Since mississippi choked away another shot at a ....

cowbell9

Redshirt
Nov 15, 2005
3,887
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..championship in baseball, it leaves Bama to overtake LSU. Which means, it will take us winning to give bama a shot. Can it happen?

Buy.
 

graddawg

Sophomore
Jun 4, 2007
2,699
102
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Well, they are mathematically still in the Conference Championship race. Their chances are slim but your post reminds me of people calling for Stansbury's head 10 minutes into a game only to see us come back and win.
 

RebelBruiser

Redshirt
Aug 21, 2007
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Yes, we're a long shot. We'll likely have to pull a sweep this weekend to have a shot, and then we'd need MSU and Auburn to both do us a favor and win at least 1 game over LSU and Bama. If we do that, we'll have a shot at earning at least a share of the SEC title, which would be another banner despite losing the tiebreaker to LSU, since we never end up on the right side of those things.

I think the odds of you taking more than 1 from LSU are pretty slim, and I think the odds of us sweeping in Fayetteville are pretty slim as well. Having each of those things happen and having Auburn take at least 1 from Bama are even longer odds, so our chances at an outright, non-split, title where we get the 1 seed are slim to none.

All that said, I was a little surprised at how little losing 2 of 3 this weekend affected our RPI. I think we came into the weekend at No. 17 in the RPI. We played a team at home that was pretty low in the RPI. We lost 2, and we've dropped at worst 1 spot. We dropped 1 spot last week after sweeping Auburn, so I can officially say that I don't get it. I know how the formula works, but those things still don't make sense.
 

RebelBruiser

Redshirt
Aug 21, 2007
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They've now lost 5 straight in the SEC. Two schools of thought there. They'll either continue their skid, or they'll regroup and play well with their backs against the wall.
 

RebelBruiser

Redshirt
Aug 21, 2007
7,349
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They had lost 8 straight (7 straight in the SEC) prior to pulling out the late one run win against Vandy.

All I know is that when they were in Oxford, they were still hot. The middle of that order is wicked. I really don't get what has happened to them. They close with a very tough series at a South Carolina team that seems to be hitting its stride. Fortunately for them they clinched their SEC tourney berth already, but they are well on the decline.

They were 14-5 after beating us in the Friday night game, and I believe they had a 2 game overall lead in the SEC. Eight games later, they are 5th in the SEC, half a game ahead of Arkansas, and there is a very good chance they could fall to 6th, or even 7th in the SEC if they lose 2 at South Carolina this weekend. If SC can sweep them, they may fall all the way to 8th.
 

8dog

All-American
Feb 23, 2008
13,912
5,749
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of course, as I've said before, its hard to tell b/c so much emphasis seems to be placed on the SEC tourney.

Alabama has really made things a mess with their run.

Etheridge has 25 teams competing for 16 slots (6 SEC teams). You have to think around 8 of those are locks so its probably 17 teams for 8 slots or something like that (Im speculating)