Sagarin shows an unbalance

LightninInside · Sep 10, 2008

Sagarin shows a 20.5 point Auburn victory with the home advantage figured.
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College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
1 Southern California A = 99.35 1 0 79.80( 24) 0 0 | 0 0 | 96.48 1 | 103.08 1
2 Florida A = 93.08 2 0 69.84( 63) 0 0 | 0 0 | 90.18 3 | 96.58 2
3 LSU A = 92.04 1 0 66.11( 92) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.43 2 | 92.19 3
4 Oklahoma A = 90.32 2 0 59.07( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 88.64 4 | 91.77 5
5 California A = 89.33 2 0 72.02( 50) 0 0 | 0 0 | 86.96 6 | 91.77 4
6 Auburn A = 88.12 2 0 64.18( 103) 0 0 | 0 0 | 86.57 7 | 89.39 6
7 Ohio State A = 88.09 2 0 55.94( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.72 5 | 87.98 9
8 Texas A = 87.72 2 0 58.34( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 86.33 8 | 88.77 7
9 Oregon A = 86.58 2 0 60.70( 122) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.83 14 | 88.11 8
10 Georgia A = 85.99 2 0 58.89( 130) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.77 11 | 85.74 12
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
11 Penn State A = 85.74 2 0 55.51( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 83.99 15 | 87.25 10
12 Virginia Tech A = 84.67 1 1 69.23( 66) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.43 12 | 83.49 18
13 Wisconsin A = 83.74 2 0 61.48( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.40 22 | 84.72 14
14 Alabama A = 83.66 2 0 66.79( 86) 0 0 | 0 0 | 83.02 19 | 83.83 15
15 Utah A = 83.16 2 0 72.45( 49) 0 0 | 1 0 | 86.09 9 | 80.33 31
16 Tennessee A = 83.04 0 1 85.01( 6) 0 0 | 0 1 | 83.35 17 | 82.27 23
17 Texas Tech A = 82.83 2 0 64.69( 100) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.50 21 | 82.68 21
18 TCU A = 82.51 2 0 54.74( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 79.60 30 | 85.61 13
19 Arizona State A = 82.27 2 0 60.86( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 83.09 18 | 81.05 28
20 UCLA A = 82.15 1 0 80.17( 22) 0 0 | 1 0 | 82.95 20 | 80.93 30
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
21 Michigan A = 82.14 1 1 70.33( 60) 0 0 | 0 1 | 83.88 16 | 80.16 32
22 BYU A = 82.12 2 0 67.51( 77) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.99 13 | 79.32 38
23 Florida State A = 82.07 1 0 41.34( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 78.57 36 | 86.15 11
24 South Carolina A = 81.73 1 1 72.93( 43) 0 0 | 0 0 | 79.74 29 | 83.51 17
25 West Virginia A = 81.62 1 1 70.23( 61) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.89 10 | 77.94 43
26 Kentucky A = 81.55 2 0 56.89( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 79.34 33 | 83.61 16
27 Oklahoma State A = 81.51 2 0 67.03( 84) 0 0 | 0 0 | 81.34 24 | 81.20 27
28 Kansas A = 81.06 2 0 52.24( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 79.45 31 | 82.34 22
29 Boston College A = 80.79 1 1 67.18( 80) 0 0 | 0 1 | 80.11 27 | 81.01 29
30 Georgia Tech A = 80.64 2 0 66.00( 94) 0 0 | 1 0 | 82.31 23 | 78.69 40
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
31 Missouri A = 80.49 2 0 50.42( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 81.11 25 | 79.43 36
32 Wake Forest A = 80.13 2 0 66.50( 88) 0 0 | 0 0 | 79.98 28 | 79.81 34
33 East Carolina A = 79.99 2 0 81.71( 15) 0 0 | 2 0 | 77.88 39 | 81.88 25
34 Nebraska A = 79.03 2 0 59.79( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 78.87 35 | 78.71 39
35 Boise State A = 78.88 1 0 40.82( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 77.49 41 | 79.90 33
36 Vanderbilt A = 78.77 2 0 72.49( 48) 0 0 | 1 0 | 77.74 40 | 79.37 37
37 Arizona A = 78.44 2 0 53.44( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.26 52 | 83.47 19
38 South Florida A = 78.42 2 0 54.21( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 77.98 38 | 78.39 41
39 Iowa A = 78.05 2 0 47.89( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.86 57 | 83.06 20
40 Michigan State A = 77.80 1 1 72.57( 47) 0 1 | 0 1 | 74.49 50 | 81.34 26
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
41 Fresno State A = 77.67 1 0 76.04( 34) 0 0 | 0 0 | 75.44 45 | 79.69 35
42 Kansas State A = 77.44 2 0 48.16( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.42 59 | 82.10 24
43 Air Force A = 77.00 2 0 54.18( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 75.41 46 | 78.24 42
44 Virginia A = 76.93 1 1 78.35( 28) 0 1 | 0 1 | 79.38 32 | 74.35 47
45 Clemson A = 76.76 1 1 67.13( 82) 0 0 | 0 1 | 79.31 34 | 74.10 48
46 Cincinnati A = 75.69 1 1 68.88( 69) 0 1 | 0 1 | 75.17 47 | 75.74 45
47 Connecticut A = 75.20 2 0 57.22( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.09 53 | 75.88 44
48 Oregon State A = 75.00 0 2 81.07( 19) 0 0 | 0 1 | 78.31 37 | 71.75 59
49 Arkansas A = 74.81 2 0 57.55( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 80.22 26 | 70.17 66
50 Miami-Florida A = 74.79 1 1 64.94( 98) 0 1 | 0 1 | 74.47 51 | 74.63 46
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
51 Minnesota A = 74.76 2 0 64.45( 102) 0 0 | 0 0 | 75.01 48 | 74.04 49
52 Louisville A = 74.36 1 1 58.03( 141) 0 0 | 0 1 | 76.62 42 | 71.88 58
53 Colorado A = 73.99 2 0 60.87( 120) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.92 49 | 72.63 55
54 Notre Dame A = 73.51 1 0 59.21( 127) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.81 58 | 72.73 54
55 Texas A&M A = 73.50 1 1 66.32( 91) 0 0 | 0 0 | 75.65 44 | 71.10 62
56 Rutgers A = 73.17 0 1 74.80( 39) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.40 43 | 69.92 68
57 Southern Miss A = 72.71 1 1 71.94( 52) 0 1 | 0 1 | 71.50 65 | 73.49 50
58 Purdue A = 72.51 1 0 37.53( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.81 62 | 72.75 53
59 Tulsa A = 72.42 2 0 56.20( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.56 64 | 72.83 51
60 Washington A = 72.25 0 2 84.35( 10) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.96 55 | 70.20 65
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
61 Troy A = 71.96 1 0 68.12( 72) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.74 68 | 72.76 52
62 Maryland A = 71.89 1 1 63.84( 104) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.86 56 | 69.61 69
63 Northwestern A = 71.40 2 0 61.13( 115) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.79 67 | 71.55 60
64 Mississippi A = 71.20 1 1 69.60( 65) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.51 71 | 72.50 56
65 Illinois A = 70.75 1 1 64.98( 97) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.02 69 | 71.02 64
66 Stanford A = 70.67 1 1 78.64( 27) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.73 61 | 68.31 72
67 Hawaii A = 70.62 1 1 71.34( 55) 0 1 | 0 1 | 73.30 60 | 67.74 75
68 Iowa State A = 70.31 2 0 55.13( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.06 73 | 71.13 61
69 Houston A = 69.25 1 1 60.25( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.96 83 | 72.43 57
70 Pittsburgh A = 69.23 1 1 58.75( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.10 66 | 67.02 76
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
71 Appalachian State AA = 68.97 1 1 57.89( 142) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.63 70 | 67.86 74
72 Indiana A = 68.96 2 0 44.41( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.55 79 | 71.08 63
73 Ball State A = 68.35 2 0 57.08( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.26 81 | 70.10 67
74 North Carolina A = 68.33 1 0 54.48( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.21 72 | 67.01 77
75 Navy A = 67.91 1 1 57.37( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.24 75 | 68.12 73
76 NC State A = 67.09 1 1 68.43( 71) 0 0 | 0 1 | 71.69 63 | 62.58 97
77 Central Florida A = 66.91 1 1 60.22( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.75 88 | 68.70 70
78 Nevada A = 66.62 1 1 62.42( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.39 92 | 68.48 71
79 Arkansas State A = 66.34 2 0 46.68( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.31 80 | 65.89 79
80 New Mexico A = 66.30 0 2 75.14( 37) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.12 74 | 64.10 87
College Football 2008 through games of 2008 September 7 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.87 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 
81 Washington State A = 66.24 0 2 83.27( 13) 0 1 | 0 2 | 74.01 54 | 59.39 116
82 Bowling Green A = 65.52 1 1 72.00( 51) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.89 78 | 63.73 89
83 Montana AA = 65.47 1 0 63.73( 106) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.05 82 | 64.42 86
84 Central Michigan A = 65.36 1 1 67.73( 76) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.02 76 | 63.31 92
85 Middle Tennessee A = 65.25 1 1 69.06( 67) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.42 87 | 64.61 84
86 Western Michigan A = 64.87 1 1 71.21( 57) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.93 84 | 63.36 91
87 Mississippi State A = 64.73 1 1 51.00( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.50 85 | 63.50 90

MrHooch · Sep 10, 2008

did your computer just throw up on my screen?

jackbaddawg · Sep 10, 2008

Croomp · Sep 10, 2008

It will be lower after this weekend.

Sagarin shows an unbalance

LightninInside

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MrHooch

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jackbaddawg

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Croomp

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