Softball took 2 of 3 at Kentucky this weekend and sit at 35-15, 11-10 in the SEC. There is a four way tie at 11-10 for seventh, and 5th is just a game ahead, so this weekend's series against 10-11 Ole Miss is huge.
RPI is 22nd. Going to need to finish as high in the SEC standings as possible to get consideration for a host spot.
South Carolina and Alabama are tied with us and they play each other. We have a series win over Alabama, so Bama taking 2 of 3 is the best scenario.
LSU is 10-10 and plays Florida 12-8 tonight. LSU winning the final game would be best for us. Then they need to take the series against 12-9 Arkansas.
Florida finishes up at Oklahoma. Need Oklahoma to take 2 of 3 which is very likely.
We have a really decent shot at finishing fifth with a series win. With a sweep, we probably will finish fifth, barring Florida winning the series against Oklahoma. Tennessee is at Texas A&M. If we sweep Ole Miss and A&M sweeps Tennessee, we could finish fourth, but would lose the tiebreaker for SEC Tournament seeding.
WN Predictor has us finishing fifth with an RPI of 18. That would probably setup an SEC Tournament scenario where if we could win a couple we'd play ourselves into a host position. The problem we would have is although we would be fifth in the conference standings, we'd be ninth in the conference in RPI. Yes, the #18 RPI would be 9th in the SEC.
We are 9-9 against the Top 25 in the RPI with three more opportunities this weekend.
We are 6-2 against teams ranked 26-50
Our problems:
9-2 against teams 51-100 (loss to Jax State and Northwestern)
4-1 against teams 101-150 (loss to Middle Tennessee)
7-1 against sub 150 teams (loss to #287 Northwestern State of Lousiana)
If we win those 4 games, we are currently 13th in the RPI instead of 22nd, and have a chance to move to 10th this weekend. Those were some BAD losses.
RPI is 22nd. Going to need to finish as high in the SEC standings as possible to get consideration for a host spot.
South Carolina and Alabama are tied with us and they play each other. We have a series win over Alabama, so Bama taking 2 of 3 is the best scenario.
LSU is 10-10 and plays Florida 12-8 tonight. LSU winning the final game would be best for us. Then they need to take the series against 12-9 Arkansas.
Florida finishes up at Oklahoma. Need Oklahoma to take 2 of 3 which is very likely.
We have a really decent shot at finishing fifth with a series win. With a sweep, we probably will finish fifth, barring Florida winning the series against Oklahoma. Tennessee is at Texas A&M. If we sweep Ole Miss and A&M sweeps Tennessee, we could finish fourth, but would lose the tiebreaker for SEC Tournament seeding.
WN Predictor has us finishing fifth with an RPI of 18. That would probably setup an SEC Tournament scenario where if we could win a couple we'd play ourselves into a host position. The problem we would have is although we would be fifth in the conference standings, we'd be ninth in the conference in RPI. Yes, the #18 RPI would be 9th in the SEC.
We are 9-9 against the Top 25 in the RPI with three more opportunities this weekend.
We are 6-2 against teams ranked 26-50
Our problems:
9-2 against teams 51-100 (loss to Jax State and Northwestern)
4-1 against teams 101-150 (loss to Middle Tennessee)
7-1 against sub 150 teams (loss to #287 Northwestern State of Lousiana)
If we win those 4 games, we are currently 13th in the RPI instead of 22nd, and have a chance to move to 10th this weekend. Those were some BAD losses.
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