I must figure this out.
I figure we have a 98 percent chance of beating Jackson State and going 1-0.
Going to Auburn, I figure we have a 40 percent chance of winning that game, so that is a 39.2 percent chance of being 2-0
Going to Vanderbilt, I figure we have a 50.6 percent chance of winning that game, so that is a 19.83% chance of being 3-0
Wow. That's ironic.
Edit: ****, I reverse engineered that puppy perfectly and you asked chances of being 2-1. Using the above assumptions, the chances fall between 0.4% (beating Auburn and Vandy but losing to JSU) and 49.5% (beating JSU and Vandy but losing to Auburn.)