Remaining Games

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2008
7,528
4,905
113
Home:
Indiana
Michigan
Iowa
Minnesota
PSU

Road:
OSU
Illinois
Northwestern
MSU
Iowa
Indiana

Crazy as it sounds, we're not out of the NCAA Tourney yet. Outside of Michigan, the other four games at home are winnable. I think we will struggle at Illinois, but OSU, Northwestern, Iowa, and Indiana are possible wins on the road. Beat Indiana tomorrow and shock Michigan, which isn't likely, and everything changes. Four at home and two on the road gives you 16 and a mid league finish in a league which will probably get nine into the NCAA.
 
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bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
247,699
177,398
113
sigh

yes we are out of the NCAA tournament...stop it...our numbers in the Net rankings are poor.....124 overall, a sos overall of 78 but an atrocious non conference SOS of 307. RU has ZERO quality wins OOC. 1-6 in Q1, 3-2 in Q2 and 6 of their wins are in the lowest Q4....RU's best win was Nebraska and best road win is Penn State...and has a hideous loss to Fordham

16 wins...16-14 does not put RU anywhere near a bid and that 9-11 league mark will not cut it either.

Rutgers is not beating Iowa on the road, we have two road wins all time and was all out to beat PSU and now you are saying its possible to win 4 road games and 54more home games..because the only way RU is on the bubble is if they win 8 more conference games to go 11-9/18-12...other than that forget about it

yes its crazy to think this team is going 8-3...teams like Indiana and OSU and Nebby and also SHU no matter how poorly they are playing all have quality non conference wins and decent numbers in the NET....OOC counts alot and RU has little to show for it.
 

RU-ROCS

All-American
Feb 5, 2003
12,434
7,638
113
sigh

yes we are out of the NCAA tournament...stop it...our numbers in the Net rankings are poor.....124 overall, a sos overall of 78 but an atrocious non conference SOS of 307. RU has ZERO quality wins OOC. 1-6 in Q1, 3-2 in Q2 and 6 of their wins are in the lowest Q4....RU's best win was Nebraska and best road win is Penn State...and has a hideous loss to Fordham

16 wins...16-14 does not put RU anywhere near a bid and that 9-11 league mark will not cut it either.

Rutgers is not beating Iowa on the road, we have two road wins all time and was all out to beat PSU and now you are saying its possible to win 4 road games and 54more home games..because the only way RU is on the bubble is if they win 8 more conference games to go 11-9/18-12...other than that forget about it

yes its crazy to think this team is going 8-3...teams like Indiana and OSU and Nebby and also SHU no matter how poorly they are playing all have quality non conference wins and decent numbers in the NET....OOC counts alot and RU has little to show for it.

Bac- please stop talking sense.
 
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Bob Chaewsky_rivals

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2008
7,528
4,905
113
uo
sigh

yes we are out of the NCAA tournament...stop it...our numbers in the Net rankings are poor.....124 overall, a sos overall of 78 but an atrocious non conference SOS of 307. RU has ZERO quality wins OOC. 1-6 in Q1, 3-2 in Q2 and 6 of their wins are in the lowest Q4....RU's best win was Nebraska and best road win is Penn State...and has a hideous loss to Fordham

16 wins...16-14 does not put RU anywhere near a bid and that 9-11 league mark will not cut it either.

Rutgers is not beating Iowa on the road, we have two road wins all time and was all out to beat PSU and now you are saying its possible to win 4 road games and 54more home games..because the only way RU is on the bubble is if they win 8 more conference games to go 11-9/18-12...other than that forget about it

yes its crazy to think this team is going 8-3...teams like Indiana and OSU and Nebby and also SHU no matter how poorly they are playing all have quality non conference wins and decent numbers in the NET....OOC counts alot and RU has little to show for it.
Relax - I'm not saying we are getting in, only that it is possible. It is possible we win 16 and another two in the tournament. So its not 16 wins. It would be 18. Sixteen wins has you probably finishing seventh or eighth in the league. That would mean that 2-3 teams sitting behind us in the standings would get in ahead of us. What happens if two of those teams are OSU and Indiana and we happen to have beaten them twice. Again, I'm not saying any of this will happen, just that it is possible - one game at a time. Two months ago all of the experts here were saying 12 wins. Maybe they end up being smart in the end, but the over looks really, really good as of today.
 
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Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
26,276
15,952
73
RuChow

16-14 means 9-11 in the big ten and even if we win two to get to 18-15 means 11-12 in the big ten

That would NIT bubble, not ncaa bubble

To have any chance of an at large bid to the tournament...we would need to enter the big ten tournament 12-8/19-11....thar means we win 9 of our last 11 games in the big ten...and then must win our opening game as a 6/7 seed ...20-11 and probably win the quarterfinal game against the 2 or 3 seed to get to 21-11...and even that might not be enough...bac would be working the numbers all week to see if we make it as one of the last four in

Never rule anything out ...but it’s beyond highly likely

Getting 5 wins out of our last 11 to get to 15-15 would be a major progress ..:let’s set that as the first target and play one at a time
 
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RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,212
12,474
113
Home:
Indiana
Michigan
Iowa
Minnesota
PSU

Road:
OSU
Illinois
Northwestern
MSU
Iowa
Indiana

Crazy as it sounds, we're not out of the NCAA Tourney yet. Outside of Michigan, the other four games at home are winnable. I think we will struggle at Illinois, but OSU, Northwestern, Iowa, and Indiana are possible wins on the road. Beat Indiana tomorrow and shock Michigan, which isn't likely, and everything changes. Four at home and two on the road gives you 16 and a mid league finish in a league which will probably get nine into the NCAA.
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,212
12,474
113
Rutgers probably will be the underdog in every remaining game except for Penn State at home.

The best chances for road wins are Northwestern and Ohio State and I don't see that happening unless Rutgers points per game show a dramatic improvement.
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Rutgers probably will be the underdog in every remaining game except for Penn State at home.

That will depend on our performance going forward. If we were to win against Indiana and OSU and kept Michigan close, let's say, we'd probably be favored at Illinois.
 

AshCatchEm

Heisman
Jan 8, 2016
13,889
19,928
113
Let's see if we can get into the tournament with 16 wins AND a garbage ooc schedule..sure, that'll happen
 
A

anon_0k9zlfz6lz9oy

Guest
It'd be a miracle if we could even make the NIT this season, let alone the tourney.

Are P5 teams allowed in the CBI? I know it's a low level tourney but a young team like this could use the extra games.
 

ruready07

All-American
Apr 15, 2003
43,484
6,455
0
Ill take any kind of postseason tournament play. Even if we have to pay for it.. The experience will be huge for when we actually make a legit NIT run next season.
 

LOU-RU85

All-Conference
Jun 3, 2001
4,684
4,424
113
NIT is our best case scenario and that is remote at best. I agree with Bac.
 

Degaz-RU

Heisman
Dec 19, 2002
22,363
26,657
88
Home:
Indiana
Michigan
Iowa
Minnesota
PSU

Road:
OSU
Illinois
Northwestern
MSU
Iowa
Indiana

Crazy as it sounds, we're not out of the NCAA Tourney yet. Outside of Michigan, the other four games at home are winnable. I think we will struggle at Illinois, but OSU, Northwestern, Iowa, and Indiana are possible wins on the road. Beat Indiana tomorrow and shock Michigan, which isn't likely, and everything changes. Four at home and two on the road gives you 16 and a mid league finish in a league which will probably get nine into the NCAA.

I'm going to pile on here... this is just CRAZY TALK for a team that struggles to score 65 points most games. Heck, PSU played an AWFUL game the other day, and we were lucky to get out of there with a W.

I will be happy if we beat IU and PSU at home, and squeak out one of the road games. Icing would be upsetting Iowa or Minny at home. So 4 more wins is probably the outside we can hope for, which would put us at 14-16 regular season, not even eligible for the NIT let alone NCAA.
 

Ole Cabbagehead

All-American
Apr 21, 2011
8,075
6,323
0
I love how we were losing every remaining game after NW loss, now we beat two bad teams, and we are damn near winning out. Haha...fan mentality.

I hope we win 3 more in the regular season (2 home and 1 on the road). That would be just fine by me. Anything above that is gravy for the youngest team in D1.
 

FrankZ_RU93

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
25,561
11,232
113
All I'm asking for is a W tonight to warm my soul and help this place (MN) feel a little less like an icebox.
 
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dkostus

All-Conference
Feb 10, 2002
6,144
1,552
0
If we can get to 7 or 8 wins, that will bode extremely well for a team that returns almost everyone and will go from being one of the youngest in the country to being one of the more experienced in B1G. I'd like to think we get at least 6... tonight will mean a lot.
 

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2008
7,528
4,905
113
RuChow

16-14 means 9-11 in the big ten and even if we win two to get to 18-15 means 11-12 in the big ten

That would NIT bubble, not ncaa bubble

To have any chance of an at large bid to the tournament...we would need to enter the big ten tournament 12-8/19-11....thar means we win 9 of our last 11 games in the big ten...and then must win our opening game as a 6/7 seed ...20-11 and probably win the quarterfinal game against the 2 or 3 seed to get to 21-11...and even that might not be enough...bac would be working the numbers all week to see if we make it as one of the last four in

Never rule anything out ...but it’s beyond highly likely

Getting 5 wins out of our last 11 to get to 15-15 would be a major progress ..:let’s set that as the first target and play one at a time
I can do the math. The experts are saying 9-10 teams from the
Big 10. If they are correct and we win 18 including six more of our regular season games then it is likely they will take 2-3 teams that finish below us. I don't see that happening especially if we've beaten one or two of them twice. I think either they take us or they only take 7-8 teams. Lose tonight and none of it probably even matters. It's all likely only wishful thinking but it is possible. One other thing - considering the strength of the Big 10 I also think they will take a team under .500 in the league.
 

kcg88

Heisman
Aug 11, 2017
10,862
17,230
0
I love how we were losing every remaining game after NW loss, now we beat two bad teams, and we are damn near winning out. Haha...fan mentality.

I hope we win 3 more in the regular season (2 home and 1 on the road). That would be just fine by me. Anything above that is gravy for the youngest team in D1.

Yup. Most original projections put us around 4-16 or 5-15. So getting to 6-14 would be a nice accomplishment.

Sidenote: We're young, but we aren't the youngest D1 team. Maryland I know is younger than us even among power-conference teams.
 

Ole Cabbagehead

All-American
Apr 21, 2011
8,075
6,323
0
I can do the math. The experts are saying 9-10 teams from the
Big 10. If they are correct and we win 18 including six more of our regular season games then it is likely they will take 2-3 teams that finish below us. I don't see that happening especially if we've beaten one or two of them twice. I think either they take us or they only take 7-8 teams. Lose tonight and none of it probably even matters. It's all likely only wishful thinking but it is possible. One other thing - considering the strength of the Big 10 I also think they will take a team under .500 in the league.

Any prediction for 9 or 10 teams from the B1G to the tournament goes out the window if RU wins 18 games. Those predictions were all dependent on the bottom 4 teams basically losing every single game.
 
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Bob Chaewsky_rivals

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2008
7,528
4,905
113
And now its five. One game at a time.
Any prediction for 9 or 10 teams from the B1G to the tournament goes out the window if RU wins 18 games. Those predictions were all dependent on the bottom 4 teams basically losing every single game.
No they weren't. Sorry, but if we go on to finish seventh and win 18 games, we're in. You've gotten too used to losing.
 

RU MAN

Heisman
Oct 29, 2001
23,630
10,221
113
To those who dream, good for you. As a realist who loves the growth of this team, I see 2 maybe 3 wins left: Minnesota and PSU at home and maybe Northwestern on the road. If we end up with three more wins, that's 7-13 in league play with a record of 14-16. If we win 2 games and then lose in the quarters in the B1G (and that's a big IF) we end the season at 16-17.

In the beginning of the season I was hoping this team would gel and we could win anywhere from 13-15 games knowing our OOC games were cut short by 2 games because of 2 extra B1G games this season. And I knew we would experience growing pains with the youngsters. If we can manage to win 6 or 7 regular season conference games, I think Pike has this team moving forward in a great way and on plan.
 
Feb 5, 2003
10,971
9,372
113
The Fordham loss is a huge black eye on this dream scenario. They're not good and 11-9 looks a lot worse than 12-8. If we had that game plus somehow got to 9-11 in conference play, that puts us at 17-13 pre-B1G tournament. Win one there, lose respectably to a top three seed and we could be on the bubble if the league really is getting 9 or 10 teams in.

But we did lose to Fordham so we need to do more than that. It's a big stretch this year.
 

Bob Chaewsky_rivals

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2008
7,528
4,905
113
Rutgers probably will be the underdog in every remaining game except for Penn State at home.

The best chances for road wins are Northwestern and Ohio State and I don't see that happening unless Rutgers points per game show a dramatic improvement.
Lets not even play the remaining games. Lets just see how many points are averaged by us and our opponents and declare a winner for each remaining game based on that, or better yet, lets just determine the winner by the spread. Oh wait, wasn't Indiana a one and a half point favorite tonight.
 
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Bob Chaewsky_rivals

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2008
7,528
4,905
113
I'm going to pile on here... this is just CRAZY TALK for a team that struggles to score 65 points most games. Heck, PSU played an AWFUL game the other day, and we were lucky to get out of there with a W.

I will be happy if we beat IU and PSU at home, and squeak out one of the road games. Icing would be upsetting Iowa or Minny at home. So 4 more wins is probably the outside we can hope for, which would put us at 14-16 regular season, not even eligible for the NIT let alone NCAA.
Glad you're not coaching the team.
 

NewJerseyHawk

Heisman
Jan 11, 2007
24,450
38,741
113
The rotation has been resolved to limit so many empty possessions. Tonight's game with some FTs made and a couple of chippies, could have been 12 to 15.

The phantom calls against RU are less and less, which means the work is being rewarded.

The key was to be better in January vs November and we have accomplished that. As far as any dreams of postseason are concerned, I think RU is shaving the bubble of B1G teams making the dance. If anything, RU finishes with a home game vs PSU and at Indiana, who could be packing it in by then.

I am literally just looking forward to a solid, low scoring 1st half at Ohio State and hoping we don't turn it over. If the game is 1 possession in either direction by halftime at Ohio State, this message board may not contain itself. We just need to create a little more doubt in OSU, that they're in for a battle. If that 1st half goes well, things get very intriguing on a lot of levels.
 

BillyC80

Heisman
Oct 23, 2006
17,102
15,525
72
Win 5 more regular season (5 out of 10) and at least one in the B1G tourney to finish at least 17-15 and have to be in consideration for NIT, especially coming out of this conference.

Two weeks ago that was not even in the conversation but the way we’re playing now it’s definitely within reach.
 

armenius

All-Conference
Nov 4, 2011
803
1,275
93
The only way we get into the NCAA tourney this year is by winning the big ten tournament, period.
 
Apr 8, 2002
15,528
26,745
113
I'm going to pile on here... this is just CRAZY TALK for a team that struggles to score 65 points most games. Heck, PSU played an AWFUL game the other day, and we were lucky to get out of there with a W.

I will be happy if we beat IU and PSU at home, and squeak out one of the road games. Icing would be upsetting Iowa or Minny at home. So 4 more wins is probably the outside we can hope for, which would put us at 14-16 regular season, not even eligible for the NIT let alone NCAA.
Michigan State and Wisconsin were lucky to beat us earlier in the season, so what are you saying? See it goes both ways. [cheers]
Just enjoy the ride. It's been a long time since we've experienced excitement around here.