So 5th, 6th or 7th, right?

[DawgatAuburn]

1 - Vandy
2 - LSU
3 - Arkansas
4 - SC
All those are locked in.

5 - State, UM or Bama
6/7/8/9 - State, UM, Florida, TAMU and Bama --> but we can only be 5/6/7 and Florida/TAMU can only be 6/7/8/9
10 - Auburn is locked in I think
11/12 - Winner of tomorrow's Missouri/Kentucky game is 11, loser is 12; if they don't play, Missouri is 11 and UK is 12

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

do they go by head to head? Florida is 14-15 after tonite. MSU is 15-14 after tonite. Bama is 14-14 so if Bama can beat Vandy again tomorrow they over take us if we lose. If Ole Miss can beat LSU tomorrow, they overtake us if we lose. If Florida beats UGA tomorrow they tie us if we lose and we beat them 2 of 3.

We win tomorrow and 5th is a wrap. Of course, we may draw UK as the 12th seed and we had trouble with them earlier. OR we may get to finally play Missouri. I don't think enough of the what ifs will happen to drop us lower than 6th, so we play either Missouri or UK anyway I suspect.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

do they go by head to head? Florida is 14-15 after tonite. MSU is 15-14 after tonite. Bama is 14-14 so if Bama can beat Vandy again tomorrow they over take us if we lose. If Ole Miss can beat LSU tomorrow, they overtake us if we lose. If Florida beats UGA tomorrow they tie us if we lose and we beat them 2 of 3.

We win tomorrow and 5th is a wrap. Of course, we may draw UK as the 12th seed and we had trouble with them earlier. OR we may get to finally play Missouri. I don't think enough of the what ifs will happen to drop us lower than 6th, so we play either Missouri or UK anyway I suspect.

I think that's essentially what I said, just with all the detail.

If we win, we are the 5.

If we lose and are 15-15, all manner of things can happen like you said, and either UM or Bama could pass us putting us in 6th, or they could both pass us putting us in 7th.

I also agree that the most realistic scenarios (which means nothing) are (1) that we win; or (2) we lose and UM and Bama lose and we end up the 5, or (3)we lose and UM wins and we are the 6.

Focusing on the SECs helps me not think about giving a hosting site away. By my count, that's four that we have flat given away in the conference - LSU, Arkansas, Kentucky, and this one. See, now I am thinking about it again.