I know it could change on Saturday, but do we want Vandy to beat Ole Miss again? Seems that OM would be in regardless, but Vandy has to win due to their overall record right? Other than that, I would think we want Tennessee to beat Arkansas, Florida to put a nail in Auburn's coffin, and Georgia to lose to Bama if possible.
So who are we pulling for tonight?
- Thread starter CadaverDawg
- Start date
CadaverDawg said:
Whomever is playing OM over OM, Kevin Norwood over Georgia, Miz Terry over Arkansas
http://WarrenNolan.com/baseball/2012/conference/SEC
think it would benefit us more to have Vandy and OM split these last two. That way we own the tie breakers over both of them in the SEC. But if we lose the next two, I would think we want OM to beat Vandy twice so that Vandy isn't ahead of us in the standings (since OM is likely in a regional either way, but Vandy would have a .500 overall record at that point). If we sweep then it won't matter, but I would be fine with Vandy and OM splitting the last two, that way we end up a game better than both of them in the standings. Am I way off on this? I'm sure it will be much clearer after tonight's games.
UGA lose their last two, then all of us tied at 14-14 end up at 15-15 with UK winning the SEC. We win the tiebreaker over everyone but Vandy with us and them being the only two tied at 15-15 to beat UK 2 out of 3 if we can do that this weekend.
If I'm not mistaken, after that it will continue through the top seeds until either Vandy or us has a better record against teams in seed order. Vandy got swept against UF and we took 1 from them, so I believe we would win the tiebreaker over them. We have the same record against LSU andSC so they wouldn't matter.
Ifeveryone at 14-14finish tied at 15-15, you can't do record versus common opponents because Arkansas didn't play Vandy, so it goes to record against highest tournament seed if I'm not mistaken. That helps us out if we can beat UK 2 of 3. This is extremely complicated.
If I'm not mistaken, after that it will continue through the top seeds until either Vandy or us has a better record against teams in seed order. Vandy got swept against UF and we took 1 from them, so I believe we would win the tiebreaker over them. We have the same record against LSU andSC so they wouldn't matter.
Ifeveryone at 14-14finish tied at 15-15, you can't do record versus common opponents because Arkansas didn't play Vandy, so it goes to record against highest tournament seed if I'm not mistaken. That helps us out if we can beat UK 2 of 3. This is extremely complicated.
We do not want SCar to finish ahead of UF in the above scenario, as we would lose the tie-breaker to Vandy. In short, if we go 2-1 against UK, UK takes the top spot.only if SCar loses 2 against LSU. If Scar wins 2, they take the crown if UK goes 1-2 against us. We would also need UF to take last 2 against Auburn. If UF lose 1, they will finish behind SCar, even if SCar goes 1-2 vs LSU.<div>
</div><div>So, we want SCar to get swept by LSU, and UF to sweep Auburn in order for us to own tie-breaker over Vandy.</div><div>
</div><div>If we sweep UK, UF sweeps Auburn and SCar loses 2 or more to LSU, then UF wins the SEC and we would lose any tie-breakers to Arky & OM if they also win out. Pull hard for UT to win 1 against Arky in this case, as the tie-breaker would then be head-to-head against OM. Would also want UGA to lose to Bama.</div><div>
</div><div>Bottom line, if we split the last 2 against UK, we need OM to also split and Arky to split or lose both remaining against UT, and would want UGA to lose out against Bama.</div><div>If we sweep UK, we need LSU to sweep SCar & OM to win the final 2 against Vandy. We'd also need Auburn to win the final 2 against UF.</div><div>
</div><div>If I've got this correct, we may be more likely to finish with a higher seed if we lose one to UK as opposed to sweeping them, as our tie-breaker advantages are best with UK as the champ. UF as champ or anywhere ahead of UK would be bad for us if Arky & OM finish tied with us.</div><div>
</div><div>Since I hate to hope for a loss, I'll say pull for the sweep of UK, Auburn taking last 2 from UF & LSU sweeping SCar or Arky losing at least 1 to UT. Then hope Bama takes at least 1 from UGA. That would make us the #5 seed. If UGA sweeps Bama, we'd be the #6.</div>
</div><div>So, we want SCar to get swept by LSU, and UF to sweep Auburn in order for us to own tie-breaker over Vandy.</div><div>
</div><div>If we sweep UK, UF sweeps Auburn and SCar loses 2 or more to LSU, then UF wins the SEC and we would lose any tie-breakers to Arky & OM if they also win out. Pull hard for UT to win 1 against Arky in this case, as the tie-breaker would then be head-to-head against OM. Would also want UGA to lose to Bama.</div><div>
</div><div>Bottom line, if we split the last 2 against UK, we need OM to also split and Arky to split or lose both remaining against UT, and would want UGA to lose out against Bama.</div><div>If we sweep UK, we need LSU to sweep SCar & OM to win the final 2 against Vandy. We'd also need Auburn to win the final 2 against UF.</div><div>
</div><div>If I've got this correct, we may be more likely to finish with a higher seed if we lose one to UK as opposed to sweeping them, as our tie-breaker advantages are best with UK as the champ. UF as champ or anywhere ahead of UK would be bad for us if Arky & OM finish tied with us.</div><div>
</div><div>Since I hate to hope for a loss, I'll say pull for the sweep of UK, Auburn taking last 2 from UF & LSU sweeping SCar or Arky losing at least 1 to UT. Then hope Bama takes at least 1 from UGA. That would make us the #5 seed. If UGA sweeps Bama, we'd be the #6.</div>
1) win one more vs. UK
2) get paired against someone who is thin itching wise because we won't pitch Stratton or Gravemen next Tuesday or probably even Wednesday. It's unlikely that we'll win the SECT but i think it would help us a lot if we won 2 games
2) get paired against someone who is thin itching wise because we won't pitch Stratton or Gravemen next Tuesday or probably even Wednesday. It's unlikely that we'll win the SECT but i think it would help us a lot if we won 2 games