State and Bama Common Opponents

[Go Budaw]

Disclaimer: I think we probably lose next weekend, and realize you can’t ever apply the single-game outcome transitive property to predicting future results. However, I do believe in looking beyond single game comparisons and looking at trends, so this is still interesting nonetheless.

Common Opponents:
1) Texas A&M
Bama won on the road 27-19.
MSU won on the road 35-14.

2) LSU
Bama won at home 24-10.
MSU won at home 37-7.

Comparable Other Opponent:
3) UT / Kentucky
Bama beat UT 45-7 at home
MSU beat UK (who beat UT) 45-7 at home

 

[tatedog]

Just imagine the scare UMass would have given Bama.

 

[messageboardsuperhero]

Alabama has looked far from unbeatable this year. That said, we aren’t the team to do it. Defensively we can keep the game competitive if we can limit big plays- but we do not have the explosiveness on offense or the playmakers to score on Bama. They will stack the box and make us throw the ball, which we will not be able to do. This is really a bad matchup for us.

I could see a 24-7 type of game where the score looks respectable but the outcome is never really in doubt at any point. That’s what I’m hoping for so that we still would have a shot at sneaking into the NY6.

 

[msstate7]

Alabama has looked far from unbeatable this year. That said, we aren’t the team to do it. Defensively we can keep the game competitive if we can limit big plays- but we do not have the explosiveness on offense or the playmakers to score on Bama. They will stack the box and make us throw the ball, which we will not be able to do. This is really a bad matchup for us.

I could see a 24-7 type of game where the score looks respectable but the outcome is never really in doubt at any point. That’s what I’m hoping for so that we still would have a shot at sneaking into the NY6.

You should use your “hoping” on a win, not a close loss. Just saying... don’t waste all your hopes lol

 

[MSUDC11]

Our only chance is to win another 6-3 type game. Seriously. I don’t see us scoring more than about 14 points. Terrible matchup for our offense.

On the flip side, I do think our defense can stop them, especially at home.

 

[BELdog]

Doesn't Bama have four starting linebackers riding the injury bus right now? Fitzpatrick may not play for them next weekend either. Call me nuts, but Bama has not looked unbeatable this year and not having their best linebackers puts them in an even worse position again us. I think we have a legitimate shot to win this one if we limit mistakes.

 

[preacher_dawg]

Maybe, but they just plugin 4 more 5 star linebackers and keep rolling.

 

[Go Budaw]

Maybe, but they just plugin 4 more 5 star linebackers and keep rolling.

Even still, they haven’t been demolishing good teams (what few they’ve played) this year like they have done in the past. That being said, if they bring their A game, we have no chance no matter what we do. We have to hope they view this game for what it is, which is the last game they can actually afford to lose and still control their destiny for the playoff. If they play with that mentality and we play lights out, there is a chance of victory.

 

[Wizard.sixpack]

Common opponent scores are meaningless. They really are. Injuries, playing at different times of the year, individual matchups etc. Many different factors to consider.

 

[tired]

Yeah they've got some significant injuries and some guys that got banged up against LSU that won't be 100%. If we're ever gonna beat em....

 

[Go Budaw]

Common opponent scores are meaningless. They really are. Injuries, playing at different times of the year, individual matchups etc. Many different factors to consider.

When comparing a single opponents, you are correct. Limited sample sizes and what not. But when outcomes against 3 or 4 opponents all tell the same story, you can get something from it. If Bama blows us out, it will be the first good team they have blown out all year. Still doesn’t mean it won’t happen, as no one would ever be surprised if the #2 team in the country blew out anyone. But it also makes it very far from guaranteed.