Our 2007 class was bad, especially with attrition. That was driven in large part by our academic committee hamstringing Orgeron due to APR concerns, but regardless of how it happened, it happened. The 2008 class was bad because it was a transition class. No one ever denied that. Like this transition class, we hope it gives us something, but we won't hope for much.
The 2009 class was bad because of way too much attrition.
Plain and simple, you had way better classes in 07, 08, and 09 period, and it showed on the field. Those 3 classes are THE reason Houston Nutt is no longer our coach, and they are THE reason we won 6 games combined the last two seasons.
The jury is still somewhat out on the 2010 class, though we've had a little bit of attrition from that class that I would classify as bad attrition already. At this point, I'd say that hopefully that class turns out to be average. There are some decent pieces left from that class that could grow into a solid class. We will know this fall though.
The 2011 class looks good on paper, even after a season in the books, but again the jury is still out on that class.
We definitely had 3 bad classes in a row (07-09). 2 bad classes in a row will give you at least one losing season. 3 in a row guarantees multiple losing seasons. It's possible we could have 4 in a row, though I'm holding out hope for 2010 to be mediocre.
As I've always said, I follow recruiting, but this is the way I follow it. Screw the signing day rankings. They're one part of the process, and a small part of it at that. Let me follow that class for 3 years, and let's see where we are.
Right now, we need the 2011 class to live up to its billing. The 2012 class is going to be a rough one. The 2013 class will hopefully be a good one and it'll fill some gaps. If so, we could be moderately respectable by 2013 and could be back on our feet in 2014. We just can't afford for 2013 to be a bad class, and we need 2011's class to live up to its billing with talent development and low attrition. If we can book end the 2012 class with solid groups, you won't see much negative impact from it. If not...