NCAA Bracket Release Show Results/Thoughts

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,286
12,961
113
I truly don't understand how Davino didn't get number 1 seed. Wrestled a full schedule including National duals and Big 10. Redeemed his only loss to the Number 1 ranked guy in country. I don't see where Forrest resume is near Davino's. Please explain 🤔
NCAA seeding math should've went like this:
- H2H (25%): tied
- Quality Wins (20%): 15-5 for Davino, who beat more NQs and generally higher-ranked ones
- Coaches Rank (15%): 15-0 for Davino (3 vs 4)
- Conf Finish (10%): tied
- Common Opponents (10%): tied
- Win % (10%): Forrest 10-0
- RPI (10%): Davino 10-0

--> Davino +25

BUT: revised Coaches Rank was not made public after conference tourneys. Forrest would've gotten the 1 if he were higher ranked.

ALSO: if the Coaches Poll weren't re-done, then Blaze also beats Forrest +15. (Only change to above is Conf Finish 10-0 to Forrest.)

AND: Blaze vs Seidel is in the same bucket. Blaze wins based on public data, but Seidel wins if ranked higher and his newly acquired RPI were higher.

So just like B10 seeding, lack of transparency is the issue.

If those 4 really were more or less tied with each other, then Davino got additionally hosed by the ISU 133 situation. He beat Frost in the dual. Forrest beat then-backup Grice in the dual.
 

Dogwelder

All-Conference
Aug 1, 2013
801
2,720
93
The committee chair, Matt Valenti, explained during the selection show. Forrest was 1-0 vs Davino/Blaze/Seidel. Davino & Blaze were 1-1 and Seidel was 0-1 against the same group ..
Makes sense to me! Also, JTS’s Uncle was 1-0 vs Davino/Blaze/JTS. Davino & Blaze were 1-1 and JTS was 0-1 against the same group. I guess JTS’s uncle should be seeded above Blaze and Davino. Math don’t lie. 🤦‍♂️
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,439
7,421
113
NCAA seeding math should've went like this:
- H2H (25%): tied
- Quality Wins (20%): 15-5 for Davino, who beat more NQs and generally higher-ranked ones
- Coaches Rank (15%): 15-0 for Davino (3 vs 4)
- Conf Finish (10%): tied
- Common Opponents (10%): tied
- Win % (10%): Forrest 10-0
- RPI (10%): Davino 10-0

--> Davino +25

BUT: revised Coaches Rank was not made public after conference tourneys. Forrest would've gotten the 1 if he were higher ranked.

ALSO: if the Coaches Poll weren't re-done, then Blaze also beats Forrest +15. (Only change to above is Conf Finish 10-0 to Forrest.)

AND: Blaze vs Seidel is in the same bucket. Blaze wins based on public data, but Seidel wins if ranked higher and his newly acquired RPI were higher.

So just like B10 seeding, lack of transparency is the issue.

If those 4 really were more or less tied with each other, then Davino got additionally hosed by the ISU 133 situation. He beat Frost in the dual. Forrest beat then-backup Grice in the dual.
Coaches rank is now 10 and conference finish 15. That's the old formula . Jax was #1 in new coaches poll and Davino #2. They should release them but haven't
 

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,286
12,961
113
Coaches rank is now 10 and conference finish 15. That's the old formula . Jax was #1 in new coaches poll and Davino #2. They should release them but haven't
I'm not disputing you, but those breakdowns are in the file I downloaded from the NCAA website 1 month ago.

So again, transparency.
 
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Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,439
7,421
113
I'm not disputing you, but those breakdowns are in the file I downloaded from the NCAA website 1 month ago.

So again, transparency.
You downloaded the old file then. The new one is there
 

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CTStall

Senior
Oct 24, 2020
272
686
93
Coaches rank is now 10 and conference finish 15. That's the old formula . Jax was #1 in new coaches poll and Davino #2. They should release them but haven't
If that is the new formula would that change the Davino rank to drop him to 2 in the seeding??
 
Last edited:

Chris Watts

Redshirt
Jan 9, 2020
4
33
13


Here is the YouTube video of the Selection Show. The specific discussion concerning 133 occurs at about 4:00. But the other questions provide some insight into their logic this year as well.
 

FGDreadnought

Redshirt
Jul 1, 2022
21
27
3

In an English course at the Altoona Campus, long ago, the professor explained how they track pronunciations with the frequency of use to a maximum or center. The phrase "YOUNGS" a form of the yinz and many others, was centered in Altoona, PA. That takes me back to a former era and many versions of a similar phrase or word. One of my favs was Youse guys, a classmate from Erie said it that way.
 

mickpsu

Freshman
Jul 27, 2014
60
90
18
GOOD! Nothing I like more than seeing Peterson with that smug look wrestling on the backside early
Exactly…couldn’t figure out what Luke was doing when he picked Peterson up and started walking directly to the out of bounds line, and then forcefully put him back on the mat. The move looked so out of place at the moment. And then I remembered how Peterson acted and what he posted online (F You Penn State) after beating Luke at Rutgers match last year…. made me wonder if it wasn’t a little payback.
 

Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
1,572
4,681
113
Exactly…couldn’t figure out what Luke was doing when he picked Peterson up and started walking directly to the out of bounds line, and then forcefully put him back on the mat. The move looked so out of place at the moment. And then I remembered how Peterson acted and what he posted online (F You Penn State) after beating Luke at Rutgers match last year…. made me wonder if it wasn’t a little payback.
Are we sure it wasn't F youse guys Penn State?
 

gimb14

All-American
May 3, 2022
3,989
7,233
113
First run through the brackets...minimal thought put in...

Penn State 184.5
Oklahoma State 114
Ohio State 101

Luke, Mitch, Levi, Josh champs
 

zzs006

All-Conference
Mar 27, 2017
787
4,475
93
First run through the brackets...minimal thought put in...

Penn State 184.5
Oklahoma State 114
Ohio State 101

Luke, Mitch, Levi, Josh champs
Only those 4? Who do you have beating SVN and Duke? Do you think Blaze makes the final or losing to Davino? 184?
 
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Psalm 1 guy

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2019
1,149
4,408
113

RankCollege#NQAverage Seed
1Penn State103
2Ohio State107
3Oklahoma State107
4Nebraska1010
5Iowa State1012
6Virginia Tech1013
7Iowa910
8Rutgers919
9Stanford814
10Illinois816
11Wisconsin820
12Pittsburgh824
13NC State710
14Arizona State716
15Oklahoma719
16Columbia720
17Lehigh68
18Michigan611
19Minnesota611
20Pennsylvania613
21Wyoming618
22Oregon State619
23Missouri619
24West Virginia619
25North Carolina619
26South Dakota State620
27Indiana624
28Cornell55
29Northern Iowa518
30Bucknell520
31Navy520
32Rider521
33Princeton522
34North Dakota State523
35Utah Valley524
36Little Rock414
37Ohio418
38Army418
39Purdue419
40Maryland420
41Cal Poly422
42Lock Haven423
43George Mason423
44Edinboro428
45American317
46Southern Illinois Edwardsville318
47Brown325
48Appalachian State326
49Virginia327
50Drexel327
51Northern Illinois210
52Binghamton218
53Northern Colorado220
54Air Force226
55Morgan State226
56Northwestern226
57Kent State228
58Chattanooga228
59Central Michigan229
60Michigan State230
61Bellarmine233
62Bloomsburg233
63Franklin & Marshall14
64Gardner-Webb117
65Harvard120
66Buffalo123
67Duke124
68Davidson126
69Citadel130
70VMI133
71California Baptist0N/A
72Clarion0N/A
73Campbell0N/A
74Hofstra0N/A
75CSU Bakersfield0N/A
76LIU0N/A
77Sacred Heart0N/A
78Presbyterian0N/A
Edited 3 hours ago by flyingcement
 

gimb14

All-American
May 3, 2022
3,989
7,233
113
Joy has to make the finals first
that's how it works, yes.

non smartass response: He's beaten Wasilewski twice this year. I'm not sure anyone outside the top 4-5 challenges him. And it may not be Joy, but I don't have the best feeling about SVN right now with how the first period has been. Hope I'm wrong.
 
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WV lion

All-Conference
Oct 17, 2021
1,394
1,916
113
that's how it works, yes.

non smartass response: He's beaten Wasilewski twice this year. I'm not sure anyone outside the top 4-5 challenges him. And it may not be Joy, but I don't have the best feeling about SVN right now with how the first period has been. Hope I'm wrong.
Joy would give him problems if he gets the lead and Van Ness gets on bottom.
 

gimb14

All-American
May 3, 2022
3,989
7,233
113
Joy would give him problems if he gets the lead and Van Ness gets on bottom.
yeah, SVN will be favored against everyone he faces. He's earned that. But I don't have the best feeling about him and haven't thought about this too much. Just wanted to get the brackets filled out first.
 

Misalorales

All-Conference
Jun 3, 2025
1,136
3,505
113
After filling out my 125 bracket I somehow found myself putting Nicolar Rivera in the national semi finals before he backside slides to 5th...Hmmm idk
 

NoSoup4U

All-Conference
Jan 17, 2002
697
1,035
93
Predictions:
Okst finishes 4th, DT named coach of the year
jax loses to Seidel in semis, is named OW
One of the Ford Festivas tries to transfer before session 3 on Friday
Mark Manning throws a brick during the National Anthem
"Mark Manning throws a brick during the National Anthem" candidate for portland cement crack of the week
 
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Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
1,572
4,681
113
9 out of 10 number one seeds didn't wrestle in the National Duals. It's crowned champion went on to get absolutely destroyed by PSU in season. Cael was right yet again. The National Duals were meaningless and not needed to prepare his team...

:)
Adding to your assessment. PSU arrived into the post season healthier than the two National Duals finalists.
 

District 4

All-Conference
Feb 16, 2018
1,070
2,523
113
M
yeah, SVN will be favored against everyone he faces. He's earned that. But I don't have the best feeling about him and haven't thought about this too much. Just wanted to get the brackets filled out first.
Maybe you and sunshine can have a serious talk with him
 

donboy6499

All-Conference
Jun 9, 2025
740
1,402
93
I said seeding doesn't have a human element?

You clarified that rankings are data-driven (and debated me a little when I said rankings are human-driven), lacking human element, but seedings "always have a human element".

The human element here was... The Coach's Ranking which didn't use data at all, jumping a wrestler at 133 over another with no new data.

It's all just feels in the end, with data being something we like to use to sound informed.
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,439
7,421
113

You clarified that rankings are data-driven (and debated me a little when I said rankings are human-driven), lacking human element, but seedings "always have a human element".

The human element here was... The Coach's Ranking which didn't use data at all, jumping a wrestler at 133 over another with no new data.

It's all just feels in the end, with data being something we like to use to sound informed.
We were talking about Flo rankings I thought. Coaches rankings are a committee of 3 per weight and we never know how they do it . I know how flo does it and it's data not opinion