like I always say Just win baby Win 
Robbinsville is not nearly as good as East Surry. East is bigger and deeper with more athletes. No knock on Robbinsville, because they are a quality team, but East would be too much for them.
It has nothing to do with being from Murphy. East is a different animal this year than they typically are.
I just noticed that Union beat Lakewood last night 32-14.
Both are smaller than Mitchell. If anything, that might be enough to push Union into the mix, which means you would need two teams larger than Mitchell to qualify to move them down to 1A.
Yeah I know I was just letting him know far as his projections. I really don't see anyone bigger then Mitchell who could move up to push Mitchell down to 1A.
It's just his opinion of course but I just noticed that Simmons picks this week he has CSOD winning and Louisburg and South Stanly losing.
There is a better shot of East Surry going East than Mitchell moving down.