and some of you are meteorologists, I was thinking we could go ahead and designate a thread for weather discussions. North Mississippi is staring down the barrel of another storm system moving through Arkansas/Texas right now (Memphis/DeSoto folks will be getting slammed in a few hours). Maybe we can open discussion on this line moving through late tonight/early tomorrow.
Official Weather Thread: Since weather has been a hot topic on here lately...
- Thread starter drt7891
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and some of you are meteorologists, I was thinking we could go ahead and designate a thread for weather discussions. North Mississippi is staring down the barrel of another storm system moving through Arkansas/Texas right now (Memphis/DeSoto folks will be getting slammed in a few hours). Maybe we can open discussion on this line moving through late tonight/early tomorrow.
Police are reporting a half mile wide damage path very near the city. That's an insanely large tornado. Prayers go out to those near there, and in Arkansas in general tonight. Gonna be a rough night for them. </p>
I can't handle watching Dave Brown. He sits there and tries to second guess the Weather Service when they issue a warning. I watch channel 3.
I'm pretty sure the obvious answer is yes, but when this squall line reaches Starkville, will it be at the same strength that it is now, or will it be weaker? I have very limited knowledge in weather patterns, I just can tell what direction they are headed.
was wondering the same thing and when it's expected to reach starkville. i'm getting really tired of all this bad weather. it looks like it could be bad, but i don't know how to read this stuff as well.<div>here's a good map of the strom, i find it more useful than weather.com</div><div>http://www.tornadovideos.net/full-screen-chaser-video.php</div>
accustomed to coming to SPS to find out the real scoop when the weather gets bad. Some of you guys do a great job describing the weather and we can all give a heads up when one is needed.
He shoots it straight and tells you what he analyzes and thinks and THEN let's you know if you really need to be scared or not. actions news 5 has the best damn radar imagery around, all the rest look they threw a bucket of paint on the screen with 1990's graphics for tornadoes.
#grindinforactionnews5
#grindinforactionnews5
The pattern from winter with a fairly deep trough in the east allowing cool air to hang around combined with a warmer than average Gulf of Mexico sets up for severe weather over and over.
So I think there will be some pretty strong storms. Arkansas was in the moderate risk area and you see what has unfolded tonight. SPC says possible major outbreak of severe thunderstorms and as always, the risk for tornadoes. They've had to expand the moderate risk area eastward a little bit over the last day, so if conditions continue to improve for major severe outbreak, you could see the SPC expand the moderate risk area and have Starkville within it instead of near it or on the edge. Starkville, along with the rest of the northern third of MS should definitely watch the weather as much as possbile tomorrow. Could be as bad as last week, and we all know how that unfolded.
I'm proud to be a graduate of our meteorology program, and proud to have been on the team that won the national forecasting championship last year. All of our professors do a great job, and we all are pretty decent forecasters by the time we graduate. All of the professors in the department have their own area of expertise, so we get a good balance of everything from each teacher.The best part was on severe weather nights a ton of us would go up to the climate lab, grab Burger King, and watch the radar all night. Really good times, and we really learned alot by doing that.
already to the levee and very turbulent in the river. I've seen it this high before but we have a lot more coming.
He's a farmer in Northwest Tennessee and also State alum. He is anticipating losing his entire winter wheat crop to flooding. Evidently the Mississippi is going come over the levee up there in a big way and the prediction is that it will be worse than 1937. He tells me one of his fields is projected to be under 4.5 feet of water in a few days.
I will miss those days.
But yea...stayed on the phone with family & friendsin Northeast Arkansas tonight. Praying for those in the central part of the state. Round 2 tomorrow. Possible chase day for me by mid-day Wednesday but the worst may go to the north of Starkville. Very impressive indices for the next couple days...dynamics are unreal. Two negative-tilted troughs in two weeks, who would've thought?</p>
But yea...stayed on the phone with family & friendsin Northeast Arkansas tonight. Praying for those in the central part of the state. Round 2 tomorrow. Possible chase day for me by mid-day Wednesday but the worst may go to the north of Starkville. Very impressive indices for the next couple days...dynamics are unreal. Two negative-tilted troughs in two weeks, who would've thought?</p>
Storms should stay quiet somewhat overnight but then another more potent low rotates around the axis of this trough and thats the one we are really worried about...They are calling for the possibility of strong, long track tornadoes in northwest AL and Starkville is right on the edge of that...The problem is Starkville looks to get hit early morning hours when surface temperatures are not as high and thus its not as unstable so the worst looks east of here...However there is a lot of elevated instability which means the unstable atmosphere doesn't reach the surface, which is what you want for tornadoes. But the question is how long can that stay capped off where storms can't fire in the evening hours of Tuesday to early Wednesday morning b/c the parameters are off the charts and comparable wind fields to the Yazoo City tornado day, which is absolutely insane. If this system moved slower and it was here during the day, I'd be extremely worried here in Starkville..I'm still a worried meteorologist and hoping everyone stays safe out there. Me and my buddy Bryan on here may go chasing again..As you can see his picture, me and him chased that 3/4 mile wide tornado near Scooba,MS and he snapped that picture in the front seat..Stay safe out there...BTW I agree our meteorology department is awesome. Me, Bryan (bryanwxbulldog) and Henry (mstatefan88) all were in the same class together. Both were in my meteorology classes and we could all say we got great training from great professors here at State. I graduated w/ mstatefan88 last year and stayed at MSU for grad school for meteorology and GIS...bryanwxbulldog is another good friend of mine graduating this week (Congrats buddy!)..So between us 3 and I know there are a few more that post on here, we will keep you guys updated.<div>NWS Jackson discussion:</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; "><pre class="glossaryProduct"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">MOVING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...LOW LEVEL </span>FRONTOGENESIS<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> LOOKS TO GET
GOING OVER N MS ALONG OLD </span>OUTFLOW BOUNDARY<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">. </span>NAM<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> SHOWING SURFACE
DEWPOINTS AROUND 70F POOLING ALONG IT. </span>AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES...LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SUPERCELLS TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND MOVE EAST ALONG IT
OVERNIGHT...<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING CAPES OF 500-1500 </span>J/KG<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> AND 0-3KM
</span>SRH<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> AROUND 800 </span>M2/S2<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">. </span>POSITIONING OF THAT BOUNDARY WILL BE CRITICAL
AS TO HOW MUCH IT AFFECTS OUR AREA. RIGHT NOW...AREAS ALONG THE HWY
82 CORRIDOR LOOK TO BE THE MOST UNDER THE GUN.[/code]</span></div>
GOING OVER N MS ALONG OLD </span>OUTFLOW BOUNDARY<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">. </span>NAM<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> SHOWING SURFACE
DEWPOINTS AROUND 70F POOLING ALONG IT. </span>AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES...LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SUPERCELLS TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND MOVE EAST ALONG IT
OVERNIGHT...<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING CAPES OF 500-1500 </span>J/KG<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> AND 0-3KM
</span>SRH<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;"> AROUND 800 </span>M2/S2<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px;">. </span>POSITIONING OF THAT BOUNDARY WILL BE CRITICAL
AS TO HOW MUCH IT AFFECTS OUR AREA. RIGHT NOW...AREAS ALONG THE HWY
82 CORRIDOR LOOK TO BE THE MOST UNDER THE GUN.[/code]</span></div>
Sorry bud lol...I'll try to limit it down to less technical stuff but knowing a few Met guys on here, I think they'll like some of the discussion I posted and all...
I dunno if any of you guys ever read http://www.alabamawx.com/ or not...but the entry by Dr. Tim Coleman at 11:59 a.m. today is an interesting read.