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One thing to keep in mind. The bubble is incredibly soft this year.

W

WPUknight

Senior
Oct 23, 2008
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685
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I see a lot of people freaking out about not making the tournament, and if we lose to Minnesota it may just happen. We currently have a NET of 37 and as long as we avoid the horrible loss we shouldn't move too much.

But one thing people may not realize is that the bubble is beyond SOFT this year. Even after yesterdays lost the most up to date bracket predictions have us as a 8/9 seed.

Some of the teams that are in last four in/ last four out are the following:

Wisconsin 16-11 (Net 70)
Seton Hall 16-12 (Net 79)
West Virginia 16-12 (Net 26) (5-10 in conference play)
UNC 17-11 (Net 47) (0-8 VS QUAD 1)
Oklahoma State 16-12 (Net 41)
New Mexico 20-8 (Net 46)

Just beat Minnesota and we're in. They aren't going to leave out a .500 Big Ten team with a NET in the 50-40 range. Also don't forget that the Purdue win is massive, it will carry a lot of weight when it comes to selection Sunday.
 
R

RUfanSinceAnderson

All-Conference
Jan 31, 2006
7,864
3,982
85
No one cares about conf record. That being said. I have to believe ROAD wins at

Purdue
NW
Wisc

(All three projected in field) have to matter.

Also a home win versus a projected 4 seed in Indiana.
 
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S

Shell21

Heisman
Mar 23, 2004
31,902
21,986
113
RUfanSinceAnderson said:
No one cares about conf record. That being said. I have to believe ROAD wins at

Purdue
NW
Wisc

(All three projected in field) have to matter.

Also a home win versus a projected 4 seed in Indiana.
Click to expand...
also wins against tournament teams maryland and michigan state ( home but really neutral ) and possibly another in penn state
 
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R

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
25,985
12,162
113
The bottom line is that this team was playing with a small margin for error even with Mag playing.The defense has carried the team but the offense has gotten worse since the Michigan State game.In the last two games Rutgers has scored 58 and 45 points.
 
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S

Scarlet Blind_rivals

All-Conference
Aug 5, 2001
4,509
4,568
62
Q3 wins do play a part but even with losing 4 of 5 since Mag's injury, we are still in good shape

Quad 1 records
Kansas 13-5 (1/2 17-5)
Texas 9-6 (1/2 12-6), Purdue 9-3 (1/2 14-4)
Baylor 8-8 (1/2 12-8), Kansas St 8-5 (1/2 11-8)
NW 8-4 (1/2 11-8), Alabama 8-3 (1/2 14-4)
Iowa St 7-9 (1/2 10-10), Michigan St 7-8 (1/2 10-9)
Arizona 7-2 (1/2 12-4), Iowa 6-8 (1/2 11-10)
Wisconsin 6-6 (1/2 10-10), Tennessee 6-5 (1/2 9-8)
UConn 6-5 (1/2 10-6), UCLA 6-4 (1/2 12-4), Miami 6-4 (1/2 10-4)
16 teams

We are 1 of 9 teams with 5 Q1 wins
TCU 5-9 (1/2 9-9), Ind 5-8 (1/2 10-9), Missouri 5-8 (1/2 9-8)
UK 5-7 (1/2 10-7), RU 5-6 (1/2 8-9), Marquette 5-5 (1/2 10-6)
Xavier 5-5 (1/2 10-6), Tx A&M 5-4 (1/2 8-5), Pitt 5-3 (1/2 7-6)
25 teams

Less than 5 Q1s, but equal or more Q1/2
WVU(4) 8-12, Md(4) 9-8, Creighton(4) 9-9
Zags(4) 9-4, VA(4) 9-4, Houston(4) 12-1
Michigan(3) 8-11, ILL(3) 9-9, Oregon(3) 8-11
Nevada(3) 8-7, Auburn(2) 8-7
36 teams

Plenty of teams at 6-7 range that could get to 8 or 9 before conference tournaments
Duke is 3-6 (1/2 7-8) and 3-0 Q3, 10-8 compared to our Q1/2/3 10-11.

We clinch a good seed going 3-0.
We are still in good shape splitting NW & Penn St
1-2 is the danger zone, hopefully Minn can stay above 240 to count as a Q3 road game/win, don't see 0-3.
 
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